Kingarabian wrote:Iceman56 wrote:I lowered the advisory intensity to 65 knots because the various RECON intensity estimate techniques in the 23Z pass gave 66 kt, 67 kt, and 68 kt, with 90% of a max flight level wind of 72 knots giving 65 knots. This made going with 70 kt in the 00z intensity a stretch, but we round up slightly for the sake of safety and likely undersampling. Since the pressure continues to rise slowly, and the satellite and radar presentations of the system looking increasingly sheared, I could not justify retaining the 70 knot intensity at 03z.
If you are finding that the CPHC webpage is slow, you should try hitting refresh. Many times we find that people are getting old info on the page because their browser is loading from the cache. There have been many times I've been on the phone with people insisting the page is old when I'm looking at the our page from the office and it's current. The goal here is to publish the complete advisory package by :45, but the discussion almost always goes last as we put together our thoughts. The package is not officially "late" until synoptic + 3 hour.
And yes, you better believe I am a pro-met.
Yeah ignore our bickering.
All this time I though you folks were a separate and independent center. Didn't know the CPHC was a branch from the NWS. I hope they increase the staff and offer some relief.
We also got confused with Genevieve when you folks left it at 40kts for quite some time when it appeared much stronger.
I'm curirous why you guys don't rely on ADT much. Granted, if you did, Iselle could have arguably been a TS earlier.
