ATL: ARTHUR - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#2361 Postby **seahawkjd** » Thu Jul 03, 2014 5:21 pm

Pretty decent squall.

#2362 Postby **NDG** » Thu Jul 03, 2014 5:24 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:maybe they are having technical issues they just did 2 more loops

Looks like they are now heading back to FL, maybe they were flipping it to see who would take the turn to fly it back home

HurricaneRyan · #2363 Postby **HurricaneRyan** » Thu Jul 03, 2014 5:24 pm

Arthur alone has already put last season to shame. Who would've thought we'd have such an exciting first storm this season?

weathernerdguy · #2364 Postby **weathernerdguy** » Thu Jul 03, 2014 5:26 pm

cycloneye wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:anyone have a clue why recon is flying in circles so far south of the system?? i count 4 complete loops so far ?

Don't know.

http://oi61.tinypic.com/2it29te.jpg

Looks like they are having fun.

supercane4867 · #2365 Postby **supercane4867** » Thu Jul 03, 2014 5:28 pm

Again just for reference...

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.5 / 955.6mb/102.0kt

Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.5 5.6 5.6

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 22 km

Center Temp : +1.9C Cloud Region Temp : -59.3C

Scene Type : EYE

#2366 Postby **WilmingtonSandbar** » Thu Jul 03, 2014 5:29 pm

The thing i find most impressive about the pics and video from the Frying Pan Tower is He was taking the video of the waves passing under him from the top of the tower from what is normally about 80 feet up. The waves were over half way up the tower.

weathernerdguy · #2367 Postby **weathernerdguy** » Thu Jul 03, 2014 5:30 pm

I bet, if we didn't have recon, this would be likely a freaking cat 3 from the satellite view.

supercane4867 · #2368 Postby **supercane4867** » Thu Jul 03, 2014 5:31 pm

weathernerdguy wrote:I bet, if we didn't have recon, this would be likely a freaking cat 3 from the satellite view.

Without a doubt

Hammy · #2369 Postby **Hammy** » Thu Jul 03, 2014 5:32 pm

One of those times that recon shows the storm to be weaker than satellite estimates, often it's the opposite.

#2370 Postby **wxman57** » Thu Jul 03, 2014 5:36 pm

WilmingtonSandbar wrote:The thing i find most impressive about the pics and video from the Frying Pan Tower is He was taking the video of the waves passing under him from the top of the tower from what is normally about 80 feet up. The waves were over half way up the tower.

Just got back home. What video are you talking about? You may be over estimating, as it would take an 80+ ft wave to reach 40 ft above normal water levels. Is the water over 120 ft deep there?

MaineWeatherNut · #2371 Postby **MaineWeatherNut** » Thu Jul 03, 2014 5:37 pm

Hammy wrote:One of those times that recon shows the storm to be weaker than satellite estimates, often it's the opposite.

Radar shows it continuing to tighten up. I doubt it remains at it's current intensity for much longer. Already has the pressure for a much stronger hurricane and winds are higher a good distance up so as soon as it can build a stronger eye wall those higher winds will start mixing down to the surface more.

#2372 Postby **MGC** » Thu Jul 03, 2014 5:37 pm

Jog to the right will allow Arthur to remain over the gulf stream a bit longer.....better chance of reaching cat-2. Next stop, Cape Lookout.....MGC

hurricaneCW · #2373 Postby **hurricaneCW** » Thu Jul 03, 2014 5:40 pm

Lucky break? Looks like it's been moving ENE now for the past couple hours, what a dodge this would be, maybe it could actually dodge Cape Hatteras.

tropicana · #2374 Postby **tropicana** » Thu Jul 03, 2014 5:41 pm

does anyone know the current standing earliest CAT 2 hurricane on the North Carolina coastline??

-Justin-

Pack11 · #2375 Postby **Pack11** » Thu Jul 03, 2014 5:43 pm

hurricaneCW wrote:Lucky break? Looks like it's been moving ENE now for the past couple hours, what a dodge this would be, maybe it could actually dodge Cape Hatteras.

From your lips to God's ears....

#2376 Postby **WilmingtonSandbar** » Thu Jul 03, 2014 5:43 pm

wxman57 wrote:
WilmingtonSandbar wrote:The thing i find most impressive about the pics and video from the Frying Pan Tower is He was taking the video of the waves passing under him from the top of the tower from what is normally about 80 feet up. The waves were over half way up the tower.

Just got back home. What video are you talking about? You may be over estimating, as it would take an 80+ ft wave to reach 40 ft above normal water levels. Is the water over 120 ft deep there?

I just watched the video again and see now that he is not at the top of the tower but on the living quarters deck wich is a little over 40 feet up, so the water looks to be about 20 feet higher than normal. the tower stands 80 feet out of the water and the water is 50 feet deep there almost 30 miles offshore.

Here is a news page that has all the videos he has posted from today.

http://www.wcnc.com/weather/hurricane-c ... 25111.html

#2377 Postby **NDG** » Thu Jul 03, 2014 5:44 pm

wxman57 wrote:
WilmingtonSandbar wrote:The thing i find most impressive about the pics and video from the Frying Pan Tower is He was taking the video of the waves passing under him from the top of the tower from what is normally about 80 feet up. The waves were over half way up the tower.

Just got back home. What video are you talking about? You may be over estimating, as it would take an 80+ ft wave to reach 40 ft above normal water levels. Is the water over 120 ft deep there?

They are 30 miles offshore.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HoZ023o8y44#t=17

#2378 Postby **ravyrn** » Thu Jul 03, 2014 5:46 pm

Unfortunately it'll be a bit before we get recon near the center again. NOAA3 seems to be heading back to FL and AF304 has about 450 miles to travel before reaching the center.

Hammy · #2379 Postby **Hammy** » Thu Jul 03, 2014 5:49 pm

Will the next plane be arriving around 9?

#2380 Postby **ravyrn** » Thu Jul 03, 2014 5:51 pm

Hammy wrote:Will the next plane be arriving around 9?

Perhaps a little bit before 9pm EDT.

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