ATL: EMILY - Remnants

[Aric Dunn]

center may be farther NE than we all thought..

[NDG]

[quote="Aric Dunnall the islands maybe ?

The highest point (aside from buildings) in the Bahamas is 207 ft ASL.

- - - - - -

This thing is gelling fast on radar now.

[/quote]

185400 2630N 07800W 9800 00289 0122 +242 +231 257011 011 /// /// 03

Plane is flying quite low, 980 mb[/quote]

When I made that post they were flying that high, is just recently that they went down after passing over Grand Bahama.

BTW, closed low found near 26.5N & 78.1W

[mutley]

Well if it is Emily then there would be Tropical storm watches and warnings to go up now if they close her off and find the winds to support . That what I am thinking .

I'd like to be a fly on the wall at NHC right now, and see what they are saying about this.

[NDG]

It also appears to be elongated like I thought earlier.

[SouthDadeFish]

I see a WNW movement on radar and satellite....

[Canelaw99]

Think there will be a special update or wait till 5?

[northjaxpro]

Could be an elongated and broad surface circulation.

[SouthDadeFish]

Think there will be a special update or wait till 5?

What if there is a special update at 5?

Ok, but seriously, I think they'll wait to five to make sure its closed and not too elongated.

[pcolaman]

Think there will be a special update or wait till 5?

IMHO I think s special because of how close to the mainland .

[Dean4Storms]

I see a WNW movement.

[northjaxpro]

Think there will be a special update or wait till 5?

if Recon confirms a closed circulation and at least a TD, we will see a package at 5:00 p.m. EDT.

[jinftl]

i would think because of the nw bahamas more than the u.s. coast, no? I wouldn't expect any watches or warnings outside of the nw bahamas

Think there will be a special update or wait till 5?

IMHO I think s special because of how close to the mainland .

[artist]

000
URNT15 KNHC 061913
AF307 1405A INVEST HDOB 15 20110806
185630 2630N 07751W 9780 00300 0119 +240 +237 246010 012 /// /// 03
185700 2630N 07749W 9782 00297 0119 +239 //// 221009 009 /// /// 05
185730 2630N 07748W 9778 00302 0121 +235 //// 217010 010 /// /// 05
185800 2630N 07746W 9780 00302 0122 +238 +234 206010 011 /// /// 03
185830 2631N 07745W 9776 00303 0120 +240 +230 201011 011 /// /// 03
185900 2632N 07745W 9778 00305 0122 +240 +232 196008 009 /// /// 03
185930 2632N 07747W 9782 00301 0125 +240 +231 196006 007 /// /// 03
190000 2632N 07749W 9780 00307 0125 +239 +236 210005 006 /// /// 03
190030 2632N 07750W 9779 00302 0122 +240 //// 220005 006 /// /// 05
190100 2632N 07752W 9781 00301 0121 +237 //// 258008 009 /// /// 05
190130 2632N 07754W 9778 00302 0120 +239 +235 255008 009 /// /// 03
190200 2632N 07755W 9780 00300 0119 +240 +232 256007 007 /// /// 03
190230 2631N 07757W 9779 00301 0119 +239 +235 264006 007 /// /// 03
190300 2631N 07759W 9779 00301 0120 +238 +237 275006 007 /// /// 03
190330 2631N 07800W 9782 00298 0119 +239 +232 272006 007 008 000 00
190400 2631N 07802W 9780 00301 0120 +240 +229 278006 007 010 001 00
190430 2631N 07804W 9779 00301 0119 +240 +227 283006 007 010 000 00
190500 2631N 07805W 9780 00300 0119 +242 +225 283007 007 008 000 03
190530 2631N 07807W 9776 00302 0118 +243 +227 277005 006 /// /// 03
190600 2633N 07807W 9778 00302 0119 +247 +225 256005 005 /// /// 03

[NDG]

So far very light winds found, but I am sure that stronger winds are probably going to be found on the SW quadrant of the circulation.
Emily's remnants is suffering the same effects as Don did.

[Aric Dunn]

ALL this WNW movement is the convection be blown away and rebuilding ... the low level circ is not moving much.. and is probably be reformed over multiple times since the convection is displaced.

[pcolaman]

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... X&loop=yes
in the rock loop u can see a drift to the wsw or s imo

[artist]

000
URNT15 KNHC 061916
AF307 1405A INVEST HDOB 16 20110806
190630 2634N 07807W 9781 00300 0119 +250 +226 256005 005 /// /// 03
190700 2636N 07807W 9780 00301 0119 +250 +225 270004 005 /// /// 03
190730 2637N 07807W 9780 00302 0120 +250 +225 265004 004 008 000 00
190800 2639N 07807W 9780 00301 0119 +250 +228 251003 004 012 004 03
190830 2640N 07807W 9778 00303 0120 +252 +235 240003 003 /// /// 03
190900 2642N 07807W 9778 00303 0120 +251 +241 272003 003 /// /// 03
190930 2644N 07807W 9780 00302 0121 +250 +239 227003 004 /// /// 03
191000 2645N 07807W 9780 00306 0122 +250 +233 226003 004 /// /// 03
191030 2647N 07806W 9780 00305 0123 +246 +239 264005 006 /// /// 03
191100 2648N 07806W 9780 00303 0123 +245 +239 269004 005 005 002 03
191130 2650N 07806W 9778 00305 0122 +245 +241 262003 004 006 004 00
191200 2651N 07806W 9781 00302 0122 +244 +240 286002 003 009 006 00
191230 2653N 07806W 9781 00303 0124 +238 //// 315002 003 016 007 01
191300 2654N 07806W 9777 00306 0124 +230 //// 177002 004 023 008 01
191330 2656N 07806W 9778 00305 0124 +232 +228 135006 007 024 008 00
191400 2658N 07806W 9782 00300 0123 +241 +217 144007 008 012 003 00
191430 2659N 07806W 9776 00307 0123 +250 +208 152008 010 015 000 00
191500 2701N 07806W 9782 00302 0124 +251 +213 148007 008 013 000 00
191530 2702N 07806W 9779 00306 0124 +250 +227 145004 006 012 000 00
191600 2704N 07806W 9774 00312 0124 +246 +235 066003 005 014 006 00
$$
;

[Jevo]

Plane is flying quite low, 980 mb

Maybe they're trailing a water skier?........ Back on topic.. Im sitting in my living room looking at the sun then out of nowhere a squall flew by dropping copious amounts of water and gusts over 25.. then its gone 3 mins later and its back to overcast My loc is 26.27 80.29 for those with GR L3

[northjaxpro]

i would think because of the nw bahamas more than the u.s. coast, no? I wouldn't expect any watches or warnings outside of the nw bahamas

Think there will be a special update or wait till 5?

IMHO I think s special because of how close to the mainland .

unless there is a significant west wobble, I don't anticipate a watch on the SE FL coast. But, it wouldn't take much of a wobble west to have an impact there.

[Aric Dunn]

was there a invest on the tracking map at the top of the S2k page ... if there was its not there now....??