NIO: INVEST 91B

[jaguarjace]

91B INVEST 140505 1200 5.1N 78.9E IO 15 1010

[euro6208]

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0N
76.9E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 76.4E, APPROXIMATELY 20 NM NORTH-
NORTHEAST OF COCHIN, INDIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS A BROAD AND POORLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)
WITH DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A
MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE, EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
OFFSET BY STRONG DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.