ATL: BERTHA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[NDG]

Recon finding some winds by SFMR around some of the convection near TS force close to the suspect area of COC.

[cycloneye]

Good morning.

The good news that we were waiting for in PR and that is all the lakes went up some more than others but the main ones Carraizo was up as of 6 AM EDT +1.13 meters and La Plata is up +0.18 centimeters. Is expected more rise as the rivers deliver more water to the lakes. Is probable that the gov will cancel the water rationing that was to begin on Wednesday.

[NDG]

Bertha looks like is getting organized on satellite but at the surface not yet, looks to be a weak broad center of circulation near the Turks and Caicos, lowest pressure so far 1012mb but still falling.

[Equilibrium]

Recon finding some winds by SFMR around some of the convection near TS force close to the suspect area of COC.

No suprize at all they will find some evidence with this mission.

[NDG]

Good morning.

The good news that we were waiting for in PR and that is all the lakes went up some more than others but the main ones Carraizo was up as of 6 AM EDT +1.13 meters and La Plata is up +0.18 centimeters. Is expected more rise as the rivers delever more water to the lakes. Is probable that the gov will cancel the water rationing that was to begin on Wednesday.

That's very good news, hopefully Bertha a sign that other tropical waves, disturbances, TD, TS,...etc will be bringing much needed rain to the Caribbean Islands over the next few weeks, in between the African dust of course

[NDG]

Very weak broad COC is what Bertha has this morning despite having a fairly good satellite presentation.

[NDG]

Recon finds some weak WEST winds.

[caribepr]

Good morning.

The good news that we were waiting for in PR and that is all the lakes went up some more than others but the main ones Carraizo was up as of 6 AM EDT +1.13 meters and La Plata is up +0.18 centimeters. Is expected more rise as the rivers delever more water to the lakes. Is probable that the gov will cancel the water rationing that was to begin on Wednesday.

Very good news! A friend up in the mountains of central PR says she got 7" of rain over the late afternoon and evening. Thanks for letting us know, Luis!

[NDG]

Another look where the Recon found Bertha's weak COC.

[Equilibrium]

Highest SFMR in that one: 57 knots (~ 65.5 mph
Heavy rain at time: 46 mm/hr (~ 1.81 in/hr)

Well that does come as a suprise. Rain flagged ?.

And good morning to all.

[NDG]

Highest SFMR in that one: 57 knots (~ 65.5 mph
Heavy rain at time: 46 mm/hr (~ 1.81 in/hr)

Well that does come as a suprise. Rain flagged ?.

And good morning to all.

Not only because of rain but the recon had not descended yet, it was at around 23K feet, so can't imagine the SFMR reading being correct.

[NDG]

I think this is the highest T numbers Bertha has ever gotten so far, lol.

DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
03/1145 UTC 20.7N 70.7W T2.5/2.5 BERTHA

[tolakram]

Live visible loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=22&lon=-73&info=vis&zoom=1&width=1000&height=800&quality=95&type=Animation&palette=ir1.pal&numframes=10

I can actually see some inflow from the west this morning.

[Airboy]

Live visible loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=22&lon=-73&info=vis&zoom=1&width=1000&height=800&quality=95&type=Animation&palette=ir1.pal&numframes=10

I can actually see some inflow from the west this morning.

Maybe a start for her new life. If she gets some convection on the west/front side of her maybe she will be back in business, it has always been on the east/backside of her.

[NDG]

Live visible loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=22&lon=-73&info=vis&zoom=1&width=1000&height=800&quality=95&type=Animation&palette=ir1.pal&numframes=10

I can actually see some inflow from the west this morning.

Yeah, she looks like she is finally starting to get better organized.

[Sanibel]

USA Today:

Downed trees limbs also were reported across St. Croix in the U.S. Virgin Islands, where a coastal buoy south of St. Thomas recorded wind gusts of 72 mph (115 kph).

What is that over South Florida btw?

[wxman57]

Still doesn't appear to qualify for TD/TS status due to the lack of a well-defined LLC.

[Equilibrium]

This system may well turn out to be the suprise packet of the season it's about to enter a historically unpredictable area.


The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[TheAustinMan]

Latest satellite image of Bertha this morning. Looks better than it did yesterday, but its internal organization is still up for debate.

[NDG]

Still doesn't appear to qualify for TD/TS status due to the lack of a well-defined LLC.

You got a point, but is getting better organized by the hour since moving away from Hispaniola since earlier this morning.
It should have its LLC back later today, IMO.