ATL: SANDY - Remnants - Discussion

[brunota2003]

Buoy to watch:

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41010

Currently 31 knots sustained, pressure is dropping like a rock.

[brunota2003]

Currently 40 knots sustained, with gusts to 50 knots, and climbing:

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=SPGF1

And that isn't too far off the coast from Florida.

Sustained tropical force winds on the coast of Florida, TS warnings are now verified.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=LKWF1

36.9 knots at 10m.

[brunota2003]

I think the 2 am advisory will drop the winds to 70 knots (80 mph). A lot of 60 knot winds, barely any 65 knot winds though on recon.

[Weatherguy173]

I think the 2 am advisory will drop the winds to 70 knots (80 mph). A lot of 60 knot winds, barely any 65 knot winds though on recon.

doesn't it physically look to be strengthening? could it be a lower pressure with a lower windspeed possibly?

[brunota2003]

I think the 2 am advisory will drop the winds to 70 knots (80 mph). A lot of 60 knot winds, barely any 65 knot winds though on recon.

doesn't it physically look to be strengthening? could it be a lower pressure with a lower windspeed possibly?

On satellite yes, but per recon pressure is holding steady around 968 mb, and I haven't seen any winds from them to support anything higher than 70 knots.

[Evil Jeremy]

Pressure down to 965.4mb!

[brunota2003]

965.4 per estimated pressure. What will the dropsonde find though?

970mb (28.64 inHg) Sea Level (Surface) 26.2°C (79.2°F) 26.1°C (79.0°F) 55° (from the NE) 29 knots (33 mph)

Supports either 968 still or 967. Either way, fairly steady.

[Weatherguy173]

i see 963.8 mb w. 75 mph winds

-that was recon data

[Weatherguy173]

now it is supposed to be a tropical cyclone after it makes landfall, not post-tropical anymore, but as a TS or SS.

[brunota2003]

2 am advisory:

Pressure 968
Winds 85 mph (75 knots)

[brunota2003]

i see 963.8 mb w. 75 mph winds

-that was recon data

Where did that come from? I don't see that in the recent data.

[stephen23]

Euro starts off at 969. So almost hit it dead on

[JTD]

chad myers ‏@chadmyerscnn
After 26 years in TV weather and 2 years with NOAA, #Sandy may pose the greatest risk to human life that I have seen. Pls keep up.

[Weatherguy173]

i see 963.8 mb w. 75 mph winds

-that was recon data

Where did that come from? I don't see that in the recent data.

had it on wunderground, not really "data" per se, but it gave me those numbers. it's been changing a lot so i don't know what it's at right now. i'll see the new numbers when i wake up

[brunota2003]

i see 963.8 mb w. 75 mph winds

-that was recon data

Where did that come from? I don't see that in the recent data.

had it on wunderground, not really "data" per se, but it gave me those numbers. let's see the numbers when i wake up

Ah. Weird that it gave you that. Have a good night!

[Evil Jeremy]

Recon heading back to base.

[stephen23]

Sandy seems to be going through some problems right now. Does not look good on sat to me at all. Is she getting absorbed into the ull low over florida, or is she getting sheared that bad. She was starting to look good and then poof. Convection just stopped firing.

[chaser1]

I think the 2 am advisory will drop the winds to 70 knots (80 mph). A lot of 60 knot winds, barely any 65 knot winds though on recon.

doesn't it physically look to be strengthening? could it be a lower pressure with a lower wind-speed possibly?

Well, regardless of politics/public perception....., i'd say its truly transitioning now. Satellite presentation in my opinion is becoming poor with convection now all in northern quadrant, and it's center (based on recent fix) just on the southern edge of it. Looks to be taking increasing southerly vertical shear, plus for the first time now see entrainment of dry air mixing down from the upper level low immediately to its SW. With this entrainment of dryer air, Sandy's mid level circulation might be less apt to maintain its low pressures by means of tropical convergence. If we soon have little co-located convection, than any deepening whatsoever would have to be by means of baroclinic forcing, right??

[Cyclenall]

chad myers ‏@chadmyerscnn
After 26 years in TV weather and 2 years with NOAA, #Sandy may pose the greatest risk to human life that I have seen. Pls keep up.

That is incredibly bullish from Chad Myers, but warranted at this point. I saw him yesterday afternoon talking about Sandy and he wasn't hyping it up too much then but I guess the latest trends put him over the edge finally.

The buzz now is getting so incredibly high that some sites that never cease up (not load) are actually getting their severs crashed!

I'm hearing that this Sandy will be a good looking hybrid that won't be messed up like Irene was. Will it have an eye too I wonder? Looks kooky right now.

[funster]

I wonder if some land interaction could be causing Sandy some temporary troubles.