ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[eastcoastFL]

Look at the size of that, when its over the bahamas we are going to have some nasty weather here for sure.

[DisasterMagnet]

I have to admit being glued to TWC for two days: they just reported 24 ft waves for Turks and Caicos, and 40 ft waves expected for the Bahamas

Could someone please post a potential wave/storm surge height map if one is available? I'm on my mobile so I can't upload/repost images. Thanks so much.

[Aric Dunn]

well yes 6 hours motion. last couple hours has just been drifting. per the last two VDM

Don't assume each VDM is taken in the same relative spot within the center.

understand that. even so the amount it could be off still not that much and even on sat it has slowed way down near 5kts or less. over the last few hours.

[southerngale]

Hello all...long time lurker.

I've been texting back and forth with my best friend who is on the Turks and Caicos now. He's not a weather guy, but he estimates they are getting 40 mph sustained winds on the beach. At any rate, he says it is uncomfortable to stand in the wind for more than a few minutes.

His last text said the waves off shore are getting large enough that they appear to be islands out at sea. Stores are closed and obviously the airport, so they are stuck riding it out at 14.5 feet above sea level.

Thanks for the information and welcome to Storm2k! I wish your friend the best.

[marciacubed]

3:15 EDT

http://img191.imageshack.us/img191/4493 ... 231915.gif

Irene's overall appearance seems to have deteriorated a bit, probably to the shear and dry air intrusion.

I expect wind speeds down to 75 or 80 at 5 PM advisory.

NHC will go with 80 kts on the next advisory, as told to me by a little birdie.

Did the Birdie say anything about the track being shifted right or left? Thanks in advance.

[eastcoastFL]

its obviously slowed way down in the last few hours.

What time is it supposed to reach that 2nd forecast point that says "z40000z" in human time?

[eastcoastFL]

Irene's overall appearance seems to have deteriorated a bit, probably to the shear and dry air intrusion.

I expect wind speeds down to 75 or 80 at 5 PM advisory.[/quote]

NHC will go with 80 kts on the next advisory, as told to me by a little birdie.[/quote]
Did the Birdie say anything about the track being shifted right or left? Thanks in advance.[/quote]


Yah whats else did the bird say?

[SouthFloridawx]

Wundermap for the Turks and Bahamas

http://www.wunderground.com/wundermap/?lat=20.91013&lon=-72.25708&zoom=6&type=hyb&units=english&rad=0&wxsn=1&wxsn.mode=tw&wxsn.pws=1&svr=0&cams=0&sat=0&riv=0&mm=0&hur=0&fire=0&tor=0&ndfd=0&pix=0&dir=0&ads=0&dd=0&tfk=0&ski=0&stormreports=0

[tolakram]

Here's a plot of the VDM's for the last two missions.

[otowntiger]

For those of you not being affected by this storm, check out invest 90L. Looking like it could be another big one!

Looks like it will be a fish and a half!

[AdamFirst]

its obviously slowed way down in the last few hours.

What time is it supposed to reach that 2nd forecast point that says "z40000z" in human time?

I assume that is midnight tonight, or August 24th, 00z.

[wxman57]

Did the Birdie say anything about the track being shifted right or left? Thanks in advance.

Nope, that birdie just said 80 kts at 0hr and 85 kts at 12 hrs. It was secondhand birdie info. Though that secondhand birdie did say something about the Euro being followed somewhat. Euro shows a Long Island disaster in the making. Let's hope not.

[HurricaneWarning92]

okay, im not jumping into conclusions or anything, but what if (just asking) the second trough isnt what it is expected to do?

[wxman57]

its obviously slowed way down in the last few hours.

What time is it supposed to reach that 2nd forecast point that says "z40000z" in human time?

I assume that is midnight tonight, or August 24th, 00z.

00Z = midnight GMT = 8PM EDT/7PM CDT.

[drezee]

Ladies and Gentlemen,
We have the "fist!" I was waiting for it! Irene should rapidly intensify over the next 18-24 hours, if the theory holds true! It has not been wrong yet!!!

[CronkPSU]

Ladies and Gentlemen,
We have the "fist!" I was waiting for it! Irene should rapidly intensify over the next 18-24 hours, if the theory holds true! It has not been wrong yet!!!

LOL been waiting for you to announce that! hope you are wrong because this is going to nail someone but I agree with you on the fist look

[drezee]

After Dennis made the fist:
viewtopic.php?t=66472&highlight=fist

[SouthFloridawx]

[bella_may]

For those of you not being affected by this storm, check out invest 90L. Looking like it could be another big one!

Looks like it will be a fish and a half!

LOL what does that mean?

[mascpa]

Hello all...long time lurker.

I've been texting back and forth with my best friend who is on the Turks and Caicos now. He's not a weather guy, but he estimates they are getting 40 mph sustained winds on the beach. At any rate, he says it is uncomfortable to stand in the wind for more than a few minutes.

His last text said the waves off shore are getting large enough that they appear to be islands out at sea. Stores are closed and obviously the airport, so they are stuck riding it out at 14.5 feet above sea level.

Welcome Lannes!