ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Noah]

Isaac will not amount to much of anything (rains and some wind) for South Florida and the Keys. It may be a different story as he heads north.

But this storm has always had issues in development and whether it is dry air or multiple lows or whatever. It has been an underachiever which is fine with me.

But unfortunately this is what folks remember the next time there is a threat.

Better safe than sorry... Anyone who has experienced tracks changing know to keep tight eye on updates.
Also, agree with what others has said.. small storms still kill and cause damage... Seems there is always someone looking for a thrill and depressed when its not what "they" want and immature to say the least..

[HurricaneAndrew92]

By the time recon gets there, it will past the 10 am advisory. I never seen them post an advisory past the offical time.

I've seen them post it 1 or 2 minutes late, but only if they Really have to. They may REALLY have to. The keys are going to get hit this afternoon into tonight.

[tgenius]

My issue has more to do with the schools being closed and both myself and my wife working; his daycare follows the schools so they are closed so if our respective jobs open for business we have to take a personal day to account and that is happening across many households down here.

[PTrackerLA]

I would expect a pretty significant shift west. Preparations need to begin NOW for the NOLA area. There's no time to waste.

[WxEnthus]

By the time recon gets there, it will past the 10 am advisory. I never seen them post an advisory past the offical time.

Oh, they have. I remember one last year (maybe 2 years ago?) that wasn't released until 15 past the hour. Unusual for sure but yes, it's happened before, especially when they are waiting on data or have a very big decision to make (i.e. path / intensity). But most often they post the update on time and then issue special advisory later if needed.

[HurricaneAndrew92]

Question, why did nhc keep it at 995?

[galaxy401]

NHC cone now has Mississippi as the target!

[jasons2k]

Look like a little wobble to the NW. It might be far away from the coast now to let the core fully wrap and allow intensification.

[HurrMark]

THE HURRICANE WATCH IS EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST
TO JUST EAST OF MORGAN CITY...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS
AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

[WeatherGuesser]

Regardless of where the center is right now, there is still a good portion over some form of land which is bound to be dragging on the rotation.

[HurricaneAndrew92]

New Orleans is in trouble, not that they haven't dealt with this before.

[greenkat]

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/images/fxc/mfl/ ... mage12.gif

Found this cool graphic on the NWS website. Watch out on the water!

[BigB0882]

NHC pulled the trigger. Evacuations to come?

[WxEnthus]

Plane is approaching.

This is an amazing photo.. where can I link to such photos?

That was a screenshot from Google Earth. You can see more of them over on the Issac Recon page here:

viewtopic.php?f=59&t=113392

Here's a link for the GE plug-in:

http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/

[WeatherGuesser]

Well, I'm solidly in the new 5 day cone of uncertainty.

[Portastorm]

NHC pulled the trigger. Evacuations to come?

I'm sure the city has a plan, right? Well ... whatever their emergency response plan dictates is how they'll play it out.

[cheezyWXguy]

Question, why did nhc keep it at 995?

it says they are waiting to hear what recon reports before changing the intensity. They probably could have upped it to 70 if they wanted to based on increased organization, but the difference is so minor that there isn't much of a point.

[Noah]

Plane is approaching.

This is an amazing photo.. where can I link to such photos?

That was a screenshot from Google Earth. You can see more of them over on the Issac Recon page here:

viewtopic.php?f=59&t=113392

Here's a link for the GE plug-in:

http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/

Thanks totally!

[BigB0882]

That's a bigger shift than I expected before the 12z Euro ran. I think NHC is basically calling it at this point, they have no choice. I bet they have every finger and toe crossed that the Euro will just fall in line. If it does I expect the next cone to shift left into SELA but MS is a very safe bet right now for landfall.

[thetraveler]

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Well, I'm solidly in the new 5 day cone of uncertainty.

Then you will probably be fine. That is the best place to be 5 days out, just ask the folks east of PCB, lol.