CPAC: INVEST 91C

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TheAustinMan
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#21 Postby TheAustinMan » Mon Jul 28, 2014 9:16 am

I wonder if the resiliency of this system will get it anywhere, looks nice this morning and exhibiting quite nice vorticity.
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Yellow Evan
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#22 Postby Yellow Evan » Mon Jul 28, 2014 10:22 am

2. A elongated area of showers and thunderstorms is located about 860 miles south of Honolulu, Hawaii. Environmental conditions may be somewhat conducive for development of this system as it continues to move westward at about 10 mph during the next couple of days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours, medium, 30 percent.
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Re: CPAC: INVEST 91C

#23 Postby somethingfunny » Fri Aug 01, 2014 5:48 am

Are the models still gungho about turning this into a powerful typhoon? The CPHC has come back down to a 20% probability of development within 48 hours for this one.
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#24 Postby Yellow Evan » Fri Aug 01, 2014 8:25 pm

3. An area of low pressure is located about 1200 miles east- southeast of Hilo, Hawaii. It is generating disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Upper-level winds are not currently favorable, and any development of this system should be slow to occur while it moves westward at around 10 mph during the next few days.* Formation chance through 48 hours, low, 10 percent.
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