ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

[marciacubed]

I am in SE palm Bach co and it is pouring we had a little break for awhile but the rain is back

[thetruesms]

Wow this storm is really depressing me now. I will NEVER forgive the GFS for screwing Texas with this storm. The one time I wanted it to fail miserably. Of course not. Thanks Florida for stealing our rain and making our drought come back.

If it makes you feel any better, parts of North Florida were/are in severe drought after Beryl went through, so it's not like the rain is going to waste.

[Dave]

[Annie Oakley]

000
UZNT13 KNHC 241807
XXAA 74188 99293 70872 08197 99004 25223 03537 00034 24824 03537
92713 19216 04554 85442 18858 04073 88999 77999
31313 09608 81800
61616 AF302 0204A DEBBY OB 27
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 2927N08720W 1801 MBL WND 03544 AEV 20802 DLM W
ND 04060 003812 WL150 04040 084 REL 2930N08718W 180000 SPG 2928N0
8720W 180154 =
XXBB 74188 99293 70872 08197 00004 25223 11919 19221 22897 19856
33850 18858 44831 184// 55812 /////
21212 00004 03537 11001 04035 22997 03541 33987 04544 44960 02546
55942 04557 66934 04552 77927 04553 88899 04571 99850 04073 11812
03572
31313 09608 81800
61616 AF302 0204A DEBBY OB 27
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 2927N08720W 1801 MBL WND 03544 AEV 20802 DLM W
ND 04060 003812 WL150 04040 084 REL 2930N08718W 180000 SPG 2928N0
8720W 180154 =
;

[Annie Oakley]

000
URNT12 KNHC 241807 CCA
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042012
A. 24/17:30:30Z
B. 28 deg 20 min N
085 deg 59 min W
C. 850 mb 1356 m
D. 53 kt
E. 347 deg 62 nm
F. 053 deg 70 kt
G. 349 deg 78 nm
H. 993 mb
I. 11 C / 1832 m
J. 18 C / 1827 m
K. NA / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 08
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF302 0204A DEBBY OB 23 CCA
MAX OUTBOUND AND MAX FL WIND 78 KT NW QUAD 17:56:00Z
;

[johngaltfla]

Wow this storm is really depressing me now. I will NEVER forgive the GFS for screwing Texas with this storm. The one time I wanted it to fail miserably. Of course not. Thanks Florida for stealing our rain and making our drought come back.

If it makes you feel any better, parts of North Florida were/are in severe drought after Beryl went through, so it's not like the rain is going to waste.

Amen to that. In less than one month we've gone from drought to surplus down here in SWFL. The price of living in paradise and the tropics. But I've had enough rain thank you very much.

[Noah]

Wow this storm is really depressing me now. I will NEVER forgive the GFS for screwing Texas with this storm. The one time I wanted it to fail miserably. Of course not. Thanks Florida for stealing our rain and making our drought come back.

If it makes you feel any better, parts of North Florida were/are in severe drought after Beryl went through, so it's not like the rain is going to waste.

whole state of Florida was in a drought.. Mother nature goes where she goes... Talk about not being able to control things.. even with all the high technology She still goes where she wants..

[Kingarabian]

Time for the NHC to change its official track.

[Jevo]

12z NOAA Operational

[Evil Jeremy]

EURO 96 hours, confirmed Panhandle landfall:


Finally, we have a consensus.

[USTropics]

Finally, for the first time we have excellent model agreement on a track. I feel for the NHC forecasters (and for all the meteorologists providing private forecasts as well), this was one of the toughest storms to forecast in my 10+ years of tracking them (reminiscent of forecasting TS Fay in 2008, which eventually ended up making landfall in Florida 4 times). Expect a big shift east and north for the 5pm update.

