ATL: ISAAC - Models
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- BensonTCwatcher
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Well the GFS run is just about the furthest west run I've seen from that model yet with Issac.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
nah I think the trend is going to come west, I mean don't forget last sunday gfs had a texas hit
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- micktooth
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
GFS looks like Biloxi, EURO looks like LA/TX border. If I were still living in NOLA, I would start to research hotel reservations about now.
NOT an official forecast, just an opinion of someone who used to live in New Orleans!
NOT an official forecast, just an opinion of someone who used to live in New Orleans!
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- meriland23
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Re:
BensonTCwatcher wrote:I have a fever...and the prescription is MORE recon...
Need some mo ..Walken

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- SouthFLTropics
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
Well that was an interesting tour of the SE GOM states that the GFS just led us on...I'll be interested to see some of the 00z models come in starting around 8:00PM tonight and then wait for the biggies at 11:30PM and 2:00AM. Which reminds me, I need to put some coffee on and start drinking it.
SFT
SFT

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18z GFS misses the trough connection like the Euro which is why it keeps heading NW after landfall.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re:
pgoss11 wrote:That is one crazy, unusual track!
I must admit I'm struggling to think of many systems that have taken that track, the weakness isn't quite enough to take it away and it gets shunted back WNW. Would have plenty of time over water to strengthen if that run was right.
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Dont get caught up in this run. the 6z and 18z include little to no additional data. if you look at the gfs ensemble members some were and have been for the past few days come this far west. nothing new here. 00z will be a whole new ball game even if the track does not change with the upper air data. it just eliminates the variable that the models are not getting all the data. I have a feeling that we will see little to no change with the ooz runs.
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- PTrackerLA
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
What a crazy track but I think it may be picking up on the stronger ridge like the EURO.
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- SouthFLTropics
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Re:
Ntxw wrote:18z GFS misses the trough connection like the Euro which is why it keeps heading NW after landfall.
Bad for the Gulf Coast but good for the Midwest...For the sake of the farmers who are dealing with the drought it would be nice to see this head in the direction the models are pointing as maybe a Tropical Storm and bring them some much needed rain. Could be a drought buster. But with that being said the potential when it gets in the GOM to blow up is unnerving.
SFT
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- MidnightRain
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
I really am being cautious about the models atm. Go to the disc. thread, this system is not in great shape at and may not even make it out of the Carib alive. I think we need to take that into consideration when digesting these models.
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- meriland23
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I think I need a very large ice cream cone after that craziness.. pff
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Someone on the other board did a comprasion between the 18z GFS strength of the ridge and the actual figures, and the GFS has a good grip on the mid level of the ridge from the looks of things.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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