EPAC: MARIE - Post-Tropical

[gatorcane]

Wow CAT 5 - EPAC is a breeding ground this season that is for sure!

[Yellow Evan]

It did it. OFFICIAL!!!!!!

[supercane4867]

Not the most excited discussion for Cat.5 Marie, where is Stewart and Avila when we need them?

[Kingarabian]

Aaah. Phew. My forecast did not bust.

[CrazyC83]

To get stronger without Recon, need to find some T7.5's somewhere. What does it take for a 7.5?

[Yellow Evan]

Not the most excited discussion for Cat.5 Marie, where is Stewart and Avila when we need them?

The most boring actually. Reminded me of some of the bland 90s ones.

[Yellow Evan]

To get stronger without Recon, need to find some T7.5's somewhere. What does it take for a 7.5?

The eye would have to warm. That's all.

[WeatherGuesser]

When was the last H5 in either EPAC or ATL?

[Ntxw]

When was the last H5 in either EPAC or ATL?

Celia was the last cat 5 in the whem, epac storm 2010. Felix was the last cat 5 in ATL 2007.

[Yellow Evan]

When was the last H5 in either EPAC or ATL?

Celia 2010. Did so at the last min.

[Kingarabian]

Meanwhile in the Atlantic:

[supercane4867]

To get stronger without Recon, need to find some T7.5's somewhere. What does it take for a 7.5?

Using EIR method the Cold Medium Gray has to completely wrap around the eye in order to achieve a data-T value of 7.5 or else the developing trend allows for a higher PT that can be based as FT

[WeatherGuesser]

Meanwhile in the Atlantic:

Nada.



-----------------

OK, so 4 years and 7 years. Interesting.

They are fairly rare.

[Cyclenall]

It did it. OFFICIAL!!!!!!

Yes, you did it Marie! Now this Epac season has that checked off, can be compared to 2006, 2009. etc. It was odd at the start I have to say though.

[Yellow Evan]

To get stronger without Recon, need to find some T7.5's somewhere. What does it take for a 7.5?

Using EIR method the Cold Medium Gray has to completely wrap around the eye in order to achieve a data-T value of 7.5 or else the developing trend allows for a higher PT that can be based as FT

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tcdat/tc14/E ... -918mb.jpg

It's hard to tell. Is the eye as warm as it could possibly get then? Because when the eye is WMG, W and CMG is the max you can go.

[supercane4867]

It's hard to tell. Is the eye as warm as it could possibly get then? Because when the eye is WMG, W and CMG is the max you can go.

The eye has acquired WMG status since this morning but with the cloud tops also warmed quite a bit I don't think it can reach T7.5

[HurricaneRyan]

YESSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS Category 5!

[Yellow Evan]

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.2.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 24 AUG 2014 Time : 210000 UTC
Lat : 15:56:59 N Lon : 112:02:38 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
7.1 / 914.5mb/143.0kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
7.1 7.1 7.1

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 18 km

Center Temp : +15.7C Cloud Region Temp : -73.5C

Scene Type : EYE

Positioning Method : RING/SPIRAL COMBINATION

Ocean Basin : EAST PACIFIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : ATLANTIC

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF

C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :
- Average 34 knot radii : 202km
- Environmental MSLP : 1011mb

Satellite Name : GOES15
Satellite Viewing Angle : 32.3 degrees

[Macrocane]

This EPAC season has been very very interesting to watch, it has been even more interesting than the WPAC. Marie is beautiful, behold the 6th most intense EPAC hurricane on record (per central pressure):

[SootyTern]

Absolutely stunning storm!!!