ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

[brunota2003]

I hope they dropped a sonde in that location! I'd love to know what the surface winds really are there.

[cycloneye]

Recon just found this good data non flagged:

Good one!! at flight level.

From 53° at 77 knots
(From the NE at ~ 88.5 mph)

[Annie Oakley]

000
URNT15 KNHC 241718
AF302 0204A DEBBY3 HDOB 46 20120624
171000 2926N 08612W 8118 01809 //// +135 //// 058040 041 052 008 01
171030 2924N 08612W 8114 01811 //// +128 //// 057045 046 051 007 01
171100 2922N 08612W 8123 01800 //// +136 //// 062047 049 051 009 01
171130 2921N 08612W 8119 01801 //// +129 //// 066047 051 053 011 01
171200 2919N 08612W 8117 01803 //// +142 //// 077047 051 052 005 01
171230 2917N 08612W 8118 01798 //// +151 //// 075039 044 053 007 01
171300 2916N 08612W 8119 01796 //// +145 //// 075035 038 053 006 01
171330 2914N 08612W 8118 01796 //// +158 //// 079032 034 051 004 01
171400 2912N 08612W 8120 01789 //// +156 //// 076033 035 048 004 01
171430 2911N 08612W 8120 01789 //// +157 //// 075033 034 045 005 01
171500 2909N 08612W 8120 01787 //// +147 //// 070033 033 046 007 01
171530 2907N 08611W 8123 01784 //// +134 //// 065032 033 045 006 01
171600 2905N 08611W 8120 01789 //// +138 //// 075034 036 041 007 01
171630 2904N 08611W 8117 01787 //// +136 //// 076030 033 039 010 01
171700 2902N 08611W 8119 01782 //// +148 //// 075027 030 039 006 01
171730 2900N 08611W 8122 01780 //// +152 //// 071027 029 037 006 01
171800 2859N 08611W 8121 01779 //// +141 //// 065026 028 033 005 01
171830 2857N 08611W 8114 01786 //// +142 //// 059031 033 034 007 01
171900 2855N 08611W 8115 01781 //// +143 //// 063031 033 033 006 01
171930 2853N 08611W 8122 01773 //// +159 //// 060028 029 031 005 01
$$

[Dave]

[dixiebreeze]

Reminds me somewhat of the No Name storm of '93. flooding, storm surge, etc.

[FutureEM]

Any idea if we are going to see NOAA42 or NOAA43 out today, or is it all Air Force.

[canes04]

interesting system for sure. i'm watiching the developing tail SW of Cuba, this could bring some serious squalls to SFL later tonight.

[brunota2003]

TS force winds (35.9 knots) in the Big Big area at this station:

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=APCF1

That is around 75 miles E of where recon recorded 77 knot flight level winds, too.

[artist]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 123 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN BROWARD COUNTY IN SOUTH FLORIDA. EXTREME NORTHEASTERN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY IN SOUTH FLORIDA. * UNTIL 200 PM EDT * AT 117 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HALLANDALE...AND MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH. * THE STORM WILL AFFECT... DANIA BEACH... PORT EVERGLADES... WILTON MANORS... LAUDERDALE BY THE SEA... AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

[Sanibel]

Right now I think Debby is bumping at the verge between the trough and High. Right now GFS is winning as it nudges E. However this doesn't mean the High won't finally grab it and shunt it W along the coast.

From past stallers in this area this should have been more foreseen. Credit to those who were hinting this yesterday.


Dry here now with gusty constant S wind.

[artist]

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 122 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY IN FLORIDA. WESTERN PASCO COUNTY IN FLORIDA. NORTHERN PINELLAS COUNTY IN FLORIDA. * UNTIL 200 PM EDT * AT 122 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A TORNADO NEAR SAFETY HARBOR...OR NEAR CLEARWATER...MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... SAFETY HARBOR...DUNEDIN. OLDSMAR...WESTCHASE. TARPON SPRINGS...LAKE FERN. TRINITY...ODESSA. NEW PORT RICHEY. MOON LAKE ESTATES...JASMINE ESTATES.

[Jevo]

12z HWRF +60


12z HWRF +66


12z HWRF +72

[brunota2003]

Of course, the one buoy that is closest to that flight level wind is not working...and stopped working earlier in the month (the 10th)!

As far as NOAA goes, I thought I saw something about a P3 tail radar mission, but not sure what date that was scheduled for.

[artist]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 121 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN MANATEE COUNTY IN FLORIDA. NORTHWESTERN SARASOTA COUNTY IN FLORIDA. * UNTIL 145 PM EDT * AT 112 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A TORNADO NEAR LONGBOAT KEY...OR NEAR SARASOTA...MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... BAYSHORE GARDENS...LONGBOAT KEY. PALMA SOLA...BRADENTON. PALMETTO...ELLENTON.

[Dave]

B. A P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION AT 26/2000Z

[PTrackerLA]

12z HWRF South central LA landfall, but a big shift east in this model as well.

[artist]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
122 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY IN FLORIDA.
WESTERN PASCO COUNTY IN FLORIDA.
NORTHERN PINELLAS COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 200 PM EDT

[artist]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
122 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY IN FLORIDA.
WESTERN PASCO COUNTY IN FLORIDA.
NORTHERN PINELLAS COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 200 PM EDT

[Jevo]

12z HWRF +78


12z HWRF +84 (Inland)

[tolakram]

30 frame WV loop, a couple of bad frames.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=30

Looks like the ULL is still moving SW, being pushed by the trough?