ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
Showing the 12z GFS, CMC and UKMET and the 18z BAM series. NOGAPS absent for some reason.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
Might be a little more challenging to track than Leslie or Michael but I hope it doesn't stall anywhere over land we don't need any more rain.
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Hurricane Alexis
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
Looks like the models are shifting more south per run.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
Hurricane Alexis wrote:Looks like the models are shifting more south per run.
GFS at 12z shifted a bit south vs 06z and it's doing sort of a curve-around thing that wasn't happening at 06z. Oddly, the ensemble mean shifted a little north at the same time.
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jlauderdal
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
bonjourno wrote:Hurricane Alexis wrote:Looks like the models are shifting more south per run.
GFS at 12z shifted a bit south vs 06z and it's doing sort of a curve-around thing that wasn't happening at 06z. Oddly, the ensemble mean shifted a little north at the same time.
this invest calls for two polls
1. when is it declared
2. does it make it to the atlantic and then back to the gulf
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
Wherever it ultimately decides to go,it can stay away from here.We do not need anymore rain after Isaacs' visit and last nights' round of storms.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
quote]this invest calls for two polls
1. when is it declared
2. does it make it to the atlantic and then back to the gulf[/quote]
Hmmm, I just dont know about this. First off, "declared what"? Depression, Storm (or bust).
For the most part, I am a fan of the GFS model and each run it continues to show "no love" for 90L. I have noticed that the dynamic models have moved south a bit, though why I do not know. Am gonna stick to my original thought on this one - a sloppy depression coming in around Crystal River, Fl.
1. when is it declared
2. does it make it to the atlantic and then back to the gulf[/quote]
Hmmm, I just dont know about this. First off, "declared what"? Depression, Storm (or bust).
For the most part, I am a fan of the GFS model and each run it continues to show "no love" for 90L. I have noticed that the dynamic models have moved south a bit, though why I do not know. Am gonna stick to my original thought on this one - a sloppy depression coming in around Crystal River, Fl.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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meriland23
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
you think this could turn into a hurricane after it gets back out there?
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
meriland23 wrote:you think this could turn into a hurricane after it gets back out there?
I haven't seen any indication that this could become a Hurricane.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
My posts are just my opinion and are most likely not backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Bottom line is that I am just expressing my opinion!!!
My posts are just my opinion and are most likely not backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Bottom line is that I am just expressing my opinion!!!
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
12Z GFS: 72hr (8am Sunday)
Shows whatever is to become of 90L heading into the Florida Big Bend
Shows whatever is to become of 90L heading into the Florida Big Bend
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