ATL: ISAAC - Models

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ROCK
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#5121 Postby ROCK » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:55 pm

again any slow down, center relo further south and you have this basically where the 18Z had it and drifting west....SWLA and even parts of Texas would have issues...
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#5122 Postby Wx_Warrior » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:56 pm

I sticking with my guns...Just think it's GFS is too west.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#5123 Postby ROCK » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:56 pm

at 75hr entering SE TX.....
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#5124 Postby HurricaneBrain » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:57 pm

GFS 84hr:
Image
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#5125 Postby Jagno » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:57 pm

ROCK wrote:at 75hr entering SE TX.....

link? I don't understand it entering SW TX in 75 hours when it's still riding the TX/LA Sabine at 84 hours.
Last edited by Jagno on Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#5126 Postby ROCK » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:57 pm

Wx_Warrior wrote:I sticking with my guns...Just think it's GFS is too west.




you say that now... :lol: wait for the EURO....then you will have to disarmed... :ggreen:
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Re: Re:

#5127 Postby deltadog03 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:57 pm

HurrMark wrote:
deltadog03 wrote:Honestly, this should have been picked up at hour 48-54....that is the strongest/furtherest south with that weakness....


Are you sure...I compared 500 mb heights at 12Z vs. 00z and it looks more pronounced at 12z.


Yes, the 588dm line is much further south than the 12z run from today.
ok, on my graphics it looks different, but ya the trof looked a little deeper...either way it doesnt get picked up....so, on to the euro we go.
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Re:

#5128 Postby SoupBone » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:58 pm

deltadog03 wrote:hmmm...HR 48 at H5, the upper trof is MUCH more pronounced in the SE. I wonder why the GFS didn't pick this up. That is much stronger and further south than the 12z run......hmmmm


Can you elaborate?
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Re: Re:

#5129 Postby TwisterFanatic » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:58 pm

HurrMark wrote:
deltadog03 wrote:Honestly, this should have been picked up at hour 48-54....that is the strongest/furtherest south with that weakness....


Are you sure...I compared 200-500 mb heights at 12Z vs. 00z and it looks more pronounced at 12z.


I did between 18z and 0z. Little to no difference.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#5130 Postby ROCK » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:58 pm

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#5131 Postby StormClouds63 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:00 pm

Wx_Warrior wrote:I sticking with my guns...Just think it's GFS is too west.


I always enjoy your posts, Wx_Warrior ... and really hope you're right about this one.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#5132 Postby Wx_Warrior » Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:00 pm

If 0z EURO verifies with GFS solution, then like The Monkeys once sang, "I'm a Believer."
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#5133 Postby perk » Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:00 pm

At hr 90 the high has built back over Isaac.
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#5134 Postby TwisterFanatic » Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:04 pm

Well, lets see if the EURO goes towards the ensembles, or continues the headaches.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#5135 Postby ROCK » Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:04 pm

if this run verifies there is going to be a ton of rain in Texas....
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#5136 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:04 pm

Does anyone have FB moments and want to press "like," on some of the posts here...? Lordy... :D
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#5137 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:05 pm

So JB on twitter just compared the 500 MB chart of 1900 Galveston storm to present day chart and they look pretty darn similar.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#5138 Postby Red Seal » Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:08 pm

ROCK wrote:if this run verifies there is going to be a ton of rain in Texas....


the entire ArkLaTex!
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#5139 Postby catskillfire51 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:09 pm

:uarrow: i actually brought that up on the discussion page
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Re:

#5140 Postby ROCK » Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:23 pm

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:So JB on twitter just compared the 500 MB chart of 1900 Galveston storm to present day chart and they look pretty darn similar.



got to love JB...lets bring up a storm that killed 10K people....
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