[Annie Oakley]

000
URNT15 KNHC 241811
AF302 0204A DEBBY3 HDOB 51 20120624
180000 2918N 08711W 8117 01836 //// +150 //// 034072 073 040 008 01
180030 2919N 08712W 8121 01835 //// +157 //// 034071 072 040 006 01
180100 2920N 08713W 8118 01839 //// +156 //// 034069 070 041 003 01
180130 2921N 08714W 8118 01840 //// +163 //// 035068 069 039 004 01
180200 2922N 08716W 8119 01840 //// +167 //// 034067 068 038 002 01
180230 2923N 08717W 8120 01840 //// +166 //// 036067 067 038 001 01
180300 2924N 08718W 8118 01845 //// +166 //// 037066 066 037 003 01
180330 2925N 08719W 8120 01845 //// +166 //// 040066 067 038 000 05
180400 2926N 08721W 8119 01845 //// +165 //// 042066 067 037 001 01
180430 2927N 08722W 8121 01845 //// +161 //// 044066 067 037 001 01
180500 2928N 08723W 8115 01851 //// +160 //// 044064 065 036 002 01
180530 2929N 08724W 8118 01850 //// +160 //// 045063 064 037 002 01
180600 2930N 08726W 8122 01850 //// +150 //// 050064 065 037 002 01
180630 2931N 08727W 8118 01854 //// +146 //// 051064 064 036 002 01
180700 2933N 08729W 8117 01856 //// +150 //// 051062 063 036 003 01
180730 2933N 08729W 8117 01856 //// +141 //// 050061 061 035 002 05
180800 2935N 08731W 7566 02449 //// +122 //// 048060 062 /// /// 05
180830 2936N 08733W 7171 02897 //// +110 //// 047054 056 /// /// 05
180900 2937N 08735W 6940 03173 //// +090 //// 051053 054 036 002 01
180930 2938N 08737W 6931 03186 //// +080 //// 050053 054 036 002 01
$$

[Dave]

Hdobs 51 shows 3 in the 70's as they were coming out of that band also.

[jabman98]

Wow this storm is really depressing me now. I will NEVER forgive the GFS for screwing Texas with this storm. The one time I wanted it to fail miserably. Of course not. Thanks Florida for stealing our rain and making our drought come back.

If it makes you feel any better, parts of North Florida were/are in severe drought after Beryl went through, so it's not like the rain is going to waste.

So long as people who need rain get rain from it, that's a positive, even if it doesn't come to my back yard. I just hope people who are saturated aren't going to get more.

[artist]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
212 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
HIGHLANDS COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 300 PM EDT

* AT 212 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO NEAR ARCHBOLD...OR 12 MILES SOUTH OF LAKE PLACID...MOVING
NORTH AT 35 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
VENUS.
ARCHBOLD.
LAKE PLACID.
LAKE ISTOKPOGA.
SEBRING REGIONAL AIRPORT...SEBRING.
AVON PARK AIR FORCE RANGE.

[Dave]

[AdamFirst]

Steady rain falling in my part of Florida. All the tornadic action is west of the lake.

As the storm inches east it's only natural to believe that any vorticity/shear/instability is going to be enhanced with it.

[viberama]

Finally, for the first time we have excellent model agreement on a track. I feel for the NHC forecasters (and for all the meteorologists providing private forecasts as well), this was one of the toughest storms to forecast in my 10+ years of tracking them (reminiscent of forecasting TS Fay in 2008, which eventually ended up making landfall in Florida 4 times). Expect a big shift east and north for the 5pm update.

Agreed...I still think the Euro is too far west though but it's starting to see what the GFS has been seeing for days. The shear is just too strong to let Debby go west. The big bend landfall seems most likely to me but what do I know? I'm having fun though

[jabman98]

Expect a big shift east and north for the 5pm update.

Will they issue an intermediate advisory since this is a fairly big change in the track from what they've had?

[Nimbus]

Central pressure still dropping and east of -86 now. Wonder if the increased convection in the NW quadrant will start pulling the center back that way?