ATL: INVEST 95L

[Stormcenter]

This is how 95L has been the last few days....it pulses up in the early a.m. and then down in the afternoon and evening hours. IMO
I'm not holding my breath for anything to develop but will still watch it just in case.

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I don't think this would develop anymore. Not only because there is dry air everywhere you look - but also because this system doesn't have the looks of an organizing system - cloudtops are warming and there is no well-defined circulation. It looked better a few hours ago, but now, things seem to be deteriorating a bit.

[hurricanes1234]

Agreed, Stormcenter.

[cycloneye]

10%.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE DISSIPATING NEAR A WEAK AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED JUST OFF THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO.
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED BEFORE THE CENTER
OF CIRCULATION MOVES INLAND ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST TONIGHT OR
EARLY WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD.

[hurricanes1234]

10%.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE DISSIPATING NEAR A WEAK AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED JUST OFF THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO.
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED BEFORE THE CENTER
OF CIRCULATION MOVES INLAND ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST TONIGHT OR
EARLY WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD.

I don't blame the NHC for downgrading it to 10%, even while it was at 30%, it was opened most of the time and never really looked organized - just a blob of convection - but it was kind of uniquely structured at one point, because it resembled a dinosaur!

[hurricanes1234]

Well…goodbye 95L. At least it made it to 30%.