ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

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jdray
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3801 Postby jdray » Mon Jun 25, 2012 11:28 am

Past 30 days of rain for Florida
Image

Past 24 hours of rain for Florida.
Image

day 1-5 QPF forecast (12z June 25th - 12z June 30th)
Image

So my area has had 20+ inches past 30 days, and is looking at another 15+ from Debby and her mess still.
Yes, there are still some areas needing rain, but NE Florida is done. We are literally flooding from any rain.

http://www.firstcoastnews.com/topstorie ... l-roadways
http://jacksonville.com/slideshows/slid ... s#slide=24
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3802 Postby AHS2011 » Mon Jun 25, 2012 11:31 am

Let's see Debby come around again. Hopefully she won't though, for the affected Floridians' (and anyone else who was affected) sake.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3803 Postby GCANE » Mon Jun 25, 2012 11:31 am

The boundary-layer inversion has weakened a bit.

Now at 2C vs 3C earlier this morning.

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/product ... 5_TANO.GIF

Still has a ways to go, especially with low Relative Humidity values over MS & AL

However, CAPE now at 6000 SE of Houston.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanaly ... sector=18#

Interesting pool of 2500 CAPE feeding that flare over Alligator Point.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3804 Postby mcheer23 » Mon Jun 25, 2012 11:33 am

Disorganized storms all the way up to North Carolina

http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/southeast_loop.php
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Recon

#3805 Postby tolakram » Mon Jun 25, 2012 11:33 am

000
URNT12 KNHC 251617
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042012
A. 25/15:44:00Z
B. 28 deg 58 min N
085 deg 22 min W
C. 850 mb 1384 m
D. 33 kt
E. 152 deg 56 nm
F. 211 deg 43 kt
G. 141 deg 116 nm
H. 995 mb
I. 17 C / 1492 m
J. 20 C / 1492 m
K. 18 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 10 nm
P. AF309 0404A DEBBY OB 08
MAX FL WIND 57 KT SE QUAD 13:55:40Z
MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 46 KT W QUAD 16:06:00Z
;

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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3806 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 25, 2012 11:34 am

At 192 hours its still hanging just south of Cape Hatteras.

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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3807 Postby tolakram » Mon Jun 25, 2012 11:38 am

Broad circulation getting very close to shore.

Image

Image
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3808 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 25, 2012 11:39 am

Finnally,it moves NE at 216 hours to the position just east of Outer Banks.

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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3809 Postby StormTracker » Mon Jun 25, 2012 11:42 am

I don't know, Debby looks like she's trying to come "full-circle"! Ok, everyone take shots at me now! :lol:
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3810 Postby AdamFirst » Mon Jun 25, 2012 11:52 am

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1246 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EASTERN INDIAN RIVER COUNTY IN FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WINTER BEACH...WABASSO...VERO BEACH
SOUTH...VERO BEACH...INDIAN RIVER SHORES...GIFFORD...
ST. LUCIE COUNTY IN FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF INDRIO...

* UNTIL 130 PM EDT.

* AT 1245 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 22 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF LAKEWOOD PARK...OR ABOUT 13 MILES WEST OF PORT SAINT
LUCIE. THIS TORNADO WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
WESTERN PORTIONS OF SAINT LUCIE COUNTY...SOUTH BEACH...POINTE WEST
AND VERO BEACH HIGHLANDS

THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO AT ANY TIME. PEOPLE IN
THE PATH OF THIS STORM SHOULD ACT NOW IN ORDER TO PROTECT THEMSELVES.
DO NOT WAIT FOR THE TORNADO TO DEVELOP BEFORE ACTING...YOU MAY NOT
SEE OR HEAR ITS APPROACH.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3811 Postby northjaxpro » Mon Jun 25, 2012 11:56 am

jdray wrote:http://www.firstcoastnews.com/topstories/article/261458/483/Debby-affecting-local-roadways
http://jacksonville.com/slideshows/slid ... s#slide=24



Yeah, my location is closing in on 30 inches total rainfall in the past 30 days counting today's total. Amazing what two tropical storms affecting the area within one month has bought to the area. Now, with Debby just spinning over the days for days to come we will have copious amounts of rain to move through the region at least for the next 2 days.

