ATL: INVEST 90L

[hurricanes1234]

I don't see anything on satellite imagery that would make me think this is a tropical cyclone. The structure is awfully sheared apart with virtually no deep convection. Even if this was a depression before, in my opinion, it looks much worse now.

The above information is only my amateur opinion and is NOT official information of any type. Refer to the National Weather Service for official information on this system.

[tropicwatch]

Everything just went poof! What moisture is left is moving eastward and it looks like the circulation is over land.

[sunnyday]

To TeamsPlayersBlue--You mentioned flying into Ft. Lauderdale on the 12th. Is a storm supposed to go that way then?
Thank you for the info.

[MGC]

Good decision to recall the plane. No sense to waste fuel and risk lives for this. CC is moving ashore now and with the lack of convection this has the appearance of a remnant low. Came close though.....MGC

[TheAustinMan]

Appears to have reached land at this point, chances for cyclogenesis seem nill.

[Alyono]

TWC just interviewed someone that says the plane is now en route

[Hurricane_Luis]

TWC just interviewed someone that says the plane is now en route

Pointless...Circulation has made landfall.

[HurricaneTracker2031]

Everything just went poof! What moisture is left is moving eastward and it looks like the circulation is over land.

hmmm. looks like gfs is partially right so far. It never really developed 90L and has extra moisture moving NE towards South Florida. If I recall correctly.

[SeGaBob]

TWC just interviewed someone that says the plane is now en route

Pointless...Circulation has made landfall.

I agree... it's pointless if the circulation is already onshore. What's left of the convection is being pushed away too.

[cycloneye]

Yes,see graphic at recon thread.

[TheAustinMan]

If that reconnaissance announcements stands, I'm not sure what the intention is. Plane would take a few hours to get to Invest 90L, which would have its entire core circulation over land by then.

GFS run last Monday provided a very accurate five-day outlook for what we saw today. Comparison between the 102-hour forecast from Monday with a recent satellite image of the West Atlantic.

[NDG]

I guess the recon is heading down there to confirm that it has made landflall, lol.

BTW, wx station in Veracruz now reporting a pressure of 1002 mb as the LLC moves close to it.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=verv4

[SeGaBob]

NDG


It's too late for them issue advisories on this.. if they did it might be only a 2 or 3 advisory storm. I don't think it's organized enough for them to.

[SouthDadeFish]

As the airmass overland destabilizes due daytime heating, convection is starting to fire. I suppose theoretically it could migrate over the center and make things interesting right at the time of "landfall."

[HurricaneTracker2031]

:uarrow: NDG


It's too late for them issue advisories on this.. if they did it might be only a 2 or 3 advisory storm. I don't think it's organized enough for them to.

Where will the rest of the moisture go? NE like GFS has been predicting for a while now?

[SouthDadeFish]

With that being said, it does seem kind of silly to fly the plane out there now

[TheAustinMan]

As the airmass overland destabilizes due daytime heating, convection is starting to fire. I suppose theoretically it could migrate over the center and make things interesting right at the time of "landfall."

Seems to be also orographically enhanced. We'll see how long it keeps up with this over-land convection before the circulation becomes completely disrupted. At this point it's just high clouds over that center of circulation. 90L is getting some sort of southern rainband though, we'll also see how long that lasts.

[NDG]

Wind shifted by the coast, it made landfall.

Continuous Winds


TIME
(CDT)

24-hour plot - Wind Direction WDIR

24-hour plot - Wind Speed WSPD

5:00 pm ESE ( 108 deg ) 11.1 kts
4:50 pm ESE ( 120 deg ) 11.1 kts
4:40 pm E ( 83 deg ) 7.0 kts
4:30 pm NNE ( 14 deg ) 4.1 kts
4:20 pm WNW ( 299 deg ) 7.0 kts
4:10 pm WNW ( 296 deg ) 8.9 kts


http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=verv4

[cycloneye]

Plane is decending.

[Hammy]

Too bad we didn't get a plane down there about 12-15 hours ago, given the low bias of the ASCAT and convection there were very likely tropical storm force winds overnight.