ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[janswizard]

If you're talking about the HurricaneTrack live feed, they are having some issues but expect to have it back on-line soon.

Thank you!

[Texashawk]

I don't understand. Pressure falls, storm looks like a$$.
Pressure rises, storm looks like Tip.

[Macrocane]

000
URNT15 KNHC 261729
AF306 2709A IRENE HDOB 51 20110826
171930 3057N 07817W 6965 02901 9722 +133 +066 347075 076 064 002 00
172000 3057N 07819W 6970 02902 9733 +131 +066 350078 078 063 003 00
172030 3057N 07821W 6965 02913 9738 +132 +066 351076 077 061 000 00
172100 3057N 07823W 6969 02916 9744 +132 +066 353075 077 060 001 00
172130 3057N 07825W 6968 02923 9750 +134 +066 356074 075 061 000 03
172200 3057N 07827W 6970 02926 9754 +136 +066 360072 072 061 001 00
172230 3057N 07829W 6966 02941 9766 +135 +067 000070 071 060 000 03
172300 3057N 07831W 6967 02946 9775 +130 +067 358066 067 059 000 03
172330 3057N 07833W 6969 02949 9774 +137 +066 000063 064 060 001 03
172400 3057N 07835W 6967 02956 9778 +139 +066 001063 064 061 004 00
172430 3057N 07837W 6967 02963 9800 +127 +066 003066 067 063 001 00
172500 3057N 07839W 6969 02965 9812 +120 +066 004066 067 062 001 00
172530 3056N 07841W 6963 02977 9821 +118 +064 004065 067 061 000 00
172600 3056N 07843W 6967 02979 9826 +119 +065 005065 067 060 001 03
172630 3055N 07845W 6966 02982 9832 +116 +065 001066 067 060 002 03
172700 3053N 07846W 6966 02985 9823 +125 +065 000066 067 062 001 00
172730 3051N 07847W 6970 02982 9826 +127 +065 000064 065 062 001 00
172800 3049N 07848W 6968 02990 9828 +128 +064 000065 066 065 000 00
172830 3047N 07849W 6966 02999 9839 +125 +063 358064 064 066 000 03
172900 3045N 07850W 6969 02997 9855 +113 +063 354062 064 066 002 03
$$

[xironman]

Interesting run by the air force plane, five hours and the center is tiny bit west of the start

Code: Select all

Start
Time of Center Fix: 26th day of the month at 11:45:30Z
Center Fix Coordinates: 30°00'N 77°19'W

End
Time of Center Fix: 26th day of the month at 17:06:00Z
Center Fix Coordinates: 31°02'N 77°29'W

[mf_dolphin]

Looks like she's trying to clear an eye out again on visible and IR.

[deltadog03]

Im sorry....but, until this changes its not gonna start moving NNE (not saying its going west or anything like that, but a NNW to N movement should continue)...Morehead City looks like the place to be for landfall....IMO....

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/d ... oom=&time=


sorry that is the steering map...**Current**

[BigA]

It's about to move over the Gulf Stream for nearly the rest of its time to North Carolina, so that may halt the weakening given the available energy.

[CronkPSU]

Interesting run by the air force plane, five hours and the center is tiny bit west of the start

Code: Select all

Start
Time of Center Fix: 26th day of the month at 11:45:30Z
Center Fix Coordinates: 30°00'N 77°19'W

End
Time of Center Fix: 26th day of the month at 17:06:00Z
Center Fix Coordinates: 31°02'N 77°29'W

and the turn to NNE is suppose to starting now..

EDITED TO FIX TO SHOW LATEST CENTERFIX...even further west

http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/231/fixz.jpg/]http://img231.imageshack.us/img231/6268/fixz.jpg

[Dave]

[Dave]

000
URNT12 KNHC 261724
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092011
A. 26/17:06:00Z
B. 31 deg 02 min N
077 deg 29 min W
C. 700 mb 2660 m
D. 68 kt
E. 049 deg 43 nm
F. 137 deg 92 kt
G. 050 deg 84 nm
H. 951 mb
I. 14 C / 3046 m
J. 18 C / 3055 m
K. 8 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345 / 7
O. 0.02 / 3 nm
P. AF306 2709A IRENE OB 22
MAX FL WIND 105 KT SE QUAD 13:36:40Z
MAX FL TEMP 20 C 251 / 11 NM FROM FL CNTR
;

[HugoCameandLeft]

Interesting run by the air force plane, five hours and the center is tiny bit west of the start

Code: Select all

Start
Time of Center Fix: 26th day of the month at 11:45:30Z
Center Fix Coordinates: 30°00'N 77°19'W

End
Time of Center Fix: 26th day of the month at 17:06:00Z
Center Fix Coordinates: 31°02'N 77°29'W

I was kind of seeing this in the VIS loop, but I was afraid to comment on it for fear that I would just be imagining b/c of the impact to my location of a more westward track.

