ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[bucman1]

wxman57 ,

How are you? What do you see for the Tampa area /West coast of penninsula?

Thank you!

[TheStormExpert]

Is there a possibility the NHC issues a Tropical Storm Watch or Warning for Palm Beach County?

[Bocadude85]

Any chance they put Miami-Dade under TS watch tomorrow?

IMO - TS or possibly hurricane watch today at 5pm for south florida and the keys.

I expect TS conditions in south Florida within 48 hrs now and possible hurricane conditions in a little over 48 hrs, so a TS/H watch is in order for the next advisory.

What are your thoughts for southern palm beach county? I know its part of south florida was just curious if you were talking all of southern florida or just the extreme tip of south florida.

[SouthFLTropics]

Is there a possibility the NHC issues a Tropical Storm Watch or Warning for Palm Beach County?

Not a warning yet but a watch is definitely possible...

SFT

[meriland23]

iono why the cat 4 and 5 keep prodding the front of my mind, trying not to get ahead of myself.. but with the way things are turning out.. iono anymore.

[jhpigott]

Any chance they put Miami-Dade under TS watch tomorrow?

IMO - TS or possibly hurricane watch today at 5pm for south florida and the keys.

I expect TS conditions in south Florida within 48 hrs now and possible hurricane conditions in a little over 48 hrs, so a TS/H watch is in order for the next advisory.

How far up the FL east coast do you think they will post TS/Hurricane Watches/Warnings? Lighthouse Point? Jupiter Inlet? Further north?

[Blown Away]

Wxman57
If Isaac goes NW and has less land interaction and goes through rapid intensification will a deeper/stronger Isaac be influenced more northerly?

[HurricaneAndrew92]

No way this goes above NC over land/water as a storm? I live in this northeast.

[senorpepr]

Dropsonde and recon extrapolation finds the pressure in Isaac down to 994 hPa.

[Aric Dunn]

Wxman57
If Isaac goes NW and has less land interaction and goes through rapid intensification will a deeper/stronger Isaac be influenced more northerly?

typically thats what can happen but not always in a weak steering environment you will see a tendency to the right with deeper systems but with a well intrenched steering pattern you may not see much of that. right now the steering looks to be on the weaker side especially up towards the northern gulf coast. we just have to wait and see how it survives the islands. watches will like extend at least to west palm beach being that its a very large system and the pressure gradient will be tight.

[WeatherOrKnot]

Weather Channel guys just said they don't expect the cone to shift at all at 5pm.

[Meteorcane]

I still can't believe Issac is actually organizing when it looks much worse than it did yesterday from a convective standpoint.

[CalmBeforeStorm]

Weather Channel guys just said they don't expect the cone to shift at all at 5pm.

The cone has to shift to the right. The NHC track is now a left outlier.

[LowndesCoFire]

Wow, what a difference a day makes! Saw model / track update last night and now today...surprise! Guess this weekend will be for preparations with the family and then off to the firehouse! Here in Southern GA (Valdosta) a glancing blow from a good ol' tropical storm can bring us to our knees (as we found out in 2004). Guess its time to live by the rule...prepare for the worst...hope for the best!

[bucman1]

Aric, i need your hypothesis for the Tampa Bay area?

[PTrackerLA]

Isaac may be vertically stacked now but it is looking pretty rough. Cloud tops continue to warm and it has nothing close to the deep convection of the past few days...which would be great news for Haiti...

[MHurricanes]

Wxman57
If Isaac goes NW and has less land interaction and goes through rapid intensification will a deeper/stronger Isaac be influenced more northerly?

Recent Tweet from from Joe Bastardi (@BigJoeBastardi)

"Euro looks too far west. This storm should really crank in FLA straits. Looks like pick your poison problem to me."

[CronkPSU]

convection has seemed to wane every afternoon and then pick up around 9PM every night the past few days, wonder if that will be the case again

[LaBreeze]

Isaac may be vertically stacked now but it is looking pretty rough. Cloud tops continue to warm and it has nothing close to the deep convection of the past few days...which would be great news for Haiti...

Good news for us too, huh, PTrackerLA?

[SouthFLTropics]

Just watching the Wundermap radar for South Florida...It appears feeder bands from the outflow are already training into Broward and Dade Counties...Dolphins game might get a bit wet tonight at Sun Life.

SFT