ATL: ARTHUR - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[TheAustinMan]

Radar signature continues to improve this evening.

saved loop

(An image that was posted here was redacted for ease of navigation)

IR also shows convection continuing to increase.

Speed this loop up for the full effect.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=31&lon=-79&info=ir&zoom=1&width=1000&height=800&quality=95&type=Animation&palette=ir1.pal&numframes=20

What I'm quite interested in is that massive outflow boundary that Arthur pretty much flung at great velocity towards the Georgia coast. Seems pretty interesting.

[ravyrn]

Anyone got a link to a .kml file that has higher resolution than this when zoomed in for Google Earth? Sorry to be slightly off-topic, but looking for better resolution when posting recon pics and there is no recon discussion thread.

http://goes.gsfc.nasa.gov/goescolor/goe ... latest.kml

Sorry, I didn't have the image linked correctly initially. Thanks for the link, but it still has poor resolution when zoomed in. Are there any KML files for Google Earth that don't have poor quality satellite images when zoomed in? And I don't mean to be clogging up this thread so if anyone cares to offer links or advice, shoot me a PM instead of responding in this thread. Thanks all!

[Time_Zone]

Eye wall gone. Like I said weakening and I agree with weathernerdguy NC will be JUST FINE.

Link? Where are you seeing this at?

[tolakram]

What I'm quite interested in is that massive outflow boundary that Arthur pretty much flung at great velocity towards the Georgia coast. Seems pretty interesting.

I'm not seeing it, which doesn't mean it's not there. Do you have a better sat view that shows it?

[supercane4867]

Cloud tops below -80°C is impressive for this high in latitude

[TheAustinMan]

What I'm quite interested in is that massive outflow boundary that Arthur pretty much flung at great velocity towards the Georgia coast. Seems pretty interesting.

I'm not seeing it, which doesn't mean it's not there. Do you have a better sat view that shows it?

Look closely at this animation. It's not deep convection, but you'll see a gray streak of clouds zip out of the central convection towards the Georgia coast, and it coincides with a burst in convective activity.

[tolakram]

What I'm quite interested in is that massive outflow boundary that Arthur pretty much flung at great velocity towards the Georgia coast. Seems pretty interesting.

I'm not seeing it, which doesn't mean it's not there. Do you have a better sat view that shows it?

Look closely at this animation. It's not deep convection, but you'll see a gray streak of clouds zip out of the central convection towards the Georgia coast, and it coincides with a burst in convective activity.

Wow, pretty neat. No idea but it sure got rid of that in a hurry.

[CarolinaNBANFL]

Site is having issues with the image tags.

As I tried to mention you can see the eye appear and disappear which means might of not been an eye or a brief one which means it is fighting but losing right now like I've been saying.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... imated.gif

[HurriGuy]

What I'm quite interested in is that massive outflow boundary that Arthur pretty much flung at great velocity towards the Georgia coast. Seems pretty interesting.

I'm not seeing it, which doesn't mean it's not there. Do you have a better sat view that shows it?

Look closely at this animation. It's not deep convection, but you'll see a gray streak of clouds zip out of the central convection towards the Georgia coast, and it coincides with a burst in convective activity.

All I see is an arc cloud that comes barreling out. Is that what you are referring to?

[Alyono]

I am getting really annoyed listening to Kim Cunningham. Cannot believe the mistakes she is making this evening

This is not unhealthy as she is saying... the intensification is now starting... just when it was supposed to

[HurriGuy]

I am getting really annoyed listening to Kim Cunningham. Cannot believe the mistakes she is making this evening

This is not unhealthy as she is saying... the intensification is now starting... just when it was supposed to

The whole cast has really been awful. Carl is the only one that did not put me to sleep.

[CarolinaNBANFL]

I only see a small ball and the radar shows that every time this thing fires up it loses it. Local METs are tuning this storm out as nothing other than a regular storm around here. I have barely seen it on TV on the coastal channels too. I think this storm in my OPINION is losing time and fast.

I will give it this it has some of the darkest clouds in that center area that I have seen in awhile but that alone will not make it become a monster in my OPINION.

[tolakram]

Site is having issues with the image tags.

As I tried to mention you can see the eye appear and disappear which means might of not been an eye or a brief one which means it is fighting but losing right now like I've been saying.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... imated.gif

No, there is a big convective burst and the center of circulation is now obscured by high clouds (the red in the IR). This is why it's dangerous to make assumptions and telling everyone they will be fine. The storm is now intensifying, not weakening. The eye like feature seen earlier was the center of circulation but not a classic eye with deep convection surrounding a warm center.

[TheAustinMan]

I'm not seeing it, which doesn't mean it's not there. Do you have a better sat view that shows it?

Look closely at this animation. It's not deep convection, but you'll see a gray streak of clouds zip out of the central convection towards the Georgia coast, and it coincides with a burst in convective activity.

All I see is an arc cloud that comes barreling out. Is that what you are referring to?

Yeah, but it's quite neat, and it caught my eye since it zipped out pretty quickly.
Due to site limitations one embedded quote was redacted.

[Hammy]

Could the arc cloud have been Arthur ejecting the dry air at all, especially considering the timing with the convective development? There seems to be more banding recently as well as more convection forming north of the main core.

[HurriGuy]

I only see a small ball and the radar shows that every time this thing fires up it loses it. Local METs are tuning this storm out as nothing other than a regular storm around here. I have barely seen it on TV on the coastal channels too. I think this storm in my OPINION is losing time and fast.

I will give it this it has some of the darkest clouds in that center area that I have seen in awhile but that alone will not make it become a monster in my OPINION.

I don't think anyone said it will be a monster. The big concerns are will it make it a direct hit and will it intensify to perhaps a Cat 2.

[HurriGuy]

Could the arc cloud have been Arthur ejecting the dry air at all, especially considering the timing with the convective development?

That arc cloud was just a result of the dry air dampening the northwest side.

[Jevo]

Site is having issues with the image tags.

As I tried to mention you can see the eye appear and disappear which means might of not been an eye or a brief one which means it is fighting but losing right now like I've been saying.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... imated.gif

You're fairly new, but we keep a big plate of crow in the back for people that speak in absolutes, then later get proven wrong.

With that being said.. 0z HWRF is bad news for the OBX http://i.imgur.com/Q2UTz2n.png

[Hammy]

0z HWRF is bad news for the OBX http://i.imgur.com/Q2UTz2n.png

First time the HWRF has shown Cat 2 winds so far

[WilmingtonSandbar]

Has anyone noticed the turn to the NNE yet?