[Dave]

000
UZNT13 KNHC 261725
XXAA 76177 99310 70782 11618 99972 26202 34064 00754 ///// /////
92436 23600 35087 85176 20800 00578 70845 14456 34564 88999 77999
31313 09608 81718
61616 AF306 2709A IRENE OB 25
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 3087N07819W 1722 MBL WND 34578 AEV 20802 DLM W
ND 35570 971696 WL150 34069 084 REL 3096N07820W 171800 SPG 3087N0
7818W 172223 =
XXBB 76178 99310 70782 11618 00972 26202 11850 20800 22732 15608
33696 14057
21212 00972 34064 11966 34071 22953 34570 33949 34579 44939 34087
55933 34581 66923 35087 77914 35579 88908 35082 99868 36075 11850
00578 22778 35559 33730 34065 44696 34565
31313 09608 81718
61616 AF306 2709A IRENE OB 25
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 3087N07819W 1722 MBL WND 34578 AEV 20802 DLM W
ND 35570 971696 WL150 34069 084 REL 3096N07820W 171800 SPG 3087N0
7818W 172223 =
;

[Dave]

DECODED VDM OBS 22

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 26th day of the month at 17:24Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 306)
Storm Number & Year: 09L in 2011
Storm Name: Irene (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 27
Observation Number: 22
A. Time of Center Fix: 26th day of the month at 17:06:00Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 31°02'N 77°29'W (31.0333N 77.4833W)
B. Center Fix Location: 191 miles (307 km) to the SE (130°) from Charleston, SC, USA.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,660m (8,727ft) at 700mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 68kts (~ 78.3mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 43 nautical miles (49 statute miles) to the NE (49°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 137° at 92kts (From the SE at ~ 105.9mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 84 nautical miles (97 statute miles) to the NE (50°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 951mb (28.08 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 14°C (57°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,046m (9,993ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 18°C (64°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,055m (10,023ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 8°C (46°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 700mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 3 nautical miles
Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 105kts (~ 120.8mph) in the southeast quadrant at 13:36:40Z
Maximum Flight Level Temp: 20°C (68°F) which was observed 11 nautical miles (13 statute miles) to the WSW (251°) from the flight level center

[SunnyThoughts]

Looks as though the inner eyewall is falling apart, and a larger one is trying to get going. Just my opinion from what I'm looking at here.
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/mimic-tc/2011_09L/webManager/last24hrs.gif

[micktooth]

" I wish hurricanes didn't have categories"..Bill Read Director of NHC on TWC.

I couldn't have said it better myself. I hope people don't let their guard down. This is a large and dangerous storm.

The second sentence of the above post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[CronkPSU]

Im sorry....but, until this changes its not gonna start moving NNE (not saying its going west or anything like that, but a NNW to N movement should continue)...Morehead City looks like the place to be for landfall....IMO....

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/d ... oom=&time=


sorry that is the steering map...**Current**

is that a tad east of the NC/SC border?

[CronkPSU]

" I wish hurricanes didn't have categories"..Bill Read Director of NHC on TWC.

I couldn't have said it better myself. I hope people don't let their guard down. This is a large and dangerous storm.

The second sentence of the above post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

why not use the old terrorism warning system and highlight certain areas as different levels of danger as far as surge, wind and rain as the hurricanes get closer to landfall or impact

[CronkPSU]

Interesting run by the air force plane, five hours and the center is tiny bit west of the start

Code: Select all

Start
Time of Center Fix: 26th day of the month at 11:45:30Z
Center Fix Coordinates: 30°00'N 77°19'W

End
Time of Center Fix: 26th day of the month at 17:06:00Z
Center Fix Coordinates: 31°02'N 77°29'W

and the turn to NNE is suppose to starting now..

That's not the latest fix

dang, it is WAY west of the official track then!

[Sanibel]

Remarkable cloud top warming. What is it? Subsidence? Ingestion of continental air to the west?

[SouthernBreeze]

Im sorry....but, until this changes its not gonna start moving NNE (not saying its going west or anything like that, but a NNW to N movement should continue)...Morehead City looks like the place to be for landfall....IMO....

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/d ... oom=&time=


sorry that is the steering map...**Current**

is that a tad east of the NC/SC border?

Moorhead City is in Carteret County - about 3/4 of the way from Wilmington to the Outer Banks