ATL: BERYL - Post-Tropical

[stormhunter7]

Tornado threat is increasing... east of center in where dry air is... over gulf stream... small cells are popping up... tornado threat will increase around midnight tonight for NE FL/GA for sure.

*also i'm going with landfall south of Jacksonville Beach

[Sanibel]

Turned on the TV and couldn't believe what I saw!


In May and at that latitude (didn't originate in the tropics)!

[Terry]

From ActionNewJax.com:

Sunday @ 9:32 PM: We have received reports of fallen trees on Peach Street in Jacksonville. We are also working to confirm a report that the Wonderwood Bridge near Mayport has been closed because of a downed utility pole.

[jdray]

Turned on the TV and couldn't believe what I saw!


In May and at that latitude (didn't originate in the tropics)!

It takes a special kind of storm to hit Jacksonville dead on....

[ozonepete]

Per radar the "eyewall" is completely closed now.

[jinftl]

Mike Seidel just reported live from Jax Beach on TWC. Estimates probably saw gusts of 55-60 with the strong band as it moved on shore. Mayport NAS reported a gust to 58 mph. No doubt there were higher gusts on exposed areas on the beaches.

Conditions where he was are windy but low-end tropical storm force. He noted an extended lull is moving in from the east. Buoy 50 miles east reporting 25 mph winds now.

[jdray]

Power outage reports if anyone is interested:
http://externalapps.jea.com/currentouta ... utages.asp
http://outagemap.clayelectric.com/
http://www.fplmaps.com/



Don't know southern GA and Nassau counties.

[CrazyC83]

Many rotations on GRLevel2 in the cells.

Radar velocities seem strongest in the St. Augustine area on the south side - winds to about 75 kt at 3,500 ft (about 55-60 kt at surface). Strongest winds on north side are on land - strongest velocities in sparsely populated SE Georgia.

[tolakram]

Intensity looks to have leveled off or started to drop. IR not that impressive right now.



live loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... umframes=8

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[jinftl]

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
930 PM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012


...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
...RAIN BAND MOVING ONSHORE THE SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COAST AND NORTHEAST
FLORIDA COAST...

AT 926 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
BAND OF HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH BERYL CENTERED FROM 15 MILES EAST
OF HIGH POINT AMELIA CITY TO 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OCEANWAY TO 2
MILES NORTH OF VILANO BEACH...MOVING WEST AT 25 MPH. THIS STRONG
BAND OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS AROUND
VILANO BEACH...SAINT AUGUSTINE...SOUTH PONTE VEDRA BEACH...
SAWGRASS...SAN PABLO...PONTE VEDRA BEACH...PALM VALLEY...GUANA RIVER
STATE PARK...FORT CAROLINE AND FERNANDINA BEACH THROUGH 1000 PM.
GUSTY WINDS OF 50 TO 60 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE
MINOR WIND DAMAGE. OBSERVATIONS HAVE SHOWN GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH
NEAR MAYPORT...FERNANDINA BEACH AND KINGS BAY THIS EVENING. HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF
LOW-LYING AREAS.

[Blown Away]

Portions of NE FL look to be in the big eye now.

IMO the eye is contracting as it moves onshore, likely could of been a cane if it had a few more hours over water.

[CrazyC83]

I still wonder if this is really an intense subtropical storm. It doesn't look like a classic tropical storm at all.

[cycloneye]

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

What is a sure thing is if Beryl would have been 6-12 more hours on the gulfstream waters it would have been a hurricane,but time was short in this case.

[Terry]

ActionNewsJax.com: : (

Sunday @ 9:45 PM: A Jacksonville Sheriff's Officer has been transported to Shands Hospital after the officer's vehicle crashed into a utility pole near Crystal Springs Road and Crystal Springs Lane. According to authorities, the officer had to be extricated from the vehicle. The officer is said to have suffered non-life threatening injuries. We are hearing reports that several customers have lost power in Callahan around Ratliffe Road. JEA also reported that some 2,000 customers on the Southside were without power.

[Emmett_Brown]

Per Brian Norcross on TWC, Mathews bridge in down town Jax recorded 87 mph (at an elevated height) during the past hour.

[LCfromFL]

ActionNewsJax.com: : (

Sunday @ 9:45 PM: A Jacksonville Sheriff's Officer has been transported to Shands Hospital after the officer's vehicle crashed into a utility pole near Crystal Springs Road and Crystal Springs Lane. According to authorities, the officer had to be extricated from the vehicle. The officer is said to have suffered non-life threatening injuries. We are hearing reports that several customers have lost power in Callahan around Ratliffe Road. JEA also reported that some 2,000 customers on the Southside were without power.

I just talked to a friend of mine who said power was out from Callahan down to Ratliff Road (he just got home). There are two power companies that supply Ratliff Road - FPL has the side from the railroad tracks eastward to US-1. OREMC (Okefenoke Rural Electric) has the RR tracks westward. I'm on the west side of the tracks and still have power.

[jinftl]

Storm behaving so far as forecast in terms of conditions actually observed fitting a tropical storm warning as western band moved onshore...broad circulation coming onshore...weakening is now more likely than intensification.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
955 PM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
...RAIN BAND MOVING ONSHORE THE SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COAST AND NORTHEAST
FLORIDA COAST...

AT 947 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
BAND OF HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH BERYL ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
8 MILES EAST OF BOYS ESTATE TO KINGSLAND TO DOWNTOWN JACKSONVILLE TO
4 MILES WEST OF VILANO BEACH...MOVING WEST AT 25 TO 30 MPH. THIS
BAND OF SHOWERS WILL AFFECT AREAS AROUND YULEE...VILANO
BEACH...TALLYRAND...SOUTH PONTE VEDRA BEACH...SAWGRASS...SAN
PABLO...SAN MARCO...PONTE VEDRA BEACH AND PALM VALLEY THROUGH 1030
PM. GUSTY WINDS OF 50 TO 60 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE
MINOR WIND DAMAGE.

OBSERVED WIND GUSTS AROUND 930 PM...MAYPORT AND
CRAIG AIRPORTS GUSTS NEAR 58 MPH AND NAVAL AIR STATION JACKSONVILLE
AT 46 MPH.

WINDS WILL SUBSIDE SLIGHTLY BEHIND THIS BAND OF HEAVY SHOWERS AS IT
MOVES FURTHER INLAND BUT STILL REMAIN VERY STRONG AS BERYL HEADS
INLAND TONIGHT.

[WilmingtonSandbar]

Looks like SE South Carolina is getting ready to be hit with a pretty severe rain band also.

[ozonepete]

I still wonder if this is really an intense subtropical storm. It doesn't look like a classic tropical storm at all.

Looks completely tropical to me. NHC has said it is. What makes you think it isn't?

[jinftl]

Mike Seidel noted just now that is an unofficial measurement and the instrument was at an elevated height...not to say that gusts to hurricane force won't happen but it seems to be an outlier reading so far...power lines coming down with gusts to 60 mph...

Per Brian Norcross on TWC, Mathews bridge in down town Jax recorded 87 mph (at an elevated height) during the past hour.