ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[TheEuropean]

000
URNT15 KNHC 251935
AF306 2109A IRENE HDOB 25 20110825
192530 2622N 07652W 6967 02865 9696 +125 +066 231094 096 069 001 03
192600 2620N 07651W 6970 02872 9706 +125 +066 232097 097 068 001 00
192630 2619N 07649W 6972 02879 9721 +123 +066 232098 099 067 003 00
192700 2618N 07648W 6967 02895 9739 +115 +065 232097 098 069 004 00
192730 2617N 07647W 6967 02903 9754 +110 +065 231097 098 071 003 00
192800 2616N 07645W 6972 02907 9769 +105 +064 232096 097 074 005 00
192830 2614N 07644W 6970 02918 9776 +109 +062 232094 095 074 005 00
192900 2613N 07643W 6966 02933 9789 +106 +061 232093 093 073 004 00
192930 2612N 07641W 6966 02943 9796 +110 +059 231095 096 074 003 00
193000 2611N 07640W 6968 02946 9806 +107 +058 228095 096 072 001 00
193030 2610N 07639W 6964 02959 9808 +112 +058 227093 094 070 004 00
193100 2608N 07638W 6967 02959 9813 +114 +057 227092 094 069 000 03
193130 2607N 07636W 6969 02967 9824 +111 +058 229092 094 067 001 03
193200 2606N 07635W 6968 02976 9835 +110 +058 228090 091 067 004 03
193230 2605N 07634W 6967 02979 9848 +103 +057 225087 088 067 005 00
193300 2604N 07632W 6969 02988 9877 +084 +056 224087 088 065 009 00
193330 2603N 07631W 6960 03002 9874 +091 +054 223087 088 064 013 00
193400 2601N 07630W 6961 03001 9876 +093 +052 228085 087 065 009 00
193430 2600N 07629W 6970 02999 9876 +099 +051 228083 084 064 007 00
193500 2559N 07627W 6967 03007 9882 +100 +050 227084 086 063 007 00

[Aric Dunn]

[Aric Dunn]

Aric in your opinion, what do you think this means? I too have been watching it drift around for the past hour and a half.

well this shortwave is beginning to lift out as forecast to. hard to tell if its just a re-organization of the new eye wall thing or a response to the trough lifting out.

[JPmia]

Anybody else watching the lauderdale-by-the-sea webcam and watching those 3 yahoos swimming? I hope they have at least surfboards. Here comes the lifeguards....

Can you please give us the link?

http://www.windjammerresort.com/webcam.html Enjoy

Wow, that is some nice surf out there this afternoon. Surfers must love this!

[TheEuropean]

000
URNT15 KNHC 251945
AF306 2109A IRENE HDOB 26 20110825
193530 2558N 07626W 6969 03008 9895 +093 +050 225086 090 063 009 00
193600 2557N 07625W 6973 03010 9911 +084 +048 222083 085 063 008 00
193630 2555N 07624W 6957 03032 9922 +078 +046 219086 088 061 008 00
193700 2554N 07622W 6967 03024 9917 +087 +045 219088 089 063 005 00
193730 2553N 07621W 6967 03032 9920 +090 +044 220088 088 062 004 00
193800 2552N 07620W 6969 03033 9928 +086 +044 219087 088 058 004 00
193830 2551N 07619W 6962 03044 9931 +088 +044 219088 090 058 002 00
193900 2550N 07618W 6969 03040 9936 +087 +044 220090 090 057 000 03
193930 2549N 07616W 6967 03046 9938 +089 +043 221089 089 057 000 03
194000 2548N 07615W 6968 03049 9941 +090 +043 220085 085 056 000 03
194030 2547N 07614W 6969 03051 9944 +091 +043 221083 084 056 000 03
194100 2545N 07613W 6966 03059 9942 +096 +043 220080 081 056 000 03
194130 2544N 07612W 6970 03057 9952 +090 +043 220078 079 055 000 00
194200 2543N 07610W 6967 03063 9954 +091 +044 221077 077 056 000 03
194230 2542N 07609W 6967 03066 9955 +094 +043 220074 075 057 001 00
194300 2541N 07608W 6965 03070 9960 +093 +043 219073 074 055 002 00
194330 2540N 07607W 6966 03073 9969 +088 +042 221072 073 054 004 00
194400 2538N 07605W 6965 03075 9967 +091 +042 220071 072 054 001 00
194430 2537N 07604W 6973 03069 9972 +090 +041 216072 072 053 001 03
194500 2536N 07603W 6966 03079 9973 +088 +041 215071 071 052 001 00

[CrazyC83]

Northerly turn underway?

[Aric Dunn]

[bamajammer4eva]

Northerly turn underway?

Nope

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-rb.html

[oceancounty]

I'm in a relatively "safe place". Inland 15 miles from the west and north, and 50 miles from the south and east. My elevation is 98 ft. above sea level. HOWEVER, there are quite a few streams and rivers around and we tend to get a lot of flooding when we have down pours. Also, my current place of employment is along the Delaware River in Philadelphia. Storm surge could be a HUGE problem.

We are 2 miles in from the bay and 7 feet above sea level. We are definitely keeping an eye on this storm. We started our preparations yesterday and we are in full force now. The stores were not full at all yesterday. (Both Home Depot & Walmart). I don't think many people are taking this seriously. Everyone please prepare & be safe.

You need to move out of where you live. There's a link for calculated storm surge in this thread and in the Irene Northeast thread. Type in your zip code and select a Category 1 or 2 hurricane. You're going to get innundated!

Thank you for that link. It's not a pretty picture. Be safe everyone.

[Aric Dunn]

Northerly turn underway?

Nope

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-rb.html

It is a wobbly mess right now.. overall motion still seems NNW

[wsquared77]

Lots of closings starting to happen around here (Eastern NC). Some schools closed all day tomorrow and many letting out at noon. We live in New Bern and Craven County Schools just posted a noon dismissal on their web page. What a way to start the school year!

[mf_dolphin]

viewtopic.php?f=59&t=111584

Mark Sudduth live at 4PM (hopefully)

[summersquall]

Feel very blesed to have such a powerful system so close yet so far. Getting ready for some outer rainbands to begin to impact the area.

Weather Underground: Jensen Beach, FL
http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/fin ... 57.1.99999

"Heavy showers from a large rainband will begin to move onshore Martin County at around 4pm this afternoon and will affect areas north through Saint Lucie...Indian River...and Brevard counties shortly thereafter. The rainband will bring heavy rain and winds gusting to 45-55 mph...enough to blow around unsecured objects outside. As Hurricane Irene makes its closest approach to the Florida coast this afternoon...even fair weather conditions will remain windy. A Wind Advisory is in effect for all of east central Florida for sustained winds of 25 mph with possible gusts to 35-40 mph. Additional details...including graphics are available online at: http://www.Srh.NOAA.Gov/mlb/blog.Php
High surf advisory in effect until 8 PM EDT Friday... "

[Aric Dunn]

Gulf stream is also out.

[Hogweed]

Northerly turn underway?

Nope

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-rb.html

Last 2 Vortex messages show North though.

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 25th day of the month at 19:36Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 306)
Storm Number & Year: 09L in 2011
Storm Name: Irene (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 21
Observation Number: 11
A. Time of Center Fix: 25th day of the month at 19:17:10Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 26°41'N 77°15'W (26.6833N 77.25W)
B. Center Fix Location: 112 miles (180 km) to the N (3°) from Nassau, Bahamas.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,676m (8,780ft) at 700mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 70kts (~ 80.6mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 38 nautical miles (44 statute miles) to the NW (305°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 52° at 73kts (From the NE at ~ 84.0mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 55 nautical miles (63 statute miles) to the NW (307°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 950mb (28.05 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 10°C (50°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,056m (10,026ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 17°C (63°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,045m (9,990ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 5°C (41°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Open, Open S
M. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 30 nautical miles (35 statute miles)
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 700mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile
Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded...
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 92kts (~ 105.9mph) in the northeast quadrant at 18:11:10Z
Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 99kts (~ 113.9mph) in the southeast quadrant at 19:26:30Z
Remarks Section - Additional Remarks...
Clouds below in center, sfc cntr not visible
Max SWS outbound 74kts 19:28:30Z SE Quad

==

That's 353 degrees and 17 miles from last VDM
Guess this is due to difficulty locating an exact centre right now?

[sandyb]

Lots of closings starting to happen around here (Eastern NC). Some schools closed all day tomorrow and many letting out at noon. We live in New Bern and Craven County Schools just posted a noon dismissal on their web page. What a way to start the school year!

Our kids are out tomorrow Carteret Co wow one day of school what a way to start the new school year, i work for a plumbing and elect supply house and we have been swamped today

[CronkPSU]

looking at the NWS radar and the thing looks like it is drifting due east maybe ENE...ugh i hate stalled storms

[hurricanefloyd5]

very strange.. waiting on the VDM but recon either found the center near the same spot or im seeing things.. lol could be tilted again ..

what is weird aric?

[SENClander]

Looks like she is getting wound up tighter than a tick.

[TheEuropean]

000
URNT15 KNHC 251955
AF306 2109A IRENE HDOB 27 20110825
194530 2535N 07602W 6967 03079 9974 +088 +041 213069 070 050 002 00
194600 2534N 07600W 6970 03076 9979 +087 +042 210069 069 049 001 03
194630 2533N 07559W 6965 03085 9980 +087 +042 209069 069 046 002 00
194700 2532N 07558W 6967 03085 9979 +090 +043 211069 069 045 001 03
194730 2531N 07557W 6967 03085 9980 +092 +043 213068 069 044 000 03
194800 2529N 07556W 6971 03081 9982 +092 +043 211069 069 045 001 00
194830 2528N 07555W 6967 03091 9982 +095 +043 212067 068 044 001 03
194900 2527N 07553W 6969 03091 9982 +095 +044 212067 069 044 002 00
194930 2526N 07552W 6964 03100 9981 +100 +044 210066 067 042 001 03
195000 2525N 07551W 6963 03101 9988 +095 +044 210068 068 043 001 00
195030 2524N 07550W 6969 03097 9998 +090 +044 211067 068 044 001 00
195100 2523N 07549W 6968 03104 0008 +087 +044 207065 066 043 001 03
195130 2523N 07547W 6961 03114 0011 +085 +044 205066 067 /// /// 03
195200 2524N 07546W 6971 03102 0013 +085 +043 204063 064 /// /// 03
195230 2526N 07546W 6976 03096 0006 +091 +043 206064 066 043 002 03
195300 2529N 07547W 6963 03115 0011 +089 +043 207065 066 043 001 00
195330 2531N 07547W 6968 03106 0011 +088 +043 205067 068 042 000 03
195400 2533N 07547W 6967 03106 0006 +089 +043 204069 070 043 001 00
195430 2535N 07547W 6967 03104 9999 +094 +043 205070 070 043 001 00
195500 2538N 07547W 6964 03108 0006 +088 +043 205070 071 044 002 00