ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

stormandan28 · #21 Postby **stormandan28** » Wed Sep 05, 2012 8:14 am

Lower convergence

superstareporter · #22 Postby **superstareporter** » Wed Sep 05, 2012 8:18 am

I dont believe the Low has moved over water as of yet, per the wind map and the fact that we are dead calm here in pensacola. Not even a hint of wind.

Aric Dunn · #23 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Wed Sep 05, 2012 8:22 am

expect to see a circ redevelop offshore later today and into tomorrow associated with the deep convection.

but right now according to latest wind obs satellite and radar the circ is right on top of or to the west of Ft walton beach by about 10 miles.

#24 Postby **Dean4Storms** » Wed Sep 05, 2012 8:39 am

CrazyC83 wrote:AL, 90, 2012090512, , BEST, 0, 307N, 864W, 25, 1010, LO

Status change: DB to LO

That's putting it right about on top of me.

Aric Dunn · #25 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Wed Sep 05, 2012 8:43 am

Clearly the low is just about offshore already.. latest surface obs.

http://www.wunderground.com/wundermap/? ... es=0&dir=0

#26 Postby **Dean4Storms** » Wed Sep 05, 2012 8:58 am

Winds here at my house just east of Destin have just really picked up gusting to 20mph out of the S to SSW. Pressure beginning to rise.

WeatherGuesser · #27 Postby **WeatherGuesser** » Wed Sep 05, 2012 9:29 am

No matter any official statement, most people will still consider kin of Isaac.

#28 Postby **Dean4Storms** » Wed Sep 05, 2012 9:39 am

Isaac will be our first Transgender bender! :cheesy:

BoudreauxWPB · #29 Postby **BoudreauxWPB** » Wed Sep 05, 2012 9:45 am

Dean4Storms wrote:Isaac will be our first Transgender bender!

Did you read my FB post last night?

On a serious note, I am starting to have those flashbacks of Wilma which barreled across S. FL being aided by and/or followed by a cold front.

#30 Postby **RL3AO** » Wed Sep 05, 2012 9:47 am

2. SUSPECT AREA (GULF OF MEXICO)
FLIGHT ONE --TEAL 71--
A. 06/1800Z D. 28.5N 87.8W
B. AFXXX 01DDA INVEST E. 06/1730Z TO 06/2130Z
C. 06/1700Z F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

3. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK:
A. BEGIN 12-HRLY FIXES AT 07/1200Z IF SUSPECT AREA DEVELOPS.

thetraveler · #31 Postby **thetraveler** » Wed Sep 05, 2012 10:37 am

I have noticed the winds have picked up here in south central Florida this morning out of the south. I doubt it has anything to do with this low but thought it odd.

tropicwatch · #32 Postby **tropicwatch** » Wed Sep 05, 2012 10:46 am

The radar presentation for 90 was a lot better a few hours ago. Now it is somewhat discumbobulated. (yes that is a technical term) :lol:

Feel free to correct my spelling, I don't think I have ever written that term before just said it.

#33 Postby **vbhoutex** » Wed Sep 05, 2012 10:46 am

If this were August and if the pattern were different than it is now, I would be screaming Alicia reborn. Basically the same situation happened when she was born except that the mcs she came from was not a "remnant piece" of another TC. Based on the current pattern though I don't see anyway that this will be a problem for anyone West of AL. We have a "strong" "cold" front coming in this weekend that should make it off the coast and take whatever this becomes to the East or ENE. Of course that makes it a possible problem for FL residents, so keep watching this development closely.

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

superstareporter · #34 Postby **superstareporter** » Wed Sep 05, 2012 10:49 am

I noticed on the wind map it is just about to go offshore, and that is has gotten a little elongated. No real wind here to speak of yet. Still looks like we are in the center of it.

#35 Postby **Stormcenter** » Wed Sep 05, 2012 11:10 am

Is that a spin over Mobile maybe?

http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/satellite/d ... uration=10

Aric Dunn · #36 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Wed Sep 05, 2012 11:15 am

interesting band developing off shore with the Doppler velocities changing looks like a circ is starting to setup just offshore.

Just south of Pensacola.

#37 Postby **tolakram** » Wed Sep 05, 2012 11:29 am

Latest

Live loops:

Java: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... umframes=5

http://www.esl.lsu.edu/imagery/atmosphe ... exico/VIS/

http://www.esl.lsu.edu/imagery/atmosphe ... -gulf/VIS/

tropicwatch · #38 Postby **tropicwatch** » Wed Sep 05, 2012 11:33 am

The area south of Pensacola is becoming somewhat impressive on radar.

Frank2 · #39 Postby **Frank2** » Wed Sep 05, 2012 11:50 am

The big question is -- is this the MLC from Isaac that's been wandering for the past 10 days???

bayoubebe · #40 Postby **bayoubebe** » Wed Sep 05, 2012 12:11 pm

Last night one of our local mets was discussing this. He said it will go into Florida. This is one mets. prediction. Anything can happen, but it does seem like a logical explanation of what will happen.

ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

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