ATL: ISAAC - Models

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2761 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:54 pm

ROCK wrote:72 moving through the straits....going to give SOFLO a good lashing...


all the way up through central florida. 0z has much more organized system than the 12z and 18z.

Image
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#2762 Postby Vortex » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:54 pm

H78 moving across upper keys and extrme SW FL
0 likes   

JPmia
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1070
Joined: Thu Jun 03, 2004 11:01 pm
Location: Fort Lauderdale, FL

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2763 Postby JPmia » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:54 pm

also add in that it is a rather large TC and more time for strengthening before it gets into the Gulf.
0 likes   

User avatar
Jevo
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1729
Age: 47
Joined: Tue Aug 03, 2004 8:45 pm
Location: The Flemish Cap
Contact:

#2764 Postby Jevo » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:54 pm

0z GFS +75 (Initial CONUS Landfall)

Image
0 likes   
Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.

Weatherfreak000

#2765 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:54 pm

Euro will proly slightly shift east as well as I expect. Just my opinion
0 likes   

User avatar
SFLcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10164
Age: 47
Joined: Sat Jun 05, 2010 1:44 pm
Location: Lake Worth Florida

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2766 Postby SFLcane » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:54 pm

wow this is really going to get interesting for sfl..
0 likes   

stormgeek
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 10
Joined: Tue Aug 21, 2012 8:34 am

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2767 Postby stormgeek » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:55 pm

Going to be a long night.
0 likes   

User avatar
MidnightRain
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 110
Joined: Tue Oct 11, 2011 8:26 pm
Location: NW Florida

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2768 Postby MidnightRain » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:55 pm

GFS following the NHC track pretty closely on this run so far.
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Dean4Storms
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6358
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
Location: Miramar Bch. FL

#2769 Postby Dean4Storms » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:55 pm

994mb @ 72 hrs 850mb
0 likes   

User avatar
SFLcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10164
Age: 47
Joined: Sat Jun 05, 2010 1:44 pm
Location: Lake Worth Florida

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2770 Postby SFLcane » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:55 pm

eric this run is futher eastward then the 18z correct?
0 likes   

User avatar
Miami Storm Tracker
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 910
Age: 67
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2010 10:12 pm
Location: Key Largo, Fla.
Contact:

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2771 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:56 pm

blp wrote:72hr southern tip of Florida
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal072.gif


I knew you could not stay away on this run.
0 likes   

User avatar
SFLcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10164
Age: 47
Joined: Sat Jun 05, 2010 1:44 pm
Location: Lake Worth Florida

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2772 Postby SFLcane » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:56 pm

Image
0 likes   

Stormlover2012
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 262
Joined: Sat Jun 23, 2012 11:03 am

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2773 Postby Stormlover2012 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:57 pm

no lol its like the same, all u gotta go do is look at it
0 likes   

User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#2774 Postby Vortex » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:57 pm

H84 moving off SW fl...considerally further E then the 12Z gfs today
0 likes   

wxwatcher1999
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 264
Joined: Sat Aug 04, 2012 10:19 am

#2775 Postby wxwatcher1999 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:57 pm

my opinion is this model will not verify unless isaac starts moving more northerly real soon
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6370
Age: 60
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2776 Postby boca » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:57 pm

Is the sample data now incorporated into this run?
0 likes   

Dean4Storms
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6358
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
Location: Miramar Bch. FL

#2777 Postby Dean4Storms » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:57 pm

A bit slower but the track difference is negligible really.
0 likes   

smw1981
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 253
Joined: Tue Jul 31, 2007 9:04 pm
Location: Alabamer

#2778 Postby smw1981 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:58 pm

Yes, Boca..it is..
Last edited by smw1981 on Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
Jevo
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1729
Age: 47
Joined: Tue Aug 03, 2004 8:45 pm
Location: The Flemish Cap
Contact:

#2779 Postby Jevo » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:58 pm

0z GFS +90

Image
0 likes   
Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

#2780 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:58 pm

It has really slowed down now at around 72 hours + hours. very little motion
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...


Return to “2012”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 4 guests