ATL: ISAAC - Models

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Kingarabian
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#1061 Postby Kingarabian » Tue Aug 21, 2012 5:00 pm

18z GFS 93hrs:
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#1062 Postby Jevo » Tue Aug 21, 2012 5:00 pm

18z GFS

+96

Im leaving the office... someone else pick it up

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1063 Postby Blown Away » Tue Aug 21, 2012 5:02 pm

18z GFS ... 102 hrs .. Over E Cuba
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal102.gif
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#1064 Postby SeminoleWind » Tue Aug 21, 2012 5:03 pm

trying to sneak over extreme eastern tip of Cuba.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1065 Postby SouthFLTropics » Tue Aug 21, 2012 5:04 pm

Blown Away wrote:18z GFS ... 102 hrs .. Over E Cuba
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal102.gif


I'm getting a feeling that we aren't going to like this run Blown Away!!! Looks to spend minimal time over land and leave quite a bit of water between SE FLA and itself.

SFT
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1066 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 21, 2012 5:04 pm

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal096.gif


these maps show better ridge orientation, IMO and I like colors...
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1067 Postby Blown Away » Tue Aug 21, 2012 5:04 pm

18z GFS ... 108 hrs ... N of Cuba moving NW
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal108.gif
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#1068 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue Aug 21, 2012 5:05 pm

Less ridge with the GFS, the battle is on!
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1069 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 21, 2012 5:05 pm

Blown Away wrote:18z GFS ... 108 hrs ... N of Cuba moving NW
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal108.gif



the door is right there....
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#1070 Postby Kingarabian » Tue Aug 21, 2012 5:05 pm

This reminds me of an Irene....
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1071 Postby Blown Away » Tue Aug 21, 2012 5:06 pm

18z GFS ... 114 hrs ... Moving slowly WNW off Cuba N coast
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal114.gif
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#1072 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Aug 21, 2012 5:07 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:Less ridge with the GFS, the battle is on!


well being that there is no new data in the 18z its just basically a re run of the 12z and the ensemble members from the 12z showed simialr tracks to things so its really not a battle. :)
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#1073 Postby SeminoleWind » Tue Aug 21, 2012 5:08 pm

still riding north Cuba coast at 120 Hrs
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1074 Postby Blown Away » Tue Aug 21, 2012 5:08 pm

18z GFS ... 120 hrs ... Moving slowly towards SFL ... May go East??
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal120.gif
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1075 Postby SouthFLTropics » Tue Aug 21, 2012 5:10 pm

Ugh...Slow mover, more water = more time to intensify before landfall. Not a good scenario. Had enough slow moving system with Frances back in 04.

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1076 Postby Blown Away » Tue Aug 21, 2012 5:12 pm

18z GFS ... 126 hours ... Moving slowly NW towards SFL
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal126.gif
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#1077 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Aug 21, 2012 5:13 pm

going to the gulf.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1078 Postby Blown Away » Tue Aug 21, 2012 5:13 pm

18z GFS ... 132 hours ... Slowly towards SFL
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal132.gif

Somebody needs to take over for me!!
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1079 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 21, 2012 5:14 pm

Blown Away wrote:18z GFS ... 132 hours ... Slowly towards SFL
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal132.gif

Somebody needs to take over for me!!



I only do EURO runs.... :cheesy:
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1080 Postby Bocadude85 » Tue Aug 21, 2012 5:14 pm

132HR about to make landfall in S. Fla

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/18zgfs500mbHGHTPMSLtropical132.gif
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