ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[ConvergenceZone]

Latest update: The strength is down to a cat 1 now....

EDIT: Nevermind! They changed it...I looked a moment ago at wunderground.com and it showed winds 95MPH, but now it shows 100MPH, make up your mind guys, ,lol...

[capepoint]

Getting reports of structual damage from possible tornados in Hyde, Beaufort, and Onslow counties. Tornado damage is said to be "significant" in the small town of Belhaven.

You getting that from SPC or a local source?

TV mets and public safety radio.

[kamqercam]

Whoa I just heard thunder. That's the first time I've ever heard thunder from a hurricane.

It's rained quite a bit without any breaks. I'm glad this didn't track further west and slower. It's raining just as hard as Floyd did at times.

[Dave]

265
URNT15 KNHC 270258
AF308 2909A IRENE HDOB 52 20110827
024900 3240N 07746W 6963 02925 9757 +115 +113 002056 057 048 002 00
024930 3240N 07748W 6968 02924 9763 +118 +110 002057 057 048 004 00
025000 3241N 07750W 6968 02932 9768 +117 +106 000058 058 049 004 00
025030 3241N 07752W 6960 02941 9775 +115 +103 001056 057 048 005 00
025100 3241N 07754W 6974 02930 9777 +118 +102 003057 057 049 004 00
025130 3242N 07756W 6958 02953 9784 +116 +100 003056 057 049 001 00
025200 3242N 07757W 6968 02944 9790 +114 +100 001055 055 050 003 00
025230 3242N 07759W 6963 02950 9796 +114 +100 000055 055 052 004 00
025300 3243N 07801W 6967 02954 9798 +115 +101 002056 056 052 005 00
025330 3243N 07803W 6965 02958 9802 +114 +101 003056 056 054 001 00
025400 3243N 07805W 6965 02960 9803 +115 +101 004054 054 056 002 00
025430 3244N 07807W 6961 02972 9807 +115 +101 004054 054 055 003 00
025500 3244N 07809W 6969 02963 9810 +116 +102 004051 051 056 003 00
025530 3244N 07810W 6963 02975 9820 +111 +102 007050 051 057 003 00
025600 3245N 07812W 6963 02979 9828 +107 +102 012050 051 057 004 00
025630 3245N 07814W 6965 02981 9852 +092 //// 016051 053 056 006 01
025700 3245N 07816W 6967 02986 9863 +087 //// 015054 055 056 006 01
025730 3246N 07818W 6963 02992 9861 +093 +089 015053 053 056 005 00
025800 3246N 07820W 6965 02991 9857 +101 +084 012054 055 057 003 00
025830 3246N 07822W 6963 03000 9854 +105 +081 011054 057 058 002 00
$$
;

[sittingduck]

to add to the other questions - in general what happened to Irene? I am grateful that she is weaker than predicted for all in her path and know that she is still extremely dangerous - but I don't think I have ever seen a system do what she did today so quickly?

[ncbird]

There are actually 500+ people on-line but most are guests. There's a probably combination of 1. just tired of Irene, 2. "It's not going to hit me.." 3. Friday night and 4. Landfall won't be until the morning.

btw, great to see you katdaddy!

reason #5.... It's my birthday and even though Irene crashed it, I still gotta spend a little time with family. LoL.... well at least enough time to open the presents

[capepoint]

Whoa I just heard thunder. That's the first time I've ever heard thunder from a hurricane.

It's rained quite a bit without any breaks. I'm glad this didn't track further west and slower. It's raining just as hard as Floyd did at times.

We had a good lightnng and thunder show earlier. I dont ever recall hearing that much in a hurricane either.

[Recurve]

Boy this looks like a wet one too. Storm totals of 5-7 inches just from north of the eye in Nexrad. There's a swath of 5-7" three-hour rain rate just south of the coast at Morehead City.

Three hour rain total:



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[Riptide]

Latest update: The strength is down to a cat 1 now....

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.6N 76.9W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SSW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.08 INCHES

Remains a Category 2

[mf_dolphin]

Latest update: The strength is down to a cat 1 now....

Nope, the 11PM held at 100 MPH Cat2. Where did you get your information from?

[wjs3]

to add to the other questions - in general what happened to Irene? I am grateful that she is weaker than predicted for all in her path and know that she is still extremely dangerous - but I don't think I have ever seen a system do what she did today so quickly?

My analysis is that there was more upper troffiness in the gulf of Mexico than the models progged for a while there. As such, shear values were higher than expected, and there was probably some advection of drier air into the system by the shear.

As always, will be interesting to read the NHC post analysis to see their take on this. Intensity forecasting is SO frustrating!

[WeatherGuesser]

Still Cat 2 at the 11 PM update. No significant changes.

[CronkPSU]

at its current movement, looks like it may miss the projected first landfall completely...of course all it takes is one wobble back...

at 4 PM I thought there was no way it would miss Morehead

[KatDaddy]

Y'all be safe tonight in the Carolina's Will be up early how you are doing.

[Aja]

Whoa I just heard thunder. That's the first time I've ever heard thunder from a hurricane.

It's rained quite a bit without any breaks. I'm glad this didn't track further west and slower. It's raining just as hard as Floyd did at times.

HUGO had thunder and tornadoes. I agree everything about this storm has confused me after being through a few of them. Wish a met would let us know what they think about the SE instead if the NE being the strongest winds theory is.

[wsquared77]

Just checking in from New Bern, NC. Steady moderate rain here and winds picking up (around 30mph now). We still have power but we're starting to hear a lot of reports of outages. Also lots of tornado warnings in the area, although none in Craven County yet. I know I posted this on the Mid-Atlantic board earlier but thought I'd share it here too. The link below is a live weather station on the Neuse River about 6 miles down river from New Bern (between New Bern and Havelock). It has constantly updated wind, rain, temp etc. info and, once daybreak happens tomorrow, there is a live web cam focused on the river.
http://pages.suddenlink.net/neuseweather/

On another note, just in the past 5 minutes, my cat has started going absolutely nuts....He knows Irene is on her way!

[mf_dolphin]

There are actually 500+ people on-line but most are guests. There's a probably combination of 1. just tired of Irene, 2. "It's not going to hit me.." 3. Friday night and 4. Landfall won't be until the morning.

btw, great to see you katdaddy!

reason #5.... It's my birthday and even though Irene crashed it, I still gotta spend a little time with family. LoL.... well at least enough time to open the presents

Happy Birthday! You throw one heck of a party!

[capepoint]

NWS: MHX: Belhaven [Beaufort Co, NC] 911 call center reports TORNADO -- structural damage to multiple trailers along bay street

Also reports of roofs off of car dealership and other commercial structures, according to radio.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Now with 11PM EDT track and 5PM EDT track.

[ConvergenceZone]

Latest update: The strength is down to a cat 1 now....

Nope, the 11PM held at 100 MPH Cat2. Where did you get your information from?

hehe, well I kept refreshing the screen at http://wunderground.com and it showed 95mph, but the hurricane symbol sill showed cat2...Anyway, so I figured they would correct the symbol. Well, then the next time I refreshed it, it showed winds: 100 MPH, so just a typo that was quickly corrected by them. I went back and quickly corrected my original post.