ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

[Hurricane Andrew]

I can do some graphics

[Hurricane Andrew]

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[Aric Dunn]

very good discussion from Melbourne.

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php ... glossary=0

[cycloneye]

very good discussion from Melbourne.

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php ... glossary=0

They side with the Euro camp.

[Rob H]

I would have liked to see a Gulfstream jet mission to sample the upper enviroment,but so far is not on the list of future missions.

NOAA G4 is in Tampa. Local NWS office had a facebook post and pic about it being here yesterday

[Dean4Storms]

I think Watches get posted covering parts of SE LA, MS over to Cedar Key, FL.....

Still time to post watches further west if it begins to move that way.


This is just my opinion and I'm not an official source. You should get all your official info. from official sources such as NHC, NWS, e.t.c....!!

[Ikester]

Well based on satellite alone you can see the anti-cyclonic flow really beginning to fan the clouds. Good outflow in the northeast quad. I would assume this is a tropical storm but will wait for word from Recon. I've seen far worse looking TS's.

[Aric Dunn]

very good discussion from Melbourne.

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php ... glossary=0

They side with the Euro camp.

yeah the interesting part is the gfs analysis of the 00z run last night.

[SouthDadeFish]

My thoughts on Invest 96L here:

http://canefever.wordpress.com/2012/06/23/16z-atl-3/

Also, the latest 850mb vorticity analysis from CIMSS shows that vorticity continues to increase, although it is still a bit elongated to the SW.

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 231616
AF302 01AAA INVEST HDOB 04 20120623
160900 2916N 08924W 6957 03192 0086 +085 +064 083018 019 /// /// 03
160930 2914N 08924W 6954 03194 0089 +086 +065 084018 019 /// /// 03
161000 2912N 08923W 6958 03189 0087 +088 +062 085019 020 /// /// 03
161030 2910N 08923W 6955 03191 0087 +087 +060 081019 019 /// /// 03
161100 2908N 08922W 6957 03188 0085 +089 +058 078018 019 /// /// 03
161130 2905N 08922W 6958 03186 0083 +090 +055 076018 018 /// /// 03
161200 2903N 08921W 6955 03187 0082 +086 +059 074018 018 /// /// 03
161230 2901N 08921W 6957 03183 0072 +086 +062 075018 018 /// /// 03
161300 2859N 08921W 6957 03188 0084 +087 +053 076019 020 /// /// 03
161330 2856N 08920W 6958 03186 0086 +088 +050 077018 018 /// /// 03
161400 2854N 08920W 6957 03188 0084 +087 +049 078018 018 /// /// 03
161430 2852N 08919W 6957 03187 0083 +090 +049 084018 019 /// /// 03
161500 2850N 08919W 6955 03188 0083 +089 +050 084020 020 /// /// 03
161530 2847N 08918W 6957 03186 0083 +086 +049 083020 020 /// /// 03
161600 2845N 08918W 6957 03188 0083 +085 +051 081018 020 /// /// 03
161630 2843N 08918W 6956 03188 0086 +085 +054 081018 019 /// /// 03
161700 2841N 08917W 6956 03186 0089 +082 +053 080020 021 009 000 00
161730 2838N 08917W 6957 03188 0088 +085 +052 080021 021 009 001 00
161800 2836N 08916W 6955 03188 0089 +083 +050 085022 022 013 000 00
161830 2834N 08916W 6957 03185 0088 +083 +052 086023 023 011 000 00
$$
;

[Aric Dunn]

interesting the nogaps also splits the energy and develops something east of florida while bringing a weak low wsw.

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical

[TexWx]

Interesting write up from Crown Weather today.

[ROCK]

with RECON out now the 0Z models should have all of their input....maybe that will help..

[ROCK]

Interesting write up from Crown Weather today.

can you sum up? dont leave us all hanging...

[cycloneye]

Interesting write up from Crown Weather today.

can you sum up? dont leave us all hanging...

http://www.crownweather.com/?page_id=4557

[Evil Jeremy]

Interesting write up from Crown Weather today.

can you sum up? dont leave us all hanging...

Corpus Christi landfall on Wednesday is what Crown Weather said on Facebook.

[wxman57]

Lower TX coast on Wednesday would be my first "guess", too. Debby in 4 hrs, officially, no doubt. NHC often likes the GFS - what will they do?

[Dave]

Go ahead with graphics HA

000
URNT15 KNHC 231626
AF302 01AAA INVEST HDOB 05 20120623
161900 2832N 08915W 6948 03196 0086 +083 +050 083022 023 010 001 00
161930 2829N 08915W 6934 03211 0086 +082 +049 083022 022 014 000 00
162000 2827N 08915W 6938 03206 0086 +084 +053 083023 023 015 000 00
162030 2825N 08914W 6935 03211 0085 +082 +050 079022 023 013 000 00
162100 2823N 08914W 6937 03206 0086 +080 +049 076021 021 016 001 00
162130 2820N 08913W 6935 03209 0085 +080 +051 079022 022 015 001 00
162200 2818N 08913W 6936 03210 0084 +080 +054 079021 022 016 001 00
162230 2816N 08912W 6937 03204 0083 +080 +054 077023 024 016 000 00
162300 2814N 08912W 6935 03207 0087 +080 +056 074024 025 017 001 00
162330 2811N 08912W 6939 03203 0088 +079 +054 074025 026 016 000 00
162400 2809N 08912W 6947 03200 0092 +080 +056 070025 025 016 000 00
162430 2807N 08912W 6940 03206 0093 +077 +060 071025 025 014 000 00
162500 2805N 08912W 6937 03208 0091 +078 +058 071025 025 008 001 00
162530 2804N 08912W 6938 03209 0088 +080 +055 070025 025 008 001 00
162600 2802N 08912W 6937 03208 0089 +080 +059 070025 026 005 002 00
162630 2800N 08912W 6935 03209 0085 +080 +059 072026 026 012 000 00
162700 2758N 08912W 6937 03209 0081 +085 +054 072025 025 013 001 00
162730 2756N 08912W 6937 03208 0082 +084 +046 071025 025 015 000 00
162800 2754N 08912W 6937 03207 0082 +083 +051 068025 025 013 001 00
162830 2752N 08912W 6936 03207 0086 +080 +058 070027 028 015 000 00
$$
;

[Hurricane Andrew]

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[Senobia]

I think the news/weather folks at Chron.com (Houston Chronicle newspaper website) were very irresponsible in their reporting of this sytem. Front page headline as of 1130a CST?

"Gulf Storm Likely Headed This Way" - with a big 'ol radar graphic.

Blah, blah - nothing in the story backs up that claim, including the radar imagery and model runs they posted. They even ended with this:

If the system does eventually move west, it would probably (but far from certainly) come ashore in the southern half of Texas or northern Mexico around Wednesday of next week. In such a scenario much of the Texas coast would begin to see squalls on Tuesday or so. Depending how far north the storm comes into Texas, the Houston area is likely to at least see some cloud cover and quite possibly some rain.

That's a far cry from 'OMG STORM HEADED THIS WAY!'