ATL: ISAAC - Models

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meriland23
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#1761 Postby meriland23 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 4:54 pm

18z GFS 72 hr

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#1762 Postby SunnyThoughts » Wed Aug 22, 2012 4:57 pm

I don't favor any one model over the other...just here to see the graphics as they come out. Sometimes 5 to 10 minutes before each panel is posted..so folks tend to say whether the system seems either north/west/east whatever of the previous position. See nothing wrong with that myself...but hey Just my opinion. I been here a long long time too Southfla and I agree with ya.
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#1763 Postby KWT » Wed Aug 22, 2012 4:58 pm

GFS is a little further north this run, makes landfall over the far southern part of Haiti.

Hmm we'll have to see how this evolves, small differences will make a huge difference to eventual strength.
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#1764 Postby meriland23 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 4:59 pm

18z GFS 90 hr

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1765 Postby pgoss11 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 5:00 pm

Looks further north..more time over Cuba..
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1766 Postby ROCK » Wed Aug 22, 2012 5:01 pm

at least its sticking to its guns....I will give it that....this is a tad north so far that I have seen...
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#1767 Postby KWT » Wed Aug 22, 2012 5:01 pm

Yep this time right over Cuba, not sure its much further north or south of the 12z at this point, but it certainly is a touch further north than the 12z within 48hrs, enough for it to make landfall in Haiti.
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#1768 Postby HurricaneBrain » Wed Aug 22, 2012 5:02 pm

96hr GFS. Shifts east it seems...Image
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#1769 Postby SeminoleWind » Wed Aug 22, 2012 5:02 pm

WOW at 99 looks like its headed north?
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1770 Postby SouthFLTropics » Wed Aug 22, 2012 5:03 pm

This one is going to be close...Just over the West Coast or up the spine...

SFT
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1771 Postby bamajammer4eva » Wed Aug 22, 2012 5:03 pm

Further left/west this run vs 12z

18z @ 99HR

http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS/2 ... sl_099.gif

12z @ 105 HR

http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS/2 ... sl_105.gif
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#1772 Postby meriland23 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 5:05 pm

18z GFS 105 hr

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#1773 Postby meriland23 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 5:09 pm

18z GFS 117 hr

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#1774 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 5:10 pm

looks like its heading NW
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#1775 Postby pgoss11 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 5:11 pm

looks like it's paralleling the west coast of Florida
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#1776 Postby KWT » Wed Aug 22, 2012 5:11 pm

Quicker run on the GFS, probably 12hrs faster with forward motion and riding right up the W.Florida coast, probably close call as to whether its in the gulf or not.

Looks very similar to the 12z run, just a little quicker.
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#1777 Postby Kingarabian » Wed Aug 22, 2012 5:11 pm

Meriland, Isaac is coming right at you!

Anyway thats some major rainfall for Florida...
Last edited by Kingarabian on Wed Aug 22, 2012 5:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#1778 Postby HurricaneBrain » Wed Aug 22, 2012 5:12 pm

GFS @ 126h Looks to be moving NW?
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#1779 Postby meriland23 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 5:13 pm

18z GFS 129 hr

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#1780 Postby SouthFLTropics » Wed Aug 22, 2012 5:13 pm

At 132 hours it pays the RNC a visit...I sure wouldn't want to be a decision maker for the RNC or Hillsborough County EOC right now!

SFT
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