meriland23 wrote:what in the world is goin on man! this would be worst case scenarion, barely any land interaction, and incredibly warm waters of the gulf, yikes
What's going on is potentially the sequel to Ivan.
SFT
ATL: ISAAC - Models
Moderator: S2k Moderators
-
SouthFLTropics
- Category 5
- Posts: 4236
- Age: 50
- Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 8:04 am
- Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida
Re:
What's going on is potentially the sequel to Ivan.
SFT
0 likes
Fourth Generation Florida Native
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
-
meriland23
- Category 5
- Posts: 1239
- Age: 37
- Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2011 9:29 pm
Re:
Jevo wrote:12z ECMWF (Euro)
+192
216hrs is going to be a scary one to see I think.. that was a pretty significant MB drop..
0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
Aric Dunn
- Category 5
- Posts: 21238
- Age: 42
- Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
- Location: Ready for the Chase.
- Contact:
192 hours the slow north motion has starting should start to accelerate to the n then nne unless the trough misses it.
0 likes
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
-
InstantWeatherMaps
- Tropical Low
- Posts: 44
- Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2011 9:47 pm
Re: ATL: NINE - Models
SouthFLTropics wrote:JPmia wrote:Eek:
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP192.gif
That appears to be yesterday's run...
Hit refresh on your browser.
0 likes
-
Kingarabian
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 15981
- Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
- Location: Honolulu, Hawaii
-
InstantWeatherMaps
- Tropical Low
- Posts: 44
- Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2011 9:47 pm
-
Aric Dunn
- Category 5
- Posts: 21238
- Age: 42
- Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
- Location: Ready for the Chase.
- Contact:
at 216 hours north motion and its deepening large weakness in ridge... which way will it go next. given the break I would say ne
0 likes
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
-
Weatherfreak000
-
Jevo
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1729
- Age: 47
- Joined: Tue Aug 03, 2004 8:45 pm
- Location: The Flemish Cap
- Contact:
12z ECMWF (Euro)
+216
+216
0 likes
Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.
-
meriland23
- Category 5
- Posts: 1239
- Age: 37
- Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2011 9:29 pm
Re:
Kingarabian wrote:
Trouble...
oh dear, I will be honest, was hoping for 'something' this year, but if this happens like this..this bad.. I feel nothing but sorrow for whoever gets hit by this.. seriously
0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
deltadog03
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 3580
- Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
- Location: Macon, GA
-
Blown Away
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 10146
- Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am
Re: ATL: NINE - Models
18z Models - Bend back to west once above the islands.
12z Models
0 likes
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05... EYE COMING MY WAY IN 2024…
Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…
Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…
-
Kingarabian
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 15981
- Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
- Location: Honolulu, Hawaii
961 MB
Last edited by Kingarabian on Tue Aug 21, 2012 1:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
RIP Kobe Bryant
-
meriland23
- Category 5
- Posts: 1239
- Age: 37
- Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2011 9:29 pm
question is, how reliable is euro this far out based on past hurricanes.. vs the GFS.. this is the first time I have seen a route like this for td 9, and the emmense strength
0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
InstantWeatherMaps
- Tropical Low
- Posts: 44
- Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2011 9:47 pm
-
Hurricane Alexis
- Category 2
- Posts: 683
- Age: 29
- Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2012 7:59 pm
- Location: Miami,Florida
Re: ATL: NINE - Models
frederic79 wrote:Just wanted to quickly point out that in 2004, Hurricane or TS Ivan was predicted 5 days out by the NHC to go right up the spine of FL. We all know what eventually happened. Go back and look at the graphic archive for Ivan... it looks a lot like what we are seeing with the future Isaac. I am not saying things will work out the same, but it shows how much things can change this far out. If TD9 continue rolling west, as the Euro shows, we could likely be looking at a central to western GOM storm, IMO.
But Ivan was much farther south while entering the Caribbean than TD 9.
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
Jevo
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1729
- Age: 47
- Joined: Tue Aug 03, 2004 8:45 pm
- Location: The Flemish Cap
- Contact:
12z ECMWF (Euro)
+240
+240
0 likes
Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.
-
Stormlover2012
- Category 1
- Posts: 262
- Joined: Sat Jun 23, 2012 11:03 am
Re: ATL: NINE - Models
Like ive been saying for 2 days now the models will keep changing u are looking at 7 days out a lot will be changing
0 likes
-
Kingarabian
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 15981
- Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
- Location: Honolulu, Hawaii
Re:
meriland23 wrote:question is, how reliable is euro this far out based on past hurricanes.. vs the GFS.. this is the first time I have seen a route like this for td 9, and the emmense strength
Take it with a grain of salt as usual. Right now anywhere from NOLA to the East coast is in play.
0 likes
RIP Kobe Bryant
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 7 guests