ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[tolakram]

I can post noaa ops once it gets close.

[Annie Oakley]

HURRICANE IRENE LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
403 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011

...IRENE MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD SOUTHEASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS LASHING THE CAROLINA COAST...

.NEW INFORMATION...
3 AM EDT POSITION INCLUDED.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
MARTIN...PITT...WASHINGTON...TYRRELL...MAINLAND DARE...GREENE...
BEAUFORT...MAINLAND HYDE...DUPLIN...LENOIR...JONES...CRAVEN...
PAMLICO...CARTERET...ONSLOW...OUTER BANKS DARE AND OUTER BANKS
HYDE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS INCLUDING ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN
EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR
ANY TORNADO WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 3 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.7N...LONGITUDE 76.5W. THIS WAS ABOUT 120 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BUXTON NC...OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH OF
MOREHEAD CITY NC. STORM MOTION WAS NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 14 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 90 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
DUE TO THE SIZE AND THE STRENGTH OF HURRICANE IRENE...SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS WILL OCCUR WELL AWAY FROM THE STORM CENTER. SIGNIFICANT
STORM SURGE...DAMAGING WINDS AND FRESH WATER FLOODING ARE EXPECTED
AS IRENE AFFECTS THE AREA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS HAVE MOVED
INTO SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD THROUGH
THE NIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BEGIN ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PORTIONS AROUND 5 AM AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA AT 8 AM. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR
HURRICANE IRENE TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR CAPE LOOKOUT AROUND 11 AM
SATURDAY.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
RAINFALL WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES
WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS AS MUCH AS 12 INCHES COULD OCCUR
DURING THIS EVENT. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR EAST
OF HIGHWAY 17. PLEASE LISTEN FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE
IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

A 5 TO 9 FEET OF SURGE IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. AREAS
THAT WILL BE HARDEST HIT WILL BE ADJACENT TO THE PAMLICO SOUND
INCLUDING THE LOWER REACHES OF THE NEUSE AND PAMLICO
RIVERS...OCEANSIDE AREAS SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS...AND SOUNDSIDE
OUTER BANKS DARE AND HYDE COUNTIES. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL
PRODUCE MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING OF HOMES...ROADS...AND
PROPERTIES.

10 TO 15 FOOT BREAKERS WILL PRODUCE SEVERE BEACH EROSION...OCEAN
OVERWASH...AND LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. ISOLATED
TORNADOES ARE LIKELY TONIGHT AND AND DURING THE DAY SATURDAY MAINLY
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. ANY TORNADOES THAT OCCUR WILL BE BRIEF
AND VERY DIFFICULT TO SEE. PLEASE LISTEN FOR ANY TORNADO WARNINGS
THAT MIGHT BE ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DURING THE STORM...STAY INSIDE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. DO NOT
VENTURE OUTSIDE WHEN HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR DURING TEMPORARY
LULLS AS FLYING DEBRIS CAN EASILY...AND SUDDENLY...CAUSE SERIOUS
INJURY.

HAVE A WELL-CHARGED CELL PHONE NEARBY...KEEPING NETWORK
COMMUNICATIONS AS OPEN AS POSSIBLE FOR EMERGENCIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR SMALL CRAFT WHO FAILED TO MAKE IT TO SAFE HARBOR OR PORT...
AND ARE NOW IN DISTRESS...RADIO YOUR SITUATION ACCORDING TO
MARITIME PROTOCOL. IF APPROPRIATE...DEPLOY YOUR EMERGENCY
DISTRESS BEACON. ENSURE THAT EVERYONE IS WEARING LIFE JACKETS...
AND SURVIVAL SUITS IF AVAILABLE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY AROUND 6 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-280815-
/O.CON.KMHX.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ALBEMARLE SOUND-PAMLICO SOUND-
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
S OF OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO N OF SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM-
403 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED ANY
PLANS TO SECURE OF THEIR BOATS FOR THE STORM.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO
83 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS 100 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE TO HURRICANE FORCE LATE TONIGHT.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO LAST FOR MANY HOURS.
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 60 TO 80 KNOTS RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 95 KNOTS. SEAS OF 15 TO 20 FEET WILL BUILD TO 30 TO
35 PEAKING SATURDAY MORNING.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE TORNADO
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY IF A
TORNADO APPROACHES.

$$
CORRECTED FOR TYPO IN COASTAL PLAINS SECTION

[Annie Oakley]

