ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[TwisterFanatic]

Another west shift in the cone.

[Hammy]

looks on visible loop, if you speed it up and look carefully, that some midlevel shear is coming in from the south.

[OzCycloneChaserTrav]

To my eyes it looks like Isaac is pulling himself together nicely, can really see the centre consolidating. Beautiful to watch on radar imagery.

Unfortunatly we are likely seeing the birth of something that may cause devastation.

[momwalker1966]

**off topic** Super big thanks guys. Thanks for keeping us that are weather challenged so informed. Be safe everyone. Sorry for the interruption.

[cycloneye]

NHC scales back the intensity as now it forecast to be a hurricane by Tuesday morning.

INIT 26/2100Z 24.2N 82.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 27/0600Z 25.1N 83.9W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 27/1800Z 26.3N 85.9W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 28/0600Z 27.7N 87.6W 70 KT 80 MPH
48H 28/1800Z 28.9N 88.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
72H 29/1800Z 30.7N 89.5W 85 KT 100 MPH...INLAND
96H 30/1800Z 32.5N 90.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
120H 31/1800Z 34.5N 90.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND

[SouthFLTropics]

What about Key West? Not mainland Florida, but Florida.

Please read what I said carefully... Center appears it's going to miss Key West to the south and it is not classified as a hurricane at this point. Florida has gone 2498 days without a DIRECT HIT FROM A HURRICANE...

SFT

Yep, I missed it, I'm sorry. Now stop with the attitude.

No attitude and no disrespect meant...It's all good my friend. Please don't take what I said personally. Have a great day.

SFT

[Cdenton12]

So the weaker it stays the further west it could go ....????


_________________
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[fasterdisaster]

I will be surprised if it's not a hurricane in 24 hours.

PERSONAL FORECAST DISCLAIMER: I am an amateur only, please refer to the NHC and NWS for official forecasts.

[psyclone]

At least they dumped the TS warning for the nature coast north of Tarpon Springs. I expect some more hacking of the warnings that flank that region at the 11pm update up in the big bend and also south of tarpon springs down to englewood. I remain confident that sustained winds will remain under TS strength in those regions.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[Jag95]

He's sure gotten better organized over the 4 hours of this loop. I wouldn't be surprised to see the winds start ramping up soon. A beautiful thing to watch from a distance.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=30

[ConvergenceZone]

Wow, on 2:00pm Monday they are still predicting that this will be a tropical storm? I sure didn't see that coming... I'm actually very suprised at that since it's been looking better as the day as gone one..... Looks like that will probably effect the overall intensity then at landfall...Hugh storms just can't get organized that fast. Perhaps we might get away with a Cat 1...

[Janie2006]

That's the thing, Jag.....from a *distance*.

For a while I've been wondering exactly why I'm so nervous about this and then it struck me: the last hurricane to approach from this direction along almost the same projected path was Katrina. Isaac is no Katrina, and I don't live in a surge zone, but the nervousness remains. Nothing to do but batten down the hatches and wait.

[Stormlover2012]

pay attention to the speed of the storm it moved from 18 mph to 16

[ConvergenceZone]

NHC scales back the intensity as now it forecast to be a hurricane by Tuesday morning.

INIT 26/2100Z 24.2N 82.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 27/0600Z 25.1N 83.9W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 27/1800Z 26.3N 85.9W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 28/0600Z 27.7N 87.6W 70 KT 80 MPH
48H 28/1800Z 28.9N 88.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
72H 29/1800Z 30.7N 89.5W 85 KT 100 MPH...INLAND
96H 30/1800Z 32.5N 90.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
120H 31/1800Z 34.5N 90.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND

Yea, looks like it might be a borderline cat1/cat 2 based upon their latest analysis....It will probably be a close call whether or not it makes it to cat 2, since it's isn't suppose to hit cat 2 until just before it makes landfall... The news got better with Florida not getting slammed and now more good news today. I know that we should take it seriously, but at least the news keeps getting better.

[WeatherGuesser]

Oil and Gas Platforms evacuating

http://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory/rigs ... DqVpaKDrYw

[wxwatcher1999]

pay attention to the speed of the storm it moved from 18 mph to 16

Explain please what the speed has to do with it and which way will it go in reference to the speed

[Shuriken]

You can kiss goodbye any hope that Isaac (or at least a good portion of the storm) will miss the nitrous Gulf loop-current.

[ConvergenceZone]

You can kiss goodbye any hope that Isaac (or at least a good portion of the storm) will miss the nitrous Gulf loop-current.

Well, the NHC isn't very robust on their strength forecast, so I don't think they think it's going to be that big of deal...

[Senobia]

pay attention to the speed of the storm it moved from 18 mph to 16

Explain please what the speed has to do with it and which way will it go in reference to the speed

I think it has to do with getting picked up by one ridge or the other and how long it sits and spins over open waters.

[MGC]

5pm track has shifted and is right over me! Under Hurricane Warning also. Hopefully the track will shift east and I'll be on weak side.....Isaac is looking better and better.....MGC