Conditions will only get worse with the flooding in metro Jax as the ground is just completely saturated. NWS is projecting totals of an additional 10-15 more inches potentially in the next couple of days. Should that verify, this very well may be an histroic flood event no question.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3812 Postby crimi481 » Mon Jun 25, 2012 12:01 pm

Is that big cluster storms - in N.E Quad (on land) - trying to dive in to center?
Strong Trop Force winds here in Englewood/ Pt Charlotte area -with rain bands
Sustained 35-40 MPH. Some pressure falls as well
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#3813 Postby Jevo » Mon Jun 25, 2012 12:03 pm

From Twitter:

@TWC_Shawn: The Governor of Florida declares a State of Emergency due to Tropical Storm #Debby. No Nat'l Guard deployment at this time. #FLwx.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3814 Postby mcheer23 » Mon Jun 25, 2012 12:04 pm

This thing wont move much until the trough picks it up and sends it NE
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3815 Postby crimi481 » Mon Jun 25, 2012 12:08 pm

Weather channel guys in wrong places - if they want to show some storm action
I just got back from Manasota Beach (N. Englewood branch) - dirty side of storm
Great rain bands keep coming- and wind gusts feel like small Hurricane (Really)
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Recon

#3816 Postby tolakram » Mon Jun 25, 2012 12:15 pm

Image
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#3817 Postby EmeraldCoast93 » Mon Jun 25, 2012 12:17 pm

Now that I have been taken out of the tropical storm warning, the sustained winds at Eglin AFB (nearest station to me) have been increasing... up to 28 mph sustained as of 12 PM. I've also seen some gusts close to tropical storm force since being taken out of the warning. This is one odd tropical storm.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3818 Postby northjaxpro » Mon Jun 25, 2012 12:17 pm

crimi481 wrote:Is that big cluster storms - in N.E Quad (on land) - trying to dive in to center?
Strong Trop Force winds here in Englewood/ Pt Charlotte area -with rain bands
Sustained 35-40 MPH. Some pressure falls as well



Those rainbands through Tallahassee and I-10 corridor south to the coast are part of the northern fringes of the circulation of Debby rotating counterclockwise toward the broad center, although those bands are well removed from it currently due to shear and dry air intrusion.
Last edited by northjaxpro on Mon Jun 25, 2012 12:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3819 Postby N2Storms » Mon Jun 25, 2012 12:17 pm

[quote="crimi481"]Weather channel guys in wrong places - if they want to show some storm action
I just got back from Manasota Beach (N. Englewood branch) - dirty side of storm
Great rain bands keep coming- and wind gusts feel like small Hurricane (Really)[/quote]



I'm with you...Cantore was in Pensacola and now he's here on Panama City Beach and it's really a non-event. Yesterday we had some really rough weather but today is basically just a light rain and breezy. I hope he stays here though, that pretty much guarantees that we won't be getting any more activity.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Recon

#3820 Postby tolakram » Mon Jun 25, 2012 12:18 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 251704
AF309 0404A DEBBY HDOB 39 20120625
165600 2844N 08547W 8458 01440 9972 +187 +177 300016 016 031 000 03
165630 2845N 08545W 8459 01439 9971 +188 +177 296015 015 030 000 00
165700 2847N 08544W 8469 01429 9971 +186 +178 294015 015 029 000 00
165730 2848N 08543W 8455 01442 9968 +186 +181 299015 016 028 001 00
165800 2849N 08541W 8462 01433 9967 +188 +181 297014 015 027 000 03
165830 2851N 08540W 8461 01437 9967 +192 +176 283012 012 026 000 00
165900 2852N 08538W 8470 01421 9963 +193 +177 283011 011 024 001 00
165930 2853N 08537W 8461 01431 9961 +192 +175 284011 012 022 001 03
170000 2854N 08536W 8456 01433 9958 +196 +170 290008 009 021 001 00
170030 2856N 08535W 8467 01426 9960 +197 +175 284006 007 023 000 03
170100 2858N 08534W 8459 01433 9963 +194 +184 283005 005 019 002 00
170130 2859N 08533W 8459 01433 9965 +191 +183 300003 004 021 001 03
170200 2901N 08532W 8459 01438 9967 +195 +178 302003 003 022 000 00
170230 2902N 08531W 8461 01433 9961 +196 +179 269001 002 021 000 03
170300 2904N 08530W 8465 01426 9960 +196 +173 001000 001 020 000 03
170330 2905N 08529W 8465 01428 9961 +195 +182 055002 004 020 000 00
170400 2907N 08529W 8459 01429 9958 +190 +180 035006 008 017 001 03
170430 2909N 08529W 8454 01442 9966 +187 +185 046010 011 019 000 03
170500 2910N 08531W 8469 01423 9964 +192 +179 038012 014 /// /// 03
170530 2910N 08533W 8470 01427 9967 +196 +171 032013 014 025 001 03
$$
;
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