WPAC: NOCK-TEN (Juaning) - Tropical Depression

[supercane]

WTPN31 PGTW 280300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (NOCK-TEN) WARNING NR 014
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280000Z --- NEAR 17.8N 116.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.8N 116.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 18.2N 114.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 18.8N 112.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 19.4N 110.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 19.4N 109.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 19.0N 105.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 19.8N 102.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 21.1N 100.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
280300Z POSITION NEAR 17.9N 116.0E.
TROPICAL STORM 10W (NOCK-TEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 310 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z
IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z, 281500Z, 282100Z AND 290300Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 11W (ELEVEN) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

[euro6208]

nock-ten setting it's sight on hainan island.

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
4.6 / 971.4mb/ 79.6kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
3.6 3.6 2.5

[HURAKAN]

Latest microwave - large center

[KWT]

Yep Hurakan, classic of a system that has had land interaction, core developed but then got wiped out and so its got to start again. It is trying though.

[Typhoon Hunter]

It's cranking now. Per IR and vis satellite it would appear a banding eye / eyewall is forming again! And JMA currently have this at 35kts...

[KWT]

The agencies seem to be constantly behind the curve with this system don't they TH.

[Typhoon Hunter]

The agencies seem to be constantly behind the curve with this system don't they TH.

Without wishing to sound like a broken record, yeah! I don't think I've seen a storm so poorly warned - glad it's not just me noticing this! At least we're at less risk of getting chastised for airing viable criticism of the Wpac agencies unlike the hallowed and untouchable NHC

[P.K.]

Yes there does seem to be a bit of a variation right now from the JMA at 35kts, the KMA at 40kts, CWB at 45kts to the CMA/HKO at 50kts. Thailand are also issuing warnings given where it is currently at 50kts.

[KWT]

I'd go with the somewhat higher estimates right now, 35kts is probably too low, 50kts maybe a touch on the high end.

[dexterlabio]

Looking good, actually. I doubt it is lower than 50kts right now.

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[HURAKAN]

WTPN31 PGTW 281500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (NOCK-TEN) WARNING NR 016
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 18.1N 113.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N 113.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 18.6N 111.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 19.0N 110.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 19.2N 108.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 19.3N 107.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 19.4N 104.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 19.1N 102.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
281500Z POSITION NEAR 18.2N 113.0E.
AT 072812 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED 464 NM ESE OF HANOI.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z, 290300Z, 290900Z AND 291500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 10W (NOCK-TEN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

[HURAKAN]

ZCZC 215
WTPQ20 RJTD 281200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1108 NOCK-TEN (1108)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 281200UTC 18.2N 113.8E FAIR
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 240NM NORTH 160NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 291200UTC 19.8N 110.9E 70NM 70%
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 301200UTC 20.1N 107.7E 110NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 311200UTC 20.5N 104.9E 160NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =
NNNN

[KWT]

Wrapping up again very nicely, good convective bursting, has more then enough time to get back to then 65-75kts range IMO. Picked up a bit of forward speed I see as well...

[Chacor]

WTPQ20 RJTD 282100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1108 NOCK-TEN (1108)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 282100UTC 18.1N 112.2E FAIR
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 260NM NORTHEAST 160NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 292100UTC 19.5N 108.8E 70NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 301800UTC 19.8N 106.0E 110NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
69HF 311800UTC 20.0N 102.6E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

[euro6208]

T3.5/3.5 NOCK-TEN -- West Pacific

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
4.2 / 976.3mb/ 69.8kt

a typhoon possibly?

i agree with jtwc, nock-ten is a 55 knot tropical storm and has about 12 hours left before it makes its 2nd landfall on hainan island!

landfall intensity? .... 60 knots

very deep convection approaching vietnam: 3rd landfall soon!!!

[supercane]

WTPQ20 RJTD 290000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1108 NOCK-TEN (1108)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 290000UTC 18.1N 112.1E FAIR
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 260NM NORTHEAST 160NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 300000UTC 19.2N 108.4E 70NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 310000UTC 19.6N 105.9E 110NM 70%
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 010000UTC 19.7N 103.3E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

WTPN31 PGTW 290300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (NOCK-TEN) WARNING NR 018
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
290000Z --- NEAR 18.4N 112.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N 112.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 18.9N 110.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 18.9N 108.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 18.4N 106.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 18.2N 104.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 18.7N 102.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
290300Z POSITION NEAR 18.5N 111.8E.
TROPICAL STORM 10W (NOCK-TEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 10 KNOTS OVERTHE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 21 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z, 291500Z, 292100Z AND 300300Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 11W (MUIFA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

TPPN10 PGTW 290018
A. TROPICAL STORM 10W (NOCK-TEN)
B. 28/2332Z
C. 18.5N
D. 112.7E
E. FIVE/MTSAT
F. T3.0/3.5/S0.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/06HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. .70 WRAP ON LOG10 SPIRAL YIELDED
A 3.0 DT. MET INDICATED 4.0. PT INDICATES 3.5. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
QUAST

[euro6208]

goog luck to all in southeast asia...

[phwxenthusiast]

Haikou airport reporting northeasterly gusts of up to 80kph... pressure around 984hPa and lowering...

latest radar from CMA

[supercane]

WTPQ20 RJTD 291500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1108 NOCK-TEN (1108)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 291500UTC 19.7N 109.6E FAIR
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 986HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 260NM EAST 160NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 301500UTC 20.2N 107.1E 70NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 311200UTC 20.4N 104.8E 110NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 10W (NOCK-TEN) WARNING NR 020
WTPN31 PGTW 291500
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (NOCK-TEN) WARNING NR 020
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291200Z --- NEAR 19.2N 109.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N 109.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 19.4N 107.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 19.3N 106.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 19.1N 105.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 19.0N 104.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
291500Z POSITION NEAR 19.2N 109.3E.
AT 072912 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED 245 NM ESE OF HANOI.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z, 300300Z, 300900Z AND 301500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 11W (MUIFA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
BT
#0001
NNNN

TXPQ28 KNES 291544
TCSWNP
A. 10W (NOCK-TEN)
B. 29/1501Z
C. 20.1N
D. 110.1E
E. THREE/MTSAT
F. T3.0/3.5/W0.5/12HRS
G. IR/EIR/SWIR
H. REMARKS...SSMIS 1238Z PASS SUGGESTS LOW-LEVEL STORM CENTER HAS BECOME
EXPOSED IN THE NORTHEAST EDGE OF THE CONVECTION. 1501Z SWIR IMAGE SUPPORTS
THIS POSITION. SHEAR PATTERN LT 0.5 DEG FROM DG YIELDS DT OF 3.0. MET
IS 2.5 AND PAT IS 3.0. FT IS BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...GUILLOT