ATL: ISAAC - Models

[ATCcane]

Looks to be more WNW at the end there, might this ride the coast West???

Does appear to turn or drift west or wnw along the coast.

[Meteorcane]

If EURO moves far west, I could actually conceive the NHC making a fairly radical shift in track (not all the way to Louisiana, but Biloxish a lot of runs now are starting to pick up on a "weak weakness" and stronger ridging. Also curious to see if it stalls in this run.

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Not looking good for LA! Let's see what the last few give us. Will we see that major slow down again?

Whats going on B. Things look like they could possibly change for the worse for us around here. Not looking good.

[HurrMark]

[quote="Jevo"]0z GFS +72 (If it takes 72 hours to Evac if needed.. it looks like they may miss their window if this verifies)

Looks like it is due south of the City of New Orleans...but it is on the dirty side, and I would hate to see the water rushing into Ponchartrain.

[Blinhart]

0z GFS +66

http://img10.imageshack.us/img10/4698/u ... mb066i.gif

Looks like it is getting closer to where I think final land fall will be Vermillion Bay or just West of Vermillion Bay. Just what i didn't want to see.

[TwisterFanatic]

We might finally be zeroing in on one area. Margin of error is closing.

[Ixolib]

Looking more liks a SE LA/SW MS land fall do u think they will shift the cone

Don't even see MS in this...looks like LA all the way with this run.

But you know what side that puts the MS coast on, right!!

[HeeBGBz]

Craptastic..

I really hope the NHC starts showing this in their reports. Most people here still think it's going to Pcola.

[SeminoleWind]

So i'm guessing the GFS is not biting the big weakness the NAM showed opening up huh?

[HurrMark]

If EURO moves far west, I could actually conceive the NHC making a fairly radical shift in track (not all the way to Louisiana, but Biloxish a lot of runs now are starting to pick up on a "weak weakness" and stronger ridging. Also curious to see if it stalls in this run.

Right...if the Euro shifts, then the 00Z suite will have nearly full consensus. If not, we are back to the GFS vs. Euro debate.

[Sabanic]

This would put most of the models between NOLA & Pens?

[HurrMark]

Looking more liks a SE LA/SW MS land fall do u think they will shift the cone

Don't even see MS in this...looks like LA all the way with this run.

But you know what side that puts the MS coast on, right!!

Oh yeah, the dirty side, for sure...not saying there won't be weather, but I think NO would take the brunt of this track if it verifies.

[deltadog03]

HMMMMM

[Jevo]

0z GFS +78 (Ridge eroding as depicted in the NAM.. but 10 hours later in the GFS)

[HurrMark]

81 hours, nearing the coast around central LA. Probably not landfall yet.

[Ixolib]

HMMMMM

When we see a pro-met say HMMMMMM, that really makes 'ya wonder!!!

[Sabanic]

Wonder where it goes from here on this run?

81 hours, nearing the coast around central LA. Probably not landfall yet.

[BigB0882]

If the ridge is eroding then I guess it will finally start going more N after 78 hours or so?

[Blinhart]

This would cause catastrophic damage to all the coast of Alabama, Mississippi, and Louisiana. That isn't even talking about the damage that would be happening further inland with all the wind and rain constantly hitting for a day or two .

[StormClouds63]

Morgan City?