SIO: INVEST 92S

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Subtrop
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SIO: INVEST 92S

#1 Postby Subtrop » Fri May 27, 2022 4:28 am

92P INVEST 220527 0000 10.3S 100.8E SHEM 15 1010
Last edited by Subtrop on Sun May 29, 2022 6:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Grifforzer
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Re: SIO: INVEST 92P

#2 Postby Grifforzer » Fri May 27, 2022 4:59 pm

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Friday 27 May 2022
for the period until midnight WST Monday 30 May 2022.
Existing Cyclones in the Western Region:

Nil.
Potential Cyclones:

A tropical low may develop between Cocos and Christmas Island during Friday before moving towards the southeast. It is unlikely to develop into a Tropical Cyclone.
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Grifforzer
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Re: SIO: INVEST 92P

#3 Postby Grifforzer » Sat May 28, 2022 1:14 am

a tropical low has formed in the Indian ocean

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

IDW10800
Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Saturday 28 May 2022
for the period until midnight WST Tuesday 31 May 2022.
Existing Cyclones in the Western Region:

Nil.
Potential Cyclones:

A tropical low lies to the southwest of Christmas Island and is moving towards the southeast. It may approach the Pilbara coast during Monday but is unlikely to develop into a Tropical Cyclone.
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Subtrop
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Re: SIO: INVEST 92S

#4 Postby Subtrop » Sun May 29, 2022 6:11 pm

92S INVEST 220529 1800 16.9S 111.3E SHEM 25 1004
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Grifforzer
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Re: SIO: INVEST 92S

#5 Postby Grifforzer » Sun May 29, 2022 8:38 pm

ABIO10 PGTW 291800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN/291800Z-301800ZMAY2022//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 16.9S 111.3E, APPROXIMATELY 356 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED AS A SUBTROPICAL STORM, GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED AS HAVING BOTH TROPICAL AND MID-LATITUDE FEATURES. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED POLEWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, UNDER STRONG NORTHWESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL FLOW WITH A SUBTROPICAL JET TO THE SOUTH, AND IS INTERACTING WITH A MODERATE BAROCLINIC ZONE. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD, DISORGANIZED SYSTEM WITH DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE EAST DUE TO MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. A 291620Z GMI 89GHZ COLOR COMPOSITE MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS SHALLOW BANDING WRAPPING INTO A BROAD, WEAKLY-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH THE BULK OF THE DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED EAST. A 291434Z ASCAT-B IMAGE SHOWS A HIGHLY ASYMMETRIC WIND FIELD WITH 30-35 KNOT WINDS OVER THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN PERIPHERIES. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THIS SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD OVER NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS WITH GRADUAL WEAKENING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. FOR HAZARDS AND WARNINGS, REFERENCE THE FLEET WEATHER CENTER SAN DIEGO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL WMO DESIGNATED FORECAST AUTHORITY. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE SYSTEM TO TRANSITION INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
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