ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

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cycloneye
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ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 21, 2012 1:01 pm

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_al962012.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201206211807
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 96, 2012, DB, O, 2012062118, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL962012
AL, 96, 2012062018, , BEST, 0, 200N, 902W, 20, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 96, 2012062100, , BEST, 0, 205N, 900W, 20, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 96, 2012062106, , BEST, 0, 209N, 899W, 20, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 96, 2012062112, , BEST, 0, 213N, 898W, 20, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 96, 2012062118, , BEST, 0, 217N, 890W, 20, 1008, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,


Thread that was the topic at Talking Tropics forum.

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=112825&hilit=&start=0
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ATL: DEBBY - Models

#2 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jun 21, 2012 1:02 pm

Euro 48 hours a little stronger.

http://instantweathermaps.com/ECMWF-php ... b&hour=048



and looks a little to right of the 00z. with a more pronounced trough.


hmmm


Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L

#3 Postby ROCK » Thu Jun 21, 2012 1:04 pm

finally..96L...!!

.EURO looked to initialize well also...
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ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#4 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 21, 2012 1:07 pm

All model runs here.
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#5 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Thu Jun 21, 2012 1:07 pm

Hmmmmm...actually looks to me a tad west.....
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#6 Postby northjaxpro » Thu Jun 21, 2012 1:07 pm

Finally 96L has been designated. Now, hopefully we can see some sort of consensus come from the model runs in the next 24-36 hours!
Last edited by northjaxpro on Thu Jun 21, 2012 1:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#7 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 21, 2012 1:09 pm

ROCK.repost the Euro run here. :)
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#8 Postby Hurricane Andrew » Thu Jun 21, 2012 1:11 pm

If the EURO is right, wouldn't it be a mess with the storm first movig one way, then splitting?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#9 Postby tolakram » Thu Jun 21, 2012 1:11 pm

Imageshack appears to be dead at the moment, FYI. Please link to images or repost using http://imgur.com/ or your favorite imaging hosting service. Thanks.
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#10 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jun 21, 2012 1:13 pm

heading due north at 72 hours.

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... nds072.gif
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L

#11 Postby ROCK » Thu Jun 21, 2012 1:13 pm

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP072.gif

looks like the CMC... :wink: I wonder if the trof picks it up or the high builds in and sends it west....
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ATL: DEBBY - Recon

#12 Postby Dave » Thu Jun 21, 2012 1:13 pm

All recon hdobs and tcpods....

000
NOUS42 KNHC 211400
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1000 AM EDT THU JUN 21 2012
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 22/1100Z TO 23/1100Z JUN 2012
TCPOD NUMBER.....12-034

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (GULF OF MEXICO)
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 70 --
A. 22/1800Z
B. AFXXX 01AAA INVEST
C. 22/1600Z
D. 23.0N 89.0W
E. 22/1730Z TO 22/2130Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: A MISSION
AT 23/1800Z NEAR 24.5N 89.0W

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP
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#13 Postby RL3AO » Thu Jun 21, 2012 1:14 pm

Guys lets keep posts about model runs in the model thread.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L

#14 Postby tolakram » Thu Jun 21, 2012 1:14 pm

Model thread --> viewtopic.php?f=59&t=112979&hilit=

:)
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#15 Postby South Texas Storms » Thu Jun 21, 2012 1:14 pm

12z Euro looks west of the 0z run and more similar to the cmc so far through 72 hours.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#16 Postby ROCK » Thu Jun 21, 2012 1:15 pm

yeah sorry...for a minute I thought I was in the other thread...72hrs....looks like the CMC run to me....so far....


http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP072.gif
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#17 Postby TropicalAnalystwx13 » Thu Jun 21, 2012 1:15 pm

Where is the TC Guidance message?
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#18 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jun 21, 2012 1:17 pm

96 hours. getting stronger still drifting n the NNE but better structure not so elongated.

http://instantweathermaps.com/ECMWF-php ... b&hour=120
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#19 Postby ronyan » Thu Jun 21, 2012 1:19 pm

Hotlink problem going on ^^
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#20 Postby ROCK » Thu Jun 21, 2012 1:20 pm

here try this...


http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP096.gif
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