ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical
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- brunota2003
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Re: Re:
StormTracker wrote:brunota2003 wrote:That pass is from 0225 UTC: Look at the purple numbers on the bottom side of the image.
Well Debby should definitely help out the "Lake-O" dilema and get it back to a more normal level!
Indeed! And I shall help out in the "Lake-O" thread and get an image up today

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Just a small town southern boy helping other humans.
- northjaxpro
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Re:
StormingB81 wrote:Everyone saying florida...you thiink it will go east or into the panhandle?
I'm thinking landfall around Big bend region near Apalachicola right now
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
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Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
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Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
- Rgv20
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12zUKEMT has Debby to the Florida big bend by around Tuesday Night. Expect the Euro to follow next..


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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- Evil Jeremy
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Re:
Hammy wrote:starting to take on a subtropical appearance on satellite
It's just an appearance due to shear. Debby is still fully tropical.
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Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17
Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
If the Florida solution holds, this will likely not be a hurricane...in my opinion probably a 65-70 mph TS at landfall Tues morning. There is too much shear, too little real estate and the water shelf off the Big Bend is relatively chilly.
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- Annie Oakley
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000
URNT15 KNHC 241653
AF302 0204A DEBBY3 HDOB 43 20120624
164000 2919N 08457W 8122 01819 //// +158 //// 137035 035 032 002 01
164030 2920N 08456W 8118 01823 //// +155 //// 142035 036 032 002 01
164100 2921N 08454W 8120 01823 //// +150 //// 140034 035 031 003 01
164130 2922N 08453W 8117 01826 //// +152 //// 137035 036 032 002 01
164200 2923N 08452W 8119 01825 //// +152 //// 144033 035 032 004 01
164230 2925N 08450W 8123 01820 //// +151 //// 143029 033 032 004 01
164300 2926N 08449W 8126 01820 //// +140 //// 133028 029 033 005 01
164330 2927N 08448W 8114 01830 //// +138 //// 122030 031 032 005 01
164400 2928N 08447W 8122 01825 //// +143 //// 117028 031 034 003 01
164430 2929N 08445W 8118 01830 //// +152 //// 112028 029 037 001 01
164500 2930N 08444W 8118 01829 //// +153 //// 112028 028 037 002 05
164530 2932N 08444W 8110 01837 //// +146 //// 114027 028 /// /// 05
164600 2932N 08446W 8121 01826 //// +138 //// 113029 032 040 007 01
164630 2932N 08448W 8115 01832 //// +140 //// 108033 035 041 005 01
164700 2933N 08450W 8117 01826 //// +141 //// 108034 035 042 005 01
164730 2933N 08452W 8126 01817 //// +149 //// 105035 035 041 004 01
164800 2933N 08455W 8117 01825 //// +142 //// 107036 036 044 003 01
164830 2934N 08457W 8118 01826 //// +149 //// 105035 036 045 004 01
164900 2934N 08459W 8114 01826 //// +147 //// 104035 036 047 003 01
164930 2934N 08501W 8118 01822 //// +146 //// 104035 036 049 002 01
$$
URNT15 KNHC 241653
AF302 0204A DEBBY3 HDOB 43 20120624
164000 2919N 08457W 8122 01819 //// +158 //// 137035 035 032 002 01
164030 2920N 08456W 8118 01823 //// +155 //// 142035 036 032 002 01
164100 2921N 08454W 8120 01823 //// +150 //// 140034 035 031 003 01
164130 2922N 08453W 8117 01826 //// +152 //// 137035 036 032 002 01
164200 2923N 08452W 8119 01825 //// +152 //// 144033 035 032 004 01
164230 2925N 08450W 8123 01820 //// +151 //// 143029 033 032 004 01
164300 2926N 08449W 8126 01820 //// +140 //// 133028 029 033 005 01
164330 2927N 08448W 8114 01830 //// +138 //// 122030 031 032 005 01
164400 2928N 08447W 8122 01825 //// +143 //// 117028 031 034 003 01
164430 2929N 08445W 8118 01830 //// +152 //// 112028 029 037 001 01
164500 2930N 08444W 8118 01829 //// +153 //// 112028 028 037 002 05
164530 2932N 08444W 8110 01837 //// +146 //// 114027 028 /// /// 05
164600 2932N 08446W 8121 01826 //// +138 //// 113029 032 040 007 01
164630 2932N 08448W 8115 01832 //// +140 //// 108033 035 041 005 01
164700 2933N 08450W 8117 01826 //// +141 //// 108034 035 042 005 01
164730 2933N 08452W 8126 01817 //// +149 //// 105035 035 041 004 01
164800 2933N 08455W 8117 01825 //// +142 //// 107036 036 044 003 01
164830 2934N 08457W 8118 01826 //// +149 //// 105035 036 045 004 01
164900 2934N 08459W 8114 01826 //// +147 //// 104035 036 047 003 01
164930 2934N 08501W 8118 01822 //// +146 //// 104035 036 049 002 01
$$
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
NWS Will be having a Webinar with EMA offices in the area at 130 that will be streamed live online.
http://www.rickeystokesnews.com/article ... ebby-33576
http://www.rickeystokesnews.com/article ... ebby-33576
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models
Wow,what a big shift by Ukie to the east.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Recon Discussion
Annie Oakley wrote:tolakram wrote:Ha, I thought they were done. Sorry for the confusion.
No problem-with Debby nothing is ever done for long and confusion reigns..........
Go ahead with the hdobs Annie...sitting here waiting on the graphic updates.

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So much for that NW movement.
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Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models
And 12z CMC also has a huge east shift.


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[top]
000
WFUS52 KMFL 241658
TORMFL
FLC043-051-241730-
/O.NEW.KMFL.TO.W.0028.120624T1658Z-120624T1730Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1258 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL GLADES COUNTY IN SOUTHERN FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF LAKEPORT...
NORTH CENTRAL HENDRY COUNTY IN SOUTHERN FLORIDA...
* UNTIL 130 PM EDT
* AT 1254 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 16 MILES SOUTH
OF LAKEPORT...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.
THIS STORM IS ALSO CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF
60 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
LAKEPORT...
AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.
000
WFUS52 KMFL 241658
TORMFL
FLC043-051-241730-
/O.NEW.KMFL.TO.W.0028.120624T1658Z-120624T1730Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1258 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL GLADES COUNTY IN SOUTHERN FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF LAKEPORT...
NORTH CENTRAL HENDRY COUNTY IN SOUTHERN FLORIDA...
* UNTIL 130 PM EDT
* AT 1254 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 16 MILES SOUTH
OF LAKEPORT...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.
THIS STORM IS ALSO CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF
60 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
LAKEPORT...
AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
HurrMark wrote:If the Florida solution holds, this will likely not be a hurricane...in my opinion probably a 65-70 mph TS at landfall Tues morning. There is too much shear, too little real estate and the water shelf off the Big Bend is relatively chilly.
No heat content to work with.

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- Annie Oakley
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models
12z AVN is in general agreement with the CMC and GFS
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