WPAC: BOPHA - Remnants

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cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Typhoon

#601 Postby cycloneye » Mon Dec 03, 2012 1:28 pm

Bopha seen from the ISS on Sunday.

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Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Typhoon

#602 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Dec 03, 2012 1:29 pm

cycloneye wrote:Bopha seen from the ISS on Sunday.

That's impressive!
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Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Typhoon

#603 Postby euro6208 » Mon Dec 03, 2012 1:33 pm

Currently Bopha's ACE is 21.3375 and our season total is 288.225...mighty impressive...

Normal Yearly Ace based on 1981-2010 Climatology is 295...we are catching up...
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Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Typhoon

#604 Postby Meow » Mon Dec 03, 2012 1:42 pm

cycloneye wrote:Bopha seen from the ISS on Sunday.

Image

Access denied.
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#605 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Dec 03, 2012 1:45 pm

I hope they realize what they are about to get! Winds are likely at least 175 mph in the northern eyewall...
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Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Typhoon

#606 Postby cycloneye » Mon Dec 03, 2012 1:54 pm

Meow wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Bopha seen from the ISS on Sunday.

http://d3j5vwomefv46c.cloudfront.net/ph ... 13xfNXGNM_

Access denied.


This NASA link works.

http://twitpic.com/bis83o
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Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Typhoon

#607 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Dec 03, 2012 2:16 pm

No signs of weakening

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
7.5 / 908.9mb/155.0kt
Image
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Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Typhoon

#608 Postby cycloneye » Mon Dec 03, 2012 2:18 pm

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Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Typhoon

#609 Postby Meow » Mon Dec 03, 2012 2:29 pm

supercane4867 wrote:No signs of weakening

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
7.5 / 908.9mb/155.0kt
Image

But the NRL maintains it 140 knots.
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Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Typhoon

#610 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Dec 03, 2012 2:37 pm

Meow wrote:But the NRL maintains it 140 knots.


They may bump it up to 145kts in the best track data. But still, 150kts seems more reasonable to me
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Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Typhoon

#611 Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Dec 03, 2012 2:54 pm

If Bopha maintains its Category 5 strength, it could be really bad for the Philippines. They should really take that super typhoon seriously. I wonder if Philippines have to worry about storm surge.
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Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Typhoon

#612 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Dec 03, 2012 3:23 pm

Eyewall moving onshore

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#613 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Dec 03, 2012 3:38 pm

Based on all data, I would say 150 kt is the landfall intensity.
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#614 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Dec 03, 2012 4:04 pm

Landfall just south of Cateel (population 30,000). Eyewall going over the town.
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Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Typhoon

#615 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Dec 03, 2012 4:17 pm

Bopha just had made landfall on Mindanao at its peak intensity

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
7.5 / 908.9mb/155.0kt
Image
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Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Typhoon

#616 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Dec 03, 2012 4:20 pm

supercane4867 wrote:Bopha just had made landfall on Mindanao at its peak intensity

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
7.5 / 908.9mb/155.0kt
Image


Exact point of landfall looks to be 7.7N 126.5E. It appears to be a lagoon between Cateel and Baganga.
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Re:

#617 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Dec 03, 2012 4:27 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Landfall just south of Cateel (population 30,000). Eyewall going over the town.


We could be looking at a death toll of 3000 or even more...
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Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Typhoon

#618 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Dec 03, 2012 4:55 pm

Landfall loop

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Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Typhoon

#619 Postby cebuboy » Mon Dec 03, 2012 6:31 pm

Winds starting to pickup strong here in Cebu City and it's a very dark morning. At what time realistically do this Super typhoon will pass over this island? Thanks for the update.
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Re: Re:

#620 Postby cebuboy » Mon Dec 03, 2012 6:32 pm

supercane4867 wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:Landfall just south of Cateel (population 30,000). Eyewall going over the town.


We could be looking at a death toll of 3000 or even more...


There was a forced evacuation yesterday, so I'm hoping zero or little casualties.
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