This is from the Fiji Met Service:
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 16F [1002HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 21.5S 166.0E AT
290600 UTC MOVING ESE AT 30 KNOTS. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR
WITH ANIMATION AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 28 DEGREES.
ORGANISATION HAS IMPROVED SLIGHTLY IN THE LAST 12 HOURS. AMOUNT AND
DEPTH OF CONVECTION HAS NOT INCREASED MUCH. SYSTEM LIES TO THE EAST
OF AN UPPER TROUGH IN A HIGH SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.
GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND ARE MOVING IT
SOUTHEASTWARDS WITH SOME INTENSIFICATION.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW TO MODERATE.
NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.
