EPAC: MARIE - Post-Tropical

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#601 Postby Yellow Evan » Sun Aug 24, 2014 1:57 pm

6th if you count Ioke.
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#602 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Aug 24, 2014 1:58 pm

Given the size, I wouldn't be surprised if the pressure is actually below 910.
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#603 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Aug 24, 2014 1:58 pm

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#604 Postby SeGaBob » Sun Aug 24, 2014 2:01 pm

This is a beautiful storm... :)
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#605 Postby TropicalAnalystwx13 » Sun Aug 24, 2014 2:03 pm

With an eye temperature of +17C, 140kt is understandable despite a lack of -80C convection.
Last edited by TropicalAnalystwx13 on Sun Aug 24, 2014 2:04 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: EPAC: MARIE - Hurricane-140kts at 18z Best Track

#606 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 24, 2014 2:04 pm

A big gallery of images keeps growing at First Post of thread to have a good archieve of this beauty named Marie. Keep them coming.
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#607 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Aug 24, 2014 2:04 pm

Ntxw wrote:Very deserving, lived up to the hype! Congrats EPAC on your cat 5, beautiful hurricane.


We hyped it up real good haha. But it just looked like it was going to be a cat.5 from the beginning. As soon as it emerged into the Pacific it had the look.

Credit to the NHC for realizing this as well and consistently being on top of the intensity guidance.
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Re: EPAC: MARIE - Hurricane-140kts at 18z Best Track

#608 Postby supercane4867 » Sun Aug 24, 2014 2:07 pm

Tropical Storm Karina and Category 5 Major Hurricane Marie

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#609 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Aug 24, 2014 2:09 pm

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Re: EPAC: MARIE - Hurricane-140kts at 18z Best Track

#610 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 24, 2014 2:10 pm

Image
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#611 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Aug 24, 2014 2:12 pm

Image

MODIS water vapor.
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#612 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Aug 24, 2014 2:13 pm

IF the gray around the eye can wrap around completely, it would give Rick a run for its money.

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#613 Postby Yellow Evan » Sun Aug 24, 2014 2:15 pm

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.2.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 24 AUG 2014 Time : 183000 UTC
Lat : 15:50:38 N Lon : 111:52:30 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
7.0 / 917.7mb/140.0kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
7.0 7.1 7.2

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 18 km

Center Temp : +18.4C Cloud Region Temp : -74.3C

Scene Type : EYE

Positioning Method : RING/SPIRAL COMBINATION

Ocean Basin : EAST PACIFIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : ATLANTIC

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : 1.3T/6hr
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF

C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :
- Average 34 knot radii : 202km
- Environmental MSLP : 1011mb

Satellite Name : GOES15
Satellite Viewing Angle : 32.4 degrees
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#614 Postby Yellow Evan » Sun Aug 24, 2014 2:16 pm

Kingarabian wrote:IF the gray around the eye can wrap around completely, it would give Rick a run for its money.

Image


That's a big if. Convection was much deeper last night.
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#615 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Aug 24, 2014 2:17 pm

:uarrow: I agree. But the eye is very warm.
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Re:

#616 Postby Yellow Evan » Sun Aug 24, 2014 2:20 pm

Kingarabian wrote::uarrow: I agree. But the eye is very warm.


If the eye reaches 20C, it could have one of the warmest eyes the EPAC has ever seen.
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Re: EPAC: MARIE - Hurricane

#617 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 24, 2014 2:20 pm

To remind members that may not know from what wave the genesis began,it was from ex 94L.
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Re: EPAC: MARIE - Hurricane

#618 Postby supercane4867 » Sun Aug 24, 2014 2:23 pm

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
7.0 / 917.7mb/140.0kt

Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
7.0 7.1 7.2

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 18 km

Center Temp : +18.4C Cloud Region Temp : -74.3C

Scene Type : EYE
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#619 Postby WeatherGuesser » Sun Aug 24, 2014 2:27 pm

Gotta love her long mermaid tail to the southwest and west.
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Re: EPAC: MARIE - Hurricane

#620 Postby Hurricane_Luis » Sun Aug 24, 2014 2:32 pm

Hurricane Marie

Image

Image
In this one I edited out the whites line so we can see how intense the eyewall really is.
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