ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

[Annie Oakley]

best thing you ever heard lol........

[Annie Oakley]

Goodnight Mr. Brunota 2003........all respect to you.

[wkwally]

The way Debby keeps playing it would not shock me if it pulls it's self together to be a weak hurricane at the last moment

[Dave]

G'night to both of you! Will finish this one up then I'm going to die for about 8 hrs too...

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 250455
AF302 0304A DEBBY HDOB 41 20120625
044830 2803N 08507W 8428 01462 9966 +170 +170 208038 040 027 003 01
044900 2804N 08508W 8430 01458 9965 +170 +170 207037 038 029 002 01
044930 2805N 08510W 8431 01457 9962 +170 +170 207037 038 029 002 01
045000 2806N 08511W 8428 01461 9960 +180 +175 208035 037 027 002 00
045030 2807N 08512W 8429 01458 9960 +180 +171 209033 035 028 002 00
045100 2809N 08514W 8430 01454 9959 +180 +171 208032 033 027 001 00
045130 2810N 08515W 8432 01455 9958 +180 +178 210030 031 027 002 00
045200 2811N 08516W 8429 01453 9954 +180 +180 206029 030 025 002 01
045230 2812N 08517W 8429 01454 9952 +185 +183 203028 029 022 002 00
045300 2813N 08519W 8430 01452 9952 +184 +183 202026 027 019 003 00
045330 2814N 08520W 8433 01447 9950 +185 +184 206026 027 018 001 00
045400 2815N 08522W 8429 01450 9950 +180 +180 208024 025 017 001 01
045430 2816N 08523W 8429 01451 9949 +180 +180 209024 024 014 002 01
045500 2817N 08524W 8429 01449 9950 +180 +180 206024 025 014 001 01
045530 2818N 08526W 8428 01448 9947 +180 +180 206024 024 012 003 01
045600 2819N 08527W 8430 01446 9946 +180 +180 208023 024 012 002 01
045630 2819N 08528W 8429 01445 9945 +180 +180 208022 023 004 002 05
045700 2820N 08530W 8429 01445 9944 +184 +179 210019 022 004 003 00
045730 2821N 08531W 8430 01441 9941 +187 +173 216019 020 003 001 03
045800 2822N 08532W 8428 01445 9940 +190 +170 216018 020 000 003 03
$$
;

[Annie Oakley]

G'night

[Dave]

[Stormcenter]

I know things can change but this is painful to look at. I've seen TD's and waves look better than this.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-avn.html

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 250505
AF302 0304A DEBBY HDOB 42 20120625
045830 2823N 08534W 8429 01442 9940 +189 +168 219017 018 /// /// 03
045900 2823N 08535W 8430 01443 9941 +185 +183 222016 018 /// /// 03
045930 2824N 08537W 8426 01444 9940 +180 +180 218015 016 /// /// 05
050000 2825N 08538W 8429 01440 9939 +180 +180 220014 015 /// /// 05
050030 2826N 08539W 8433 01436 9936 +180 +180 226012 013 /// /// 05
050100 2827N 08541W 8418 01450 9934 +187 +186 224010 012 /// /// 03
050130 2828N 08542W 8430 01438 9935 +180 +180 228009 010 /// /// 05
050200 2829N 08544W 8429 01437 9934 +180 +180 235008 009 /// /// 05
050230 2830N 08545W 8426 01442 9935 +180 +180 256006 007 /// /// 05
050300 2831N 08546W 8429 01440 9934 +180 +180 256004 006 /// /// 05
050330 2833N 08547W 8430 01436 9934 +188 +187 290002 003 /// /// 03
050400 2834N 08548W 8429 01439 9934 +187 +187 007003 005 /// /// 03
050430 2835N 08550W 8432 01437 9934 +189 +186 029007 008 000 003 03
050500 2836N 08551W 8432 01438 9933 +190 +187 036011 012 002 003 03
050530 2837N 08552W 8428 01442 9934 +192 +186 036014 015 000 002 03
050600 2839N 08554W 8430 01440 9935 +193 +182 041017 018 000 003 03
050630 2840N 08555W 8433 01438 9934 +195 +175 040018 019 002 002 03
050700 2841N 08556W 8426 01445 9936 +195 +173 042019 019 001 003 00
050730 2842N 08558W 8429 01442 9938 +195 +168 043019 019 002 003 03
050800 2843N 08559W 8430 01442 9938 +196 +166 044019 019 001 004 00
$$
;

Steady at 993mb.

[ROCK]

dry air does look to be moisting up to the west but it might to late....intense convection just about gone anywhere near the center.....also looks like once that band moves off EC of FL they will get a break...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html

[Dave]

[ROCK]

I know things can change but this is painful to look at. I've seen TD's and waves look better than this.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-avn.html

the NAM did open her up during its last run....maybe we should crown the NAM...

[psyclone]

she looks weak but she's still dumping here and producing decent winds. i do agree that if convection fails to fire near the center it will mark the begining of the end. I'm rooting for the storm's demise.

