ATL: ISAAC - Models

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deltadog03
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#3821 Postby deltadog03 » Sat Aug 25, 2012 10:37 am

Starting to pull away from Cuba at hour 30 heading WNW-NW
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#3822 Postby ROCK » Sat Aug 25, 2012 10:38 am

deltadog03 wrote:Jevo, Rock, NAM really strengthens this as it gets closer to land....



yep....stronger on this run....conditions most be ripe aloft for it to crank up that much...the HWRF had 940mb at 6Z....
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#3823 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 25, 2012 10:39 am

so far at 36 hours they are in identical spots as the 6z. just 12z is a little stronger.
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#3824 Postby deltadog03 » Sat Aug 25, 2012 10:40 am

HR42 looks like its very near Key West. Starting to strengthen....
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#3825 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 25, 2012 10:42 am

45 hours a little south of 6z and stronger.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#3826 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Aug 25, 2012 10:44 am

Spreading his legs in the Gulf
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#3827 Postby Riptide » Sat Aug 25, 2012 10:44 am

The GFS could possibly stall Isaac inside the Gulf, the escape route is very weak on this run.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#3828 Postby ROCK » Sat Aug 25, 2012 10:46 am

farther west it seems...I thought JB said east for the 12Z runs?
Last edited by ROCK on Sat Aug 25, 2012 10:47 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#3829 Postby deltadog03 » Sat Aug 25, 2012 10:46 am

starting to head NW at hour 60....
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#3830 Postby deltadog03 » Sat Aug 25, 2012 10:47 am

ROCK wrote:farther west it seems...I thought JB said east for the 12Z runs?


I would say its pretty close Rock...maybe a smide W..
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#3831 Postby adam0983 » Sat Aug 25, 2012 10:47 am

Does anyone still think that Isaac can ride up the east coast of Florida?
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#3832 Postby ROCK » Sat Aug 25, 2012 10:48 am

it also has slowed wayyyyy down
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#3833 Postby PTPatrick » Sat Aug 25, 2012 10:48 am

At 60 it's a fair amount west and south of 66 position on 6z. Maybe 50 ish miles
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#3834 Postby ROCK » Sat Aug 25, 2012 10:49 am

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
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#3835 Postby deltadog03 » Sat Aug 25, 2012 10:50 am

A little Further W, It appears....starting to head North, but slowly. Maybe making a run near Mobile??
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#3836 Postby Hurricaneman » Sat Aug 25, 2012 10:50 am

ROCK wrote:it also has slowed wayyyyy down


This run would be close to a worst case scenerio, Hurricane force winds in the panhandle for a while and epic rainfall, this is a scary run

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#3837 Postby Frank P » Sat Aug 25, 2012 10:51 am

ROCK wrote:it also has slowed wayyyyy down


Any slowdown in the GOM would not bode well for anyone.. lets hope that does not come to fruition
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#3838 Postby gboudx » Sat Aug 25, 2012 10:52 am

Looks like SELA would even get tropical storm wind with this run.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#3839 Postby Sabanic » Sat Aug 25, 2012 10:52 am

Graphics anyone? Thanks!
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#3840 Postby deltadog03 » Sat Aug 25, 2012 10:53 am

Slower this run for sure...and DEF stronger through hour 78. Its South of Pensacola.
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