000
URNT15 KNHC 270852
AF306 3109A IRENE HDOB 35 20110827
084300 3440N 07603W 6966 02895 9737 +117 +049 133078 078 061 007 00
084330 3439N 07604W 6967 02886 9725 +122 +049 130078 079 061 006 00
084400 3437N 07606W 6965 02884 9719 +121 +051 130075 077 059 006 00
084430 3436N 07607W 6966 02875 9707 +125 +051 129073 074 061 004 00
084500 3435N 07609W 6967 02867 9702 +123 +052 130073 074 061 009 00
084530 3434N 07611W 6967 02859 9700 +117 +053 127075 077 061 008 00
084600 3432N 07612W 6966 02855 9687 +123 +053 129076 077 061 007 00
084630 3431N 07614W 6965 02847 9686 +115 +053 127077 078 063 007 00
084700 3430N 07615W 6966 02838 9689 +102 +053 123076 077 066 017 00
084730 3429N 07617W 6967 02825 9684 +097 +053 126076 078 066 021 00
084800 3427N 07618W 6965 02822 9667 +104 +053 138070 075 068 014 30
084830 3426N 07620W 6969 02806 9633 +127 +053 134064 065 065 011 00
084900 3425N 07621W 6965 02805 9621 +132 +052 131064 064 064 005 00
084930 3424N 07623W 6966 02796 9611 +134 +053 129062 062 063 005 00
085000 3423N 07624W 6967 02785 9602 +131 +054 128061 061 068 001 00
085030 3421N 07626W 6963 02780 9597 +129 +056 127060 061 071 008 00
085100 3420N 07627W 6974 02757 9589 +127 +057 125056 057 058 006 00
085130 3419N 07629W 6963 02763 9574 +132 +057 122053 057 053 010 00
085200 3417N 07630W 6966 02751 9559 +138 +058 122049 051 051 006 03
085230 3416N 07632W 6966 02743 9557 +132 +057 120048 050 047 003 00
$$
;

[Annie Oakley]

Thanks for the update man!!!!! Keep em comming. If u hear anything about dare county let me know asap please

Check out this thread...I just posted a weather statement there which includes Dare County

viewtopic.php?f=59&t=111552&p=2178944#p2178944

[NC George]

All I know is my brother is stationed at cherry point but my sister inlaw said she lives in dare county,,who know she may have things mixed up. She is really scared right now,, they have no power and no way to find out whats going on. They couldnt find a weather radio she said they were sold out she she is counting on me

Well, that would be one heck of a commute, as Dare County is separated by 2 sounds from Cherry Point, it would literally take 2-3 hours to either drive or ride the ferries between the two. Maybe get the name of the community she is in and we can pinpoint it.

If she lives near Cherry Point, then the worst is there right now, landfall near Morehead City in a couple of hours or so, they are reporting hurricane force winds near there right now. If she lives in Dare County, then she has probably 4 or so more hours before things start to go really bad.

[tolakram]

Morehead City, saved radar image

[SNOW_JOKE]

http://www.ustream.tv/channel/live-seve ... her-webcam
Coming close the eyewall now.

[Annie Oakley]

Sounds good Mark. Great graphic .................

[northtxboy]

Slocum village thats the name of there base housing

[tolakram]

[USTropics]

Live webcam for Top Sail Island (Atlantic Beach). Pretty amazing footage. The pier is getting hammered with waves (I'm not sure how high the pier is but I would estimate 20+ foot waves engulfing the pier at times).

http://surfchex.com/nags-head-web-cam.php
http://surfchex.com/

[Annie Oakley]

000
URNT15 KNHC 270902
AF306 3109A IRENE HDOB 36 20110827
085300 3414N 07633W 6963 02736 9541 +137 +058 116037 043 046 005 00
085330 3413N 07634W 6967 02728 9529 +143 +059 118030 031 042 003 00
085400 3411N 07635W 6969 02722 9518 +149 +061 120028 029 036 002 00
085430 3410N 07636W 6969 02714 9511 +151 +063 124019 021 028 001 03
085500 3408N 07637W 6963 02716 9502 +154 +065 120010 012 023 001 00
085530 3406N 07638W 6967 02712 9500 +156 +067 151003 003 018 000 00
085600 3405N 07639W 6971 02707 9499 +155 +068 264002 004 018 001 03
085630 3404N 07640W 6965 02717 9497 +160 +069 298006 007 019 000 00
085700 3402N 07642W 6965 02719 9499 +161 +070 319014 018 017 001 00
085730 3401N 07643W 6969 02718 9499 +166 +071 321022 024 022 001 00
085800 3359N 07645W 6963 02733 9509 +163 +072 318026 027 027 001 00
085830 3358N 07646W 6968 02733 9513 +164 +072 312031 033 031 000 00
085900 3357N 07647W 6965 02745 9521 +166 +072 309034 037 035 000 00
085930 3355N 07649W 6965 02750 9531 +163 +072 308042 043 039 000 03
090000 3355N 07649W 6965 02750 9534 +166 +073 309044 045 039 001 00
090030 3353N 07652W 6966 02764 9543 +166 +072 309049 049 040 000 00
090100 3352N 07654W 6967 02770 9553 +164 +071 311050 050 040 001 03
090130 3351N 07655W 6965 02780 9567 +157 +071 313049 050 042 000 00
090200 3350N 07657W 6966 02786 9580 +151 +071 314051 051 044 000 00
090230 3349N 07658W 6967 02792 9592 +148 +071 314049 050 049 001 00
$$
;

