ATL: EMILY - Remnants

[plasticup]

we need a poll

What about a quick poll about what % NHC will give the remnants at 8 PM TWO.

I go with 80%.

I think they'll stick with 60%. Things are coming together quickly right now, but conditions won't stay like this for long.

[gatorcane]

I think they may need to send recond back in tomorrow...

What does everybody think?

Convergence SSE of Andros?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html

[cinlfla]

I've been following Emily since the beginning of her birth now to me this is most exciting to see the storm taken down to nearly nothing only for the remnants regenerate itself. Very interesting. If this is actually what takes place who knows.

[ozonepete]

I'm with you guys. 80% now.

[cycloneye]

I think they may need to send recond back in tomorrow...

Tommorow afternoon.

Code: Select all

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. REMNATS OF STORM EMILY
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 74
A. 06/1800Z
B. AFXXX 1405A INVEST
C. 06/1500Z
D. 25.5N 78.0W
E. 06/1730Z TO 06/2130Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT



[artist]

70%

[Tropics Guy]

The Cuban radar tells it all, nice possible C of C developing...........................

http://www.insmet.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB ... AXw01a.gif

TG

[artist]

The Cuban radar tells it all, nice C of C developing...........................

http://www.insmet.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB ... AXw01a.gif

TG

you just beat me to it! It is really beginning to show the rotation, imo.

[jlauderdal]

Dry air over us all day here. Not a good mix feeding into the NW quadrant.


WNW movement was an illusion. Movement is NNW on model tracks. Jumping back into form from the looks of it.

According to local Met. David Bernard, movement is NW.

when channel 10 rolls out max mayfield we know we have something

[mutley]

The Cuban radar tells it all, nice C of C developing...........................

http://www.insmet.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB ... AXw01a.gif

TG

After looking at that radar, I'll say 80% at 8:00 pm

[Downdraft]

90%

[SFLcane]

I agree this appears to be organizing but by the time it becomes a tropical again it will be way north of SFL unless it stalls for some reason which looks unlikely. Even if this disturbance approaches SFL all the squalls heavy precip etc is to the east of the broad center so nothing to crazy across the mainland.

[SouthDadeFish]

Dry air over us all day here. Not a good mix feeding into the NW quadrant.


WNW movement was an illusion. Movement is NNW on model tracks. Jumping back into form from the looks of it.

According to local Met. David Bernard, movement is NW.

when channel 10 rolls out max mayfield we know we have something

I missed him, what did he say? Vorticity still looks elongated for now.

[SouthDadeFish]

Latest visible:



Looks like daytime heating from Cuba is helping this thing out.

[Aric Dunn]

I find it strange.. the models have this north of the bahamas in about 12 to 18 hours.. ?? seems a bit fast considering it not moving much..

[micktooth]

Possible center of circulation on radar west of Andros Island?
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=AMX&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

[bella_may]

Dont know about u guys, but im ready to start tracking a new system. Emily or the remants of emily has gotten old! Lol

[CourierPR]

I agree this appears to be organizing but by the time it becomes a tropical again it will be way north of SFL unless it stalls for some reason which looks unlikely. Even if this disturbance approaches SFL all the squalls heavy precip etc is to the east of the broad center so nothing to crazy across the mainland.

The system is SE of Florida. If it moves NW, the heavy weather would be over S. Florida, right?

[KWT]

Interesting looking system ,it sure does look like its trying to spin up. Whilst there is some shear its certainly not as strong as it has been, wouldn't be shocked to see this get upgraded again at some point this weekend...

[dolebot_Broward_NW]

Possible center of circulation on radar west of Andros Island?
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=AMX&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

Nada, thats too far up. The returns at that distance are at like 30k-40k feet.