ATL: ARTHUR - Models

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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Models

#141 Postby tolakram » Tue Jul 01, 2014 11:51 am

12Z GFS still has a bullseye over Hatteras at 72 hours, 986mb.
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#142 Postby eastcoastFL » Tue Jul 01, 2014 12:13 pm

Look out London! :lol:

Jevo wrote:Hey Gang.. Didn't expect to see ya'll here so soon. I really need to update my bookmarks.

GFS Ensembles

Image
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#143 Postby Jevo » Tue Jul 01, 2014 12:28 pm

12z HWRF +66
Image

12z HWRF +69
Image
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#144 Postby Jevo » Tue Jul 01, 2014 12:52 pm

12z Euro Initialized

Image

12z Euro +24

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#145 Postby Jevo » Tue Jul 01, 2014 1:01 pm

12z Euro +48

Image
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#146 Postby SeGaBob » Tue Jul 01, 2014 1:04 pm

:uarrow: Is that a bit further west?
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Models

#147 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 01, 2014 1:08 pm

Yes,EC is more west thru 48 hours.
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Models

#148 Postby Jevo » Tue Jul 01, 2014 1:09 pm

12z Euro +72

Image
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Models

#149 Postby tolakram » Tue Jul 01, 2014 1:10 pm

Where are these images coming from Jevo? :)
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Models

#150 Postby Jevo » Tue Jul 01, 2014 1:12 pm

tolakram wrote:Where are these images coming from Jevo? :)


Hahaha compliments of your assistance sir ;)

http://www.americanwx.com/
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Models

#151 Postby tolakram » Tue Jul 01, 2014 1:14 pm

Jevo wrote:
tolakram wrote:Where are these images coming from Jevo? :)


Hahaha compliments of your assistance sir ;)

http://www.americanwx.com/


Can't post images from a pay site, even if a trial, unfortunately. Unless you've found an exemption in their license. :(
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Models

#152 Postby Jevo » Tue Jul 01, 2014 1:18 pm

tolakram wrote:
Jevo wrote:
tolakram wrote:Where are these images coming from Jevo? :)


Hahaha compliments of your assistance sir ;)

http://www.americanwx.com/


Can't post images from a pay site, even if a trial, unfortunately. Unless you've found an exemption in their license. :(


Ahh well then... The old freebie standby

12Z Euro +96

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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Models

#153 Postby tolakram » Tue Jul 01, 2014 1:19 pm

12Z Euro has Arthur passing the outer banks to the east; 78 hours 978mb. This is stronger (980mb) and slightly west of the previous run.
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Models

#154 Postby Jevo » Tue Jul 01, 2014 1:23 pm

tolakram wrote:12Z Euro has Arthur passing the outer banks to the east; 78 hours 978mb. This is stronger (980mb) and slightly west of the previous run.


Here comes the fun of the Models wars.... Euro is just offshore. The GFS and the models run off of it are inland, then back out to sea.
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#155 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Tue Jul 01, 2014 2:17 pm

Here we go, I have to laugh as last night the Pro Mets on NBC out of Boston said there was no chance Arthur would come anywhere near even Cape Cod, or likely Nova Scotia, and now the Western most models are taking the system almost right over the Cape. It shall be interesting to see what happens. As I always say until a defined center actually forms all bets are off.
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Re:

#156 Postby TheStormExpert » Tue Jul 01, 2014 3:56 pm

Hybridstorm_November2001 wrote:Here we go, I have to laugh as last night the Pro Mets on NBC out of Boston said there was no chance Arthur would come anywhere near even Cape Cod, or likely Nova Scotia, and now the Western most models are taking the system almost right over the Cape. It shall be interesting to see what happens. As I always say until a defined center actually forms all bets are off.

It's really aggravating when the media jumps the gun and says everything should be ok way too soon before anything has happened or formed.
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#157 Postby KatDaddy » Tue Jul 01, 2014 6:35 pm

The fun and and model wars have begun. Thankfully this is not a GOM threat and the SE US should follow the latest NHC advisories.
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#158 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Jul 01, 2014 6:39 pm

Fortunately I am too far inland this time, this is not Irene or Sandy...

But anyway coastal residents, especially NC coast, should definitely prepare well for this.
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Models

#159 Postby Jevo » Tue Jul 01, 2014 8:27 pm

18z HWRF +63

Image
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Models

#160 Postby capepoint » Tue Jul 01, 2014 8:54 pm

I don't think I like that image, Jevo......lol
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