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 250515
AF302 0304A DEBBY HDOB 43 20120625
050830 2844N 08601W 8418 01458 9941 +191 +165 047020 020 002 003 00
050900 2845N 08602W 8429 01449 9944 +190 +166 054022 023 005 002 03
050930 2847N 08604W 8430 01446 9946 +190 +168 055024 024 002 003 00
051000 2848N 08605W 8429 01451 9948 +189 +170 054025 026 001 001 03
051030 2849N 08607W 8430 01451 9950 +190 +167 054027 027 001 002 03
051100 2851N 08609W 8429 01456 9955 +183 +176 049028 028 008 002 00
051130 2852N 08610W 8432 01452 9956 +183 +178 047028 029 014 003 00
051200 2853N 08612W 8432 01453 9959 +180 +180 047030 031 014 003 01
051230 2855N 08614W 8429 01458 9960 +180 +176 046030 031 015 002 00
051300 2856N 08615W 8432 01457 9962 +179 +177 045030 031 016 002 00
051330 2857N 08617W 8428 01462 9966 +170 +170 045032 033 013 003 01
051400 2858N 08619W 8430 01458 9966 +170 +170 049033 034 018 003 01
051430 2900N 08620W 8429 01462 9967 +170 +170 052035 036 027 003 01
051500 2902N 08621W 8429 01463 9970 +170 +170 052036 037 030 004 01
051530 2903N 08622W 8427 01466 9974 +170 +170 054037 037 031 001 01
051600 2905N 08623W 8432 01463 9977 +170 +170 052039 040 031 001 01
051630 2906N 08625W 8427 01471 9979 +170 +170 051041 043 031 001 01
051700 2907N 08627W 8430 01470 9982 +170 +170 050038 040 030 002 01
051730 2909N 08628W 8429 01473 9983 +170 +170 050038 039 027 003 01
051800 2910N 08630W 8429 01474 9983 +175 +170 050039 040 027 004 00
$$
;

[SouthFLTropics]

I know things can change but this is painful to look at. I've seen TD's and waves look better than this.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-avn.html

the NAM did open her up during its last run....maybe we should crown the NAM...

Poor Rock...Are you still sore about might "King Euro" getting embarrassed??? LOL...In all fairness the Euro has more than paid it's dues over the past few years and is more often right than wrong. As for the GFS...time will tell if this is a fluke or a trend. A broken clock is still correct twice a day!!!

SFT

[Dave]

[Dave]

000
URNT12 KNHC 250523
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042012
A. 25/05:03:30Z
B. 28 deg 33 min N
085 deg 47 min W
C. 850 mb 1367 m
D. 30 kt
E. 129 deg 74 nm
F. 212 deg 56 kt
G. 129 deg 93 nm
H. 993 mb
I. 16 C / 1523 m
J. 19 C / 1523 m
K. 19 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 08
O. 0.02 / 5 nm
P. AF302 0304A DEBBY OB 21
MAX FL WIND 61 KT E QUAD 02:17:30Z

[Dave]

000
UZNT13 KNHC 250523
XXAA 75058 99286 70858 08185 99993 26605 34010 00558 ///// /////
92631 23204 01507 85369 20207 31002 88999 77999
31313 09608 80503
61616 AF302 0304A DEBBY OB 22
62626 EYE SPL 2855N08580W 0505 MBL WND 01007 AEV 20802 DLM WND 01
005 993843 WL150 35509 084 REL 2855N08580W 050341 SPG 2855N08580W
050537 =
XXBB 75058 99286 70858 08185 00993 26605 11850 20207 22843 19003
21212 00993 34010 11971 01006 22927 02007 33854 30002 44843 33002
31313 09608 80503
61616 AF302 0304A DEBBY OB 22
62626 EYE SPL 2855N08580W 0505 MBL WND 01007 AEV 20802 DLM WND 01
005 993843 WL150 35509 084 REL 2855N08580W 050341 SPG 2855N08580W
050537 =
;

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 250525
AF302 0304A DEBBY HDOB 44 20120625
051830 2911N 08631W 8429 01477 9983 +178 +167 050041 041 027 005 00
051900 2913N 08633W 8429 01478 9987 +175 +170 052042 043 027 004 00
051930 2914N 08634W 8429 01480 9990 +170 +170 051043 045 027 004 01
052000 2916N 08636W 8430 01477 9992 +170 +170 055049 050 026 005 01
052030 2917N 08638W 8432 01481 9993 +175 +169 054046 050 026 004 00
052100 2918N 08639W 8428 01486 9996 +170 +170 055038 042 025 003 01
052130 2920N 08641W 8429 01485 0000 +170 +170 053039 040 025 004 01
052200 2921N 08642W 8430 01484 0003 +160 +160 053040 040 026 005 01
052230 2922N 08644W 8429 01485 0002 +160 +160 056040 040 027 004 01
052300 2924N 08646W 8429 01489 0004 +160 +160 057039 040 027 005 01
052330 2925N 08647W 8432 01486 0004 +160 +160 058040 041 027 004 01
052400 2927N 08649W 8430 01488 0007 +160 +160 056040 041 027 003 01
052430 2928N 08650W 8429 01492 0010 +160 +160 053040 040 028 004 01
052500 2929N 08652W 8429 01492 0009 +160 +160 056041 042 028 004 01
052530 2931N 08654W 8430 01494 0013 +160 +160 057042 042 028 004 01
052600 2932N 08655W 8430 01495 0015 +160 +160 059043 044 028 004 01
052630 2933N 08657W 8429 01496 0018 +160 +160 061044 045 028 004 01
052700 2935N 08659W 8428 01500 0020 +160 +160 061042 043 027 004 01
052730 2936N 08700W 8429 01501 0022 +160 +160 059043 044 026 004 01
052800 2938N 08702W 8430 01501 0023 +160 +160 060044 045 025 004 01
$$
;

Someone else please take over.

[crimi481]

Just a guess -based on these strong sustained winds -and gusts (S.W. Fl coast) - I feel Debby may become min Cane. Like she is just pulsing - getting ready to bulk up by daylight. Stored up energy
Also - thinking center ends up further due south in morning
Dry air fading - moisture coming back
http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/geo/index ... thod=flash

Disclaimer: I am not a Pro - just guessing