ATL: ISAAC - Models

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SouthFLTropics
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Re: Re:

#2301 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Aug 23, 2012 1:16 pm

JPmia wrote:
ROCK wrote:
KWT wrote:Hmmm ECM ALSO shows that jump NW between 24-48hrs, nearly all the models forecast that jump, thats most interesting!



one of the many circulations gets hung up in that 10K ft mountain and sucks it right in.... :lol:


yeah that's what i will be watching for.. sometimes the mountains can kink up forecast tracks like center reformations.. sort of like that major did when it danced around Jamaica .. forgot the name of that one.


If I recall that was Ivan in 2004...

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#2302 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Aug 23, 2012 1:16 pm

ridging appears a bit stronger this run from the euro.
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#2303 Postby Jevo » Thu Aug 23, 2012 1:16 pm

12z ECMWF (Euro) +96

Image
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2304 Postby deltadog03 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 1:16 pm

day 4 Euro is over W Cuba....
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2305 Postby deltadog03 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 1:17 pm

Image

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2306 Postby wxwatcher1999 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 1:17 pm

deltadog03 wrote:day 4 Euro is over W Cuba....


Is this the furthest west the euro has been?
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2307 Postby ROCK » Thu Aug 23, 2012 1:18 pm

Delta thank you for the colors!!.....Allen's site is toast...
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#2308 Postby deltadog03 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 1:18 pm

looks pretty close to the 00z run *from what I can remember*
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2309 Postby Jevo » Thu Aug 23, 2012 1:19 pm

wxwatcher1999 wrote:
deltadog03 wrote:day 4 Euro is over W Cuba....


Is this the furthest west the euro has been?


No two days ago there was a run that took it between the YP and Cuba
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Re:

#2310 Postby Sal Collaziano » Thu Aug 23, 2012 1:19 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:hwrf higher resolution

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/hwrftc2. ... =Animation


With THAT model it's going to pass RIGHT over my house. :) Hurricane ParTay! :p
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2311 Postby ROCK » Thu Aug 23, 2012 1:19 pm

wxwatcher1999 wrote:
deltadog03 wrote:day 4 Euro is over W Cuba....


Is this the furthest west the euro has been?


no it has been further than this
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2312 Postby meriland23 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 1:19 pm

wxwatcher1999 wrote:
deltadog03 wrote:day 4 Euro is over W Cuba....


Is this the furthest west the euro has been?


No, this is exactly the same as 12z yesterday
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#2313 Postby wxman76 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 1:19 pm

Notice too at 96hr Ecmwf that heights are rising on the Gulf Coast and the weakness seems to be closing off. 591 heights now from Texas to Alabama.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2314 Postby petit_bois » Thu Aug 23, 2012 1:20 pm

it's going to explode on the gulf....
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2315 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Aug 23, 2012 1:20 pm

ridging is more pronounced this run.. hmmm

Image
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#2316 Postby Jevo » Thu Aug 23, 2012 1:21 pm

12z ECMWF (Euro) +120

Image
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#2317 Postby KWT » Thu Aug 23, 2012 1:21 pm

ECM very close to getting this back into the Caribbean sea between 72-96hrs, would only need a 20-30 mile shift and it'll be back in water!

Heading into the Gulf!
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2318 Postby ROCK » Thu Aug 23, 2012 1:22 pm

Hurricane Dave just spit his lunch all over his PC!!!
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2319 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Aug 23, 2012 1:22 pm

looks pretty much the same track though.

120 hours.

Image
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2320 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Aug 23, 2012 1:22 pm

Looks to be painting a target on NOLA this run...Hmmm :think:

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