spiral wrote:
ADT-Version 8.2.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 19 OCT 2014 Time : 023000 UTC
Lat : 19:51:32 N Lon : 159:09:38 W
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
4.3 / 982.8mb/ 72.2kt
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
2014OCT18 213000 4.0 988.0 65.0 4.0 4.4 4.4 NO LIMIT OFF OFF -76.66 -76.74 UNIFRM N/A 4.3 19.35 158.96 FCST GOES15 35.4
2014OCT18 220000 4.1 986.4 67.4 4.1 4.4 4.4 NO LIMIT OFF OFF -76.66 -77.15 UNIFRM N/A 4.3 19.39 159.03 FCST GOES15 35.5
2014OCT18 223000 4.2 984.7 69.8 4.2 4.4 4.4 NO LIMIT OFF OFF -75.56 -76.71 UNIFRM N/A 4.3 19.44 159.09 FCST GOES15 35.6
2014OCT18 230000 4.2 984.7 69.8 4.2 4.4 4.4 NO LIMIT OFF OFF -75.06 -75.10 UNIFRM N/A 4.3 19.48 159.15 FCST GOES15 35.7
2014OCT18 233000 4.3 983.0 72.2 4.3 4.4 4.4 NO LIMIT OFF OFF -72.06 -73.09 UNIFRM N/A 4.3 19.53 159.21 FCST GOES15 35.8
2014OCT19 000000 4.3 982.9 72.2 4.3 4.4 4.4 NO LIMIT OFF OFF -68.86 -71.04 UNIFRM N/A 4.3 19.57 159.27 FCST GOES15 35.8
2014OCT19 003000 4.3 982.9 72.2 4.3 4.3 4.3 NO LIMIT OFF OFF -66.36 -69.45 UNIFRM N/A 4.3 19.61 159.33 FCST GOES15 35.9
2014OCT19 010000 4.3 982.9 72.2 4.3 4.3 4.3 NO LIMIT OFF OFF -65.46 -68.10 UNIFRM N/A 4.3 19.65 159.39 FCST GOES15 36.0
2014OCT19 013000 4.3 982.9 72.2 4.3 4.2 4.2 NO LIMIT OFF OFF -71.66 -67.93 UNIFRM N/A 4.3 19.69 159.44 FCST GOES15 36.1
2014OCT19 020000 4.3 982.9 72.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 NO LIMIT ON OFF -75.06 -67.58 UNIFRM N/A 4.3 19.73 159.50 FCST GOES15 36.1
2014OCT19 023000 4.3 982.8 72.2 4.2 4.3 4.3 NO LIMIT ON OFF -74.56 -69.61 UNIFRM N/A 4.3 19.86 159.16 FCST GOES15 35.9
SAB is much more in line with what recon has found over the past several hours (most recent pass is around 992mb. Ill post the vortex message when it becomes available). CIMSS is a little too strong.
2014OCT18 210000 3.5 994.7 55.0 3.5 3.7 3.7 NO LIMIT OFF OFF -76.66 -75.75 UNIFRM N/A 6.1 19.30 158.90 FCST GOES15 35.3
2014OCT18 213000 3.6 993.4 57.0 3.6 3.8 3.7 NO LIMIT OFF OFF -76.06 -76.11 UNIFRM N/A 6.1 19.20 158.81 SPRL GOES15 35.2
2014OCT18 220000 3.6 993.5 57.0 3.6 3.8 3.7 NO LIMIT OFF OFF -76.66 -76.54 UNIFRM N/A 1.0 19.14 158.87 SPRL GOES15 35.2
2014OCT18 223000 3.7 992.1 59.0 3.7 3.8 3.8 NO LIMIT OFF OFF -74.56 -76.71 UNIFRM N/A 1.0 19.19 159.04 SPRL GOES15 35.4
2014OCT18 230000 3.7 992.2 59.0 3.7 3.8 3.8 NO LIMIT OFF OFF -74.06 -75.20 EMBC N/A 1.0 19.03 158.99 SPRL GOES15 35.2
2014OCT18 233000 3.7 992.2 59.0 3.7 3.8 3.7 NO LIMIT OFF OFF -71.66 -73.26 UNIFRM N/A 1.0 19.08 159.05 SPRL GOES15 35.3
2014OCT19 000000 3.7 992.0 59.0 3.7 3.8 3.7 NO LIMIT OFF OFF -68.86 -71.04 UNIFRM N/A 1.0 19.57 159.27 FCST GOES15 35.8
2014OCT19 003000 3.7 991.9 59.0 3.7 3.7 3.7 NO LIMIT OFF OFF -66.36 -69.45 UNIFRM N/A 1.0 19.61 159.33 FCST GOES15 35.9
2014OCT19 010000 3.7 991.9 59.0 3.7 3.7 3.6 NO LIMIT OFF OFF -65.46 -68.10 UNIFRM N/A 1.0 19.65 159.39 FCST GOES15 36.0
2014OCT19 013000 3.7 991.9 59.0 3.7 3.7 3.6 NO LIMIT OFF OFF -71.66 -67.93 UNIFRM N/A 1.0 19.69 159.44 FCST GOES15 36.1
2014OCT19 020000 3.7 991.9 59.0 3.7 3.6 3.6 NO LIMIT OFF OFF -75.06 -67.58 UNIFRM N/A 1.0 19.73 159.50 FCST GOES15 36.1
2014OCT19 023000 3.7 991.9 59.0 3.6 3.5 3.5 NO LIMIT ON OFF -73.56 -65.89 UNIFRM N/A 1.0 19.77 159.55 FCST GOES15 36.2
2014OCT19 030000 3.7 991.8 59.0 3.6 3.7 3.7 NO LIMIT ON OFF -72.56 -69.84 UNIFRM N/A 14.3 19.90 159.20 FCST GOES15 36.0
2014OCT19 033000 3.7 991.8 59.0 3.6 3.7 3.6 NO LIMIT ON OFF -78.26 -70.83 UNIFRM N/A 14.3 19.94 159.24 FCST GOES15 36.1
2014OCT19 040000 3.7 991.8 59.0 3.6 3.6 3.6 NO LIMIT ON OFF -77.66 -71.72 UNIFRM N/A 14.3 19.97 159.28 FCST GOES15 36.1
2014OCT19 043000 3.7 991.8 59.0 3.6 3.7 3.7 NO LIMIT ON OFF -76.66 -73.03 UNIFRM N/A 14.3 19.96 159.17 SPRL GOES15 36.0
added:
Last pass from mission #7
Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URPN12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 19th day of the month at 5:12Z
Agency: United States Air Force
Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF96-5302
Storm Number & Year: 02 in 2014
Storm Name: Ana (flight in the North Central Pacific basin)
Mission Number: 7
Observation Number: 23
A. Time of Center Fix: 19th day of the month at 4:39:00Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 20°00'N 159°13'W (20.N 159.2167W)
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 3,033m (9,951ft) at 700mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 66kts (~ 76.0mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 6 nautical miles (7 statute miles) to the NNE (12°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 84° at 59kts (From the E at ~ 67.9mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 10 nautical miles (12 statute miles) to the N (8°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 992mb (29.30 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 12°C (54°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,045m (9,990ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 15°C (59°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,040m (9,974ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 10°C (50°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 700mb
O. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile
Remarks Section:
Maximum Outbound and Flight Level Wind: 67kts (~ 77.1mph) which was observed 66 nautical miles (76 statute miles) to the NE (52°) from the flight level center at 5:01:30Z
Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 325° at 5kts (From the NW at 6mph)