ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

[Annie Oakley]

000
URNT12 KNHC 250205 CCA
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042012
A. 25/01:21:20Z
B. 28 deg 19 min N
085 deg 48 min W
C. 850 mb 1359 m
D. 40 kt
E. 306 deg 57 nm
F. 039 deg 54 kt
G. 307 deg 86 nm
H. 992 mb
I. 17 C / 1523 m
J. 19 C / 1521 m
K. 19 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 08
O. 0.02 / 6 nm
P. AF302 0304A DEBBY OB 10 CCA
MAX FL WIND 59 KT N QUAD 00:21:30Z
MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 56 KT SE QUAD 01:50:00Z
MAX FL TEMP 20 C 295 / 10 NM FROM FL CNTR
;

[thundercam96]

When Is Recon Flying Out? (Does This Have A Chance To Become A Hurricane? )

[ozonepete]

Far from weakening. Its bite is a lot worse than its appearance. Will be a long night of flash floods and tornadoes for most of Florida and then again tomorrow. Shows how bad a tropical storm can be. Good luck to everyone down there and stay safe.

What I'm saying is that yes it has spread out even more and some dry air came into the center but the major effects of floodin rains and tornadoes will not diminish.

[Stephanie]

Twitter tag #Debby is trending in Philadelphia. Where will she go?

[brunota2003]

Not that I'm aware of

[cycloneye]

The next one will depart at 6:45 AM EDT or 5:45 CDT.

FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 71 --
A. 25/1200,1800Z
B. AFXXX 0404A CYCLONE
C. 25/1045Z
D. 27.5N 88.2W
E. 25/1100Z TO 25/1800Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

[Dean4Storms]

Those high flight-level winds recon found in the NW quadrant last flight have all but disappeared. Really, recon only supports 40-45 knots despite the lower pressure. Makes sense as essentially all the deep convection has disappeared from around Debby's core.

When you have no convection...and you get dry air entrained into the system...it spreads your pressure gradient out...almost like a mid-latitude system. This is what is happening to Debby.

It's a MESS. Where's Vaffie? I want to ask them if I should still be surprised at how fast it will become a major hurricane?

If it doesn't refire some deeper convection soon it might never recover.

[Noah]

I am thrilled the rain has stopped and wind is down now to 30mph..I can sleep without worry of tornados and jumping 10 feet from a sleep when weather radio goes off.

Night all.. I think debby is going to be dissipated by morning, but that is just an opinion.. nothing more

SPC Just Extended The Tornado Watch To The East Coast Of Florida, Including The Counties of Volusia, Brevard, And Indian River.... Gonna Be A Long Night With The Weather Radio...lol

Be safe

[Annie Oakley]

00
URNT15 KNHC 250215
AF302 0304A DEBBY HDOB 25 20120625
020830 2747N 08415W 8433 01494 0014 +169 +162 202056 056 034 001 00
020900 2749N 08415W 8429 01498 0012 +170 +159 201057 058 032 003 00
020930 2751N 08415W 8426 01501 0011 +171 +158 201057 058 032 002 00
021000 2754N 08415W 8432 01494 0011 +171 +155 202059 059 030 002 00
021030 2756N 08415W 8429 01496 0011 +170 +152 200058 059 030 002 00
021100 2758N 08414W 8427 01496 0011 +170 +150 200056 057 029 002 00
021130 2800N 08414W 8429 01493 0008 +171 +154 199057 058 029 002 00
021200 2802N 08414W 8429 01495 0007 +173 +151 198057 058 031 002 00
021230 2804N 08414W 8429 01493 0008 +170 +154 197057 058 030 003 00
021300 2806N 08414W 8425 01498 0006 +174 +152 197056 057 030 002 00
021330 2808N 08414W 8428 01494 0005 +175 +152 195056 057 030 002 00
021400 2810N 08413W 8430 01491 0005 +175 +152 192056 057 033 002 00
021430 2812N 08413W 8433 01488 0003 +176 +152 190058 059 030 003 00
021500 2815N 08413W 8426 01493 0001 +180 +152 189060 060 031 002 00
021530 2817N 08413W 8432 01488 0001 +180 +149 190060 060 030 003 00
021600 2819N 08413W 8426 01491 0001 +177 +147 190059 060 029 003 00
021630 2821N 08413W 8430 01489 0002 +175 +150 190060 060 027 003 00
021700 2823N 08412W 8428 01490 0002 +175 +155 189061 061 029 001 00
021730 2825N 08412W 8430 01489 0003 +175 +153 190061 061 030 001 00
021800 2827N 08412W 8432 01488 0003 +175 +150 191060 060 028 002 00
$$

[artist]

Those high flight-level winds recon found in the NW quadrant last flight have all but disappeared. Really, recon only supports 40-45 knots despite the lower pressure. Makes sense as essentially all the deep convection has disappeared from around Debby's core.

When you have no convection...and you get dry air entrained into the system...it spreads your pressure gradient out...almost like a mid-latitude system. This is what is happening to Debby.

It's a MESS. Where's Vaffie? I want to ask them if I should still be surprised at how fast it will become a major hurricane?

If it doesn't refire some deeper convection soon it might never recover.

we can only hope!

[jabman98]

Will there be more model runs?

[thundercam96]

What Are The Chances Of Debby Becoming Hurricane Debby?

[Evil Jeremy]

Will there be more model runs?

There will always be more model runs. The Globals will run until the world ends, and the Tropical models will run until Debby dies.

['CaneFreak]

Haha...I had a feeling dry air was going to be a problem. Too many sprawling upper lows this time of year.

Those high flight-level winds recon found in the NW quadrant last flight have all but disappeared. Really, recon only supports 40-45 knots despite the lower pressure. Makes sense as essentially all the deep convection has disappeared from around Debby's core.

When you have no convection...and you get dry air entrained into the system...it spreads your pressure gradient out...almost like a mid-latitude system. This is what is happening to Debby.

It's a MESS. Where's Vaffie? I want to ask them if I should still be surprised at how fast it will become a major hurricane?

[Kingarabian]

Will there be more model runs?

Yah the Euro in an hour or so.

[Evil Jeremy]

Recon just found the highest flight level winds of their current mission (61kts flight level), and they have been trending upwards as they head north towards the NE quad. Next set of obs could continue showing higher winds.

[Evil Jeremy]

[artist]

FLC097-250230-
/O.CON.KMLB.TO.W.0012.000000T0000Z-120625T0230Z/
OSCEOLA-
1009 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN OSCEOLA COUNTY...

AT 1004 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO
DETECT A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
KENANSVILLE...OR NORTH OF YEEHAW JUNCTION...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LAKE
MARIAN AND KENANSVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

[Evil Jeremy]

Will there be more model runs?

Yah the Euro in an hour or so.

EURO is 2 1/2 hours away. GFS starts in an hour though.

[Annie Oakley]

When are going to get off page 13? lol