[Annie Oakley]

Slocum village thats the name of there base housing

Here is the link to Dare County Emergency Management...they have a twitter feed also.

http://www.co.dare.nc.us/emgymgmt/index.htm


http://twitter.com/#!/DareCoEM

[NC George]

Slocum village thats the name of there base housing

Ok, that's right in Havelock, Craven County; the eye is going to pass just to the right of them in the next couple of hours. On the local news there are reports of 61 mph winds in New Bern, which is actually about 15 miles farther away from the center than they are.

[jlauderdal]

Uploaded with ImageShack.us

[northtxboy]

thank u so much everyone for the help!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Annie Oakley]

000
URNT15 KNHC 270912
AF306 3109A IRENE HDOB 37 20110827
090300 3347N 07700W 6967 02798 9603 +145 +072 315050 051 053 002 03
090330 3346N 07701W 6971 02801 9606 +148 +071 318052 052 055 002 00
090400 3345N 07703W 6965 02817 9618 +145 +072 321054 056 058 001 00
090430 3344N 07704W 6963 02826 9625 +147 +072 321059 060 058 002 00
090500 3342N 07706W 6965 02834 9625 +156 +073 320060 061 058 003 00
090530 3342N 07706W 6965 02834 9628 +161 +073 314059 061 056 002 00
090600 3340N 07709W 6965 02848 9639 +158 +073 315057 058 056 001 00
090630 3339N 07710W 6967 02854 9659 +147 +071 312059 060 056 000 03
090700 3337N 07712W 6965 02860 9667 +145 +070 312058 058 054 000 03
090730 3336N 07713W 6968 02864 9675 +143 +070 311058 059 054 000 03
090800 3335N 07715W 6967 02871 9674 +149 +069 311057 058 054 001 00
090830 3334N 07716W 6964 02882 9684 +149 +068 308055 056 054 000 03
090900 3332N 07717W 6967 02884 9694 +146 +068 308053 054 053 000 03
090930 3331N 07719W 6964 02897 9706 +143 +068 310051 051 052 000 03
091000 3330N 07720W 6966 02899 9718 +137 +068 312052 052 051 001 03
091030 3329N 07722W 6965 02906 9720 +141 +068 308050 051 051 000 03
091100 3328N 07723W 6967 02907 9724 +139 +068 307050 050 050 000 03
091130 3326N 07725W 6964 02914 9730 +139 +068 306050 050 049 000 03
091200 3325N 07726W 6970 02910 9734 +138 +068 306049 050 050 000 03
091230 3324N 07727W 6963 02921 9742 +132 +068 304049 049 051 001 03
$$

[USTropics]

Very close to landfall, here is a zoomed in view:

[tolakram]

FYI, I turned off the terrain display in GE options and that seems to stabilize things. Guess it was attempting to draw every bit of terrain graphics even though I use a satellite overlay.

[Annie Oakley]

Product: Air Force Temp Drop (Dropsonde) Message (UZNT13 KNHC)
Transmitted: 27th day of the month at 09:12Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 306)
Storm Number: 09
Storm Name: Irene (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 31
Observation Number: 15
.........................................
Dropsonde Location: Dropped in maximum wind band.

Splash Location: 34.51N 76.4W
Splash Time: 8:51Z

Release Location: 34.46N 76.3W View map)
Release Time: 8:47:53Z

Splash Location: 34.51N 76.39W (
Splash Time: 8:51:53Z

Mean Boundary Level Wind (mean wind in the lowest 500 geopotential meters of the sounding):
- Wind Direction: 105° (from the ESE)
- Wind Speed: 84 knots (97 mph)

Deep Layer Mean Wind (average wind over the depth of the sounding):
- Wind Direction: 120° (from the ESE)
- Wind Speed: 82 knots (94 mph)
- Depth of Sounding: From 696mb to 96