ATL: EMILY - Remnants

[AdamFirst]

Emily has always done her best in the dead of the night...all this talk about zombies rising, don't be surprised if something gets going overnight...

[Rgv20]

The legend of King Euro grows...

so next storm we will all be euro hugging,

I have been a Euro huger since 2008

[mutley]

This is what i see... I think... NOT OFFICIAL!

Thanks, I love that! All the kings horses, and all the kings men...

[CourierPR]

Just got home from work and got a new look at it. I think it looks like an impressive tropical disturbance that we'd all be following if it just popped up recently. There;s plenty of vorticity there still and conditions are pretty good for redevlopment north of eastern Cuba so who knows? There have been plenty of TCs that got ravaged by those mountains and then reformed again in the area ex-Emily is headed.
Wxman57, I know you said they don't remember what they were before, but I think they do in one sense. We've all seen TCs that seemed really healthy and then hit bad conditions and completely dissipated, while other times TCs that seemed quite similar broke down under the same bad conditions but then regenerated when conditions improved again. In most cases I think that's because the "memory" is the mid- and upper level structure, especially the mid-level. If conditions are favorable for the MLC but not for the entire storm, and the MLC had a very good amount of vorticity with it, then when it hits good conditions again it has a much better chance than systems that had poor mid-level conditions to begin with. If you look at the latest satellite loops, Emily's MLC is doin' fine, and I can easily see why it might get going again as it moves over water.

Bastardi mentioned that MLC in a tweet and said that the NHC should not have downgraded it.

[AdamFirst]

There's a definite low level spin on the visible satellite thats just about at the north Haitian coast...may be an eddy or a vortice or whatever but it sticks out on the visible satellite. It's the area Aric Dunn alluded to before Avila & the NHC swooped in and killed her.

[artist]

did you all see this thread from the administrator?

viewtopic.php?f=59&t=111369

[CrazyC83]

If there is no circulation at all but the clouds reform into a new circulation, it remains Emily or takes on a new name?

[cycloneye]

If there is no circulation at all but the clouds reform into a new circulation, it remains Emily or takes on a new name?

Emily returns.

[CrazyC83]

Is there a chance they may re-analyze this as never having an LLC and pull a Kendra on this? (reference to the misnamed low in 1966)

[Hurricaneman]

Is there a chance they may re-analyze this as never having an LLC and pull a Kendra on this? (reference to the misnamed low in 1966)

Im going to guess no, but they may cut out the first few advisory plots

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[Shuriken]

Is there a chance they may re-analyze this as never having an LLC

No, because it obviously had one yesterday.

[Typhoon_Willie]

Well here is your answer Crazy83.... The latest discussion on Emily. It is a interesting one.

SINCE ITS INCEPTION...EMILY NEVER HAD A PARTICULARLY ROBUST
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION...AND THE HIGH TERRAIN OF HISPANIOLA
CONTRIBUTED SIGNIFICANTLY TO THE FURTHER DEGENERATION OF THE
CYCLONE TODAY. SATELLITE...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT EMILY NO LONGER HAS A CLOSED
CIRCULATION....AND THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE WITH ITS AXIS ALONG 75W. THIS WAS A BIG WIN FOR THE
ECMWF GLOBAL MODEL...WHICH NEVER DEVELOPED EMILY AND ALWAYS
FORECAST DISSIPATION NEAR HISPANIOLA.

THERE IS STILL A LARGE AREA OF ORGANIZED DISTURBED WEATHER OVER
HISPANIOLA ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF EMILY. THIS ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO SPREAD TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST OVER
EASTERN CUBA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS WITH SOME POTENTIAL
FOR REGENERATION IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

[Fyzn94]

Might this be our longest hurricane-less streak since 2002?

[stormreader]

Is there a chance they may re-analyze this as never having an LLC and pull a Kendra on this? (reference to the misnamed low in 1966)

Don't think so. It obviously did have a low level circulation. It was very visible to the naked eye at one point when the cloud cover was stripped away and there it was. Recon found evidence of it (at times). Pressure was low enough to support tropical storm strength also. Although it did seem like there was a point when it almost became an open wave earlier, then rebounded with a low level circulation. Looks dead now.

[stormreader]

Although I do wonder??? If Emily might still become something of a Cindy (from earlier this season). I look forward to Emily's remnants being absorbed by the trough off the Atlantic Coast and perhaps adding an extra blip of energy in that trough. In that case she might rebound to storm strength well offshore as she heads out into the North Atlantic.

[northtxboy]

This would have been my first hurricane to track. I watched her come of africa and dance across the Atlantic and waited and hoped she would blossom into something beautiful. I stayed up late at night and would fall asleep at work, I screamed at the computer, cursed the NHC and other times I jumped with joy. today is a sad day in my little world. I will miss u emily!!!!!

[mutley]

Although I do wonder??? If Emily might still become something of a Cindy (from earlier this season). I look forward to Emily's remnants being absorbed by the trough off the Atlantic Coast and perhaps adding an extra blip of energy in that trough. In that case she might rebound to storm strength well offshore as she heads out into the North Atlantic.

Emily's remnants are still dying. Barely making rain at this point.

[tolakram]

Best rotation now near the NE tip of Cuba.



Will it or won't it.

[Ptarmigan]

Bye Emily. It was nice knowing you. See you in 2017. We could use the rain still.

[Dave]

The NOAA Hurricane Hunters...Standing down! All missions into what was TS Emily have been canceled.