ATL: SANDY - Models

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RL3AO
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#741 Postby RL3AO » Sat Oct 27, 2012 12:17 pm

Picture perfect rex blocking pattern.

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x-y-no
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#742 Postby x-y-no » Sat Oct 27, 2012 1:03 pm

12z ECMWF is rolling ...

24 hours:

Image

48 hours:

Image

500mb geopotential heights at 48 hours:

Image

72 hours:

Image
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#743 Postby jhpigott » Sat Oct 27, 2012 1:20 pm

How low is the pressure at landfall in this run of the Euro
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#744 Postby x-y-no » Sat Oct 27, 2012 1:25 pm

jhpigott wrote:How low is the pressure at landfall in this run of the Euro


Low 950's.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#745 Postby HurrMark » Sat Oct 27, 2012 1:35 pm

x-y-no wrote:
jhpigott wrote:How low is the pressure at landfall in this run of the Euro


Low 950's.


Hard to say since it makes landfall in between 48 and 72 hrs...and there are no images between that time with the Euro.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#746 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 27, 2012 1:37 pm

Hurricane Central ‏@twc_hurricane

Latest European model is in, shifts #Sandy landfall point north into central NJ, now in good agreement with American GFS model.
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#747 Postby Listeri69 » Sat Oct 27, 2012 1:39 pm

At 66hrs the pressure is 952 just off the NJ coast, appears to be further north on this run too.....
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#748 Postby KBBOCA » Sat Oct 27, 2012 1:42 pm

The irony would just be too incredible if it made landfall at Sandy Hook!!

But alot of other things (e.g. storm surge / storm tide / flooding) for the NYC metro area & long island would be incredible too if that's where Sandy lands. Eeeeeek.
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#749 Postby HurrMark » Sat Oct 27, 2012 1:46 pm

Where do you see the 66 hour forecast?
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#750 Postby Listeri69 » Sat Oct 27, 2012 2:08 pm

Image

Euro 66hrs
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#751 Postby HurrMark » Sat Oct 27, 2012 2:25 pm

Have the link?
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#752 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 27, 2012 2:38 pm

Here are the latest tracks by the models. The spagetti is not unanimous as some models are more north than the majority.

Image
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#753 Postby GCANE » Sat Oct 27, 2012 5:25 pm

Whoa - just saw this from Dr Maue

GFS is showing a massive PV anomaly along Long Island when Sandy Landfalls.

110 knot jet, 1000' altitude!

http://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/2623 ... to/1/large
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#754 Postby GCANE » Sat Oct 27, 2012 5:34 pm

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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#755 Postby GCANE » Sat Oct 27, 2012 5:47 pm

Good warm core all the way to the coast

http://weatherbellmodels.com/weather/gf ... s_anim.gif
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#756 Postby GCANE » Sat Oct 27, 2012 6:29 pm

Wave model shows wave+swell large area of 35-feet up to 52 feet east of center

http://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/2623 ... to/1/large
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#757 Postby Ken711 » Sat Oct 27, 2012 8:07 pm

When are the next model run updates expected?
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#758 Postby nashrobertsx » Sat Oct 27, 2012 8:31 pm

I am still amazed of the predicted intensity of this super storm and there is no one posting a damn thing on here... WTH? LOL.... where are all the models... slosh models, graphics that local wx services and HPC must be issuing.. I feel like I am void of info, maps, models, etc... crazy...
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#759 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 27, 2012 8:38 pm

Here are the latest model tracks.

Image
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#760 Postby Ken711 » Sat Oct 27, 2012 8:43 pm

cycloneye wrote:Here are the latest model tracks.

http://oi48.tinypic.com/33ypegi.jpg


Thanks. Am I seeing a slightly more Northern agreement on the tracks from the last runs?
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