ATL: GONZALO - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#941 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Oct 17, 2014 9:23 am

That data still suggests an intensity of 105 or 110 kt.
0 likes   
Top
Alyono
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 6961
Joined: Fri Apr 26, 2013 3:52 pm
Location: Texas Coast

#942 Postby Alyono » Fri Oct 17, 2014 9:30 am

not the shear that got Gonzalo. It is the endless eyewall replacements that have done it in in terms of an extreme intensity
0 likes   
Top
supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re: ATL: GONZALO - Hurricane - Discussion

#943 Postby supercane4867 » Fri Oct 17, 2014 9:33 am

Deep convection expanding to the NW again after a short-lived dry air entrainment this morning

Image

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.7 / 949.5mb/107.2kt

Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.5 5.8 5.8
0 likes   
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: GONZALO - Hurricane - Discussion

#944 Postby tolakram » Fri Oct 17, 2014 9:36 am

Live visible loop

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=31&lon=-65&info=vis&zoom=1&width=1000&height=800&quality=95&type=Animation&palette=ir1.pal&numframes=15&mapcolor=yellow
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
ozonepete
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4743
Joined: Mon Sep 07, 2009 3:23 pm
Location: From Ozone Park, NYC / Now in Brooklyn, NY

Re: ATL: GONZALO - Hurricane - Discussion

#945 Postby ozonepete » Fri Oct 17, 2014 9:40 am

Fascinating. This is getting in one more ERC and at this point looks like it's thickening its main eyewall really well and intensifying again.
0 likes   
Top
ozonepete
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4743
Joined: Mon Sep 07, 2009 3:23 pm
Location: From Ozone Park, NYC / Now in Brooklyn, NY

Re: ATL: GONZALO - Hurricane - Discussion

#946 Postby ozonepete » Fri Oct 17, 2014 9:48 am

Also unfortunately it looks like the eye will make a direct hit or pass just west of the island. Either will be devastating. Every one stay safe there!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#947 Postby gatorcane » Fri Oct 17, 2014 9:54 am

Stay safe to all in Bermuda. Looks like it is going to make a direct impact.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
sweetpea
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 858
Age: 58
Joined: Fri Jun 10, 2005 5:49 pm
Location: Sopchoppy, FL

#948 Postby sweetpea » Fri Oct 17, 2014 10:09 am

Such a scary situation. Stay safe everyone!!!
0 likes   
Top
floridasun78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3755
Joined: Sun May 17, 2009 10:16 pm
Location: miami fl

Re: ATL: GONZALO - Hurricane - Discussion

#949 Postby floridasun78 » Fri Oct 17, 2014 10:14 am

hope all safe in Bermuda i watching webcam from their getting stormy already wind picking up
0 likes   
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#950 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Oct 17, 2014 10:20 am

Time is pretty much up for preparation. All we can do is PRAY for Bermuda!!! Stay safe!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

#951 Postby northjaxpro » Fri Oct 17, 2014 10:20 am

Yeah, I have been checking the Port Bermuda Webcam frequently and conditions are deteriorating rapidly there currently. They are already experiencing tropical storm force winds as well.

My prayers to everyone there in Bermuda as a direct impact is imminent. Pray everyone is as safe as can be there.
Last edited by northjaxpro on Fri Oct 17, 2014 10:21 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
Top
HurricaneRyan
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 813
Age: 31
Joined: Sun Dec 05, 2010 3:05 pm

#952 Postby HurricaneRyan » Fri Oct 17, 2014 10:21 am

Fabian's little brother is getting ready to continue the legacy. Good luck Bermuda!
0 likes   
Kay '22 Hilary '23
Top
User avatar
MGC
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5899
Joined: Sun Mar 23, 2003 9:05 pm
Location: Pass Christian MS, or what is left.

Re: ATL: GONZALO - Hurricane - Discussion

#953 Postby MGC » Fri Oct 17, 2014 10:30 am

Stay safe in Bermuda everyone......MGC
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
abajan
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4230
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 5:10 am
Location: Barbados

Re:

#954 Postby abajan » Fri Oct 17, 2014 10:40 am

northjaxpro wrote:Yeah, I have been checking the Port Bermuda Webcam frequently and conditions are deteriorating rapidly there currently. They are already experiencing tropical storm force winds as well.

My prayers to everyone there in Bermuda as a direct impact is imminent. Pray everyone is as safe as can be there.
Where exactly on the island is Port Bermuda? Although it looks pretty windy, I don't think the strength is quite up to TS force yet. This page reported winds of 29 mph at 11 AM, as shown below:

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hybridstorm_November2001
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2811
Joined: Sat Aug 21, 2004 2:50 pm
Location: SW New Brunswick, Canada
Contact:
Contact Hybridstorm_November2001

#955 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Fri Oct 17, 2014 10:40 am

My thoughts and prayers are with those on Bermuda, stay safe people.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
angelwing
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4462
Age: 63
Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 3:06 pm
Location: Kulpsville, PA

Re: ATL: GONZALO - Hurricane - Discussion

#956 Postby angelwing » Fri Oct 17, 2014 10:42 am

Thoughts and prayers for all!
0 likes   
Agnes 72, Gloria 85, Floyd 99, Irene 2011, TS Lee 2012, Sandy 2012
Top
User avatar
Bizzles
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 472
Age: 39
Joined: Wed Oct 27, 2010 10:22 am
Location: Columbus, NJ

#957 Postby Bizzles » Fri Oct 17, 2014 10:48 am

abajan if you look at the map under the web cam you should see a blue and a cyan diamond. The cyan diamond is the tugboat you see in the webcam.

So seems to be looking generally south east towards Spanish Point.
0 likes   
Andrew '92 Opal '95 Blizzard '96 Izzy '03 Irene '11 Sandy '12

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Bizzles
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 472
Age: 39
Joined: Wed Oct 27, 2010 10:22 am
Location: Columbus, NJ

#958 Postby Bizzles » Fri Oct 17, 2014 10:50 am

googlemaps the Bermuda Naval Dockyard to see where we're looking at.
0 likes   
Andrew '92 Opal '95 Blizzard '96 Izzy '03 Irene '11 Sandy '12

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
JahJa
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 43
Joined: Fri Sep 17, 2010 7:21 pm
Location: Bermuda

Re: ATL: GONZALO - Hurricane - Discussion

#959 Postby JahJa » Fri Oct 17, 2014 10:53 am

Thanks everyone for your prays and good luck wishes.

I confirm the port of bermuda camera is looking south east towards Spanish Point.

I will be sure to keep everyone up to date as much as I can.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
abajan
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4230
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 5:10 am
Location: Barbados

Re:

#960 Postby abajan » Fri Oct 17, 2014 10:54 am

Bizzles wrote:abajan if you look at the map under the web cam you should see a blue and a cyan diamond. The cyan diamond is the tugboat you see in the webcam.

So seems to be looking generally south east towards Spanish Point.
Yeah, I kinda figured it might be there but wasn't sure. Thanks 8-)
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2014”